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Adobe Systems Incorporated (Adobe) is a diversified software company. The Company offers a line of software and services used by professionals, marketers, knowledge workers, application developers, enterprises and consumers for creating, managing, delivering, measuring and engaging with content and experiences across multiple operating systems, devices and media. The Company markets and licenses its software directly to enterprise customers through its sales force and to end users through application stores and its Website at www.adobe.com. Adobe also distributes its products through a network of distributors, value-added resellers (VARs), systems integrators, independent software vendors (ISVs), retailers and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). In May 2013, Adobe Systems Inc acquired Ideacodes LLC. In July 2013, Adobe Systems Inc announced the completion of acquisition of privately held Neolane.

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Trading 199% below its estimated fair value of $729.68.

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Market Cap$100.19B
P/E13.90
EV$103.72B
P/B8.62
Shares Out410.00M
P/Sales4.10
Revenue$24.45B
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Adobe Inc (ADBE) — Q3 2015 Earnings Call Transcript

Apr 4, 202618 speakers8,434 words73 segments

Operator

Good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to Adobe Systems' Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2015 Earnings Conference Call. All lines are muted to minimize background noise. Following the speakers’ comments, we will have a question-and-answer session. I now turn the call over to Mr. Mike Saviage, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please proceed, sir.

O
MS
Mike SaviageVP, Investor Relations

Good afternoon and thank you for joining us today. Joining me on the call are Adobe's President and CEO, Shantanu Narayen; and Mark Garrett, Executive Vice President and CFO. In the call today, we will discuss Adobe's third quarter fiscal year 2015 financial results. By now you should have a copy of our earnings press release which crossed the wire approximately one hour ago. We've also posted PDFs of our earnings call prepared remarks and slides, financial targets and an updated investor datasheet on adobe.com. If you would like a copy of these documents, you can go to the Investor Relations page and find them listed under Quick Links. Before we get started, we want to emphasize that some of the information discussed in this call, particularly our revenue and operating model targets, and our forward-looking product plans, is based on information as of today, September 17, 2015, and contains forward-looking statements that involve risk and uncertainty. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in such statements. For a discussion of these risks and uncertainties, you should review the Forward-Looking Statements Disclosure in the earnings press release we issued today as well as Adobe's SEC filings. During this call, we will discuss GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation between the two is available in our earnings release and in our updated investor datasheet on Adobe's Investor Relations Website. Call participants are advised that the audio of this conference call is being webcast live in Adobe Connect, and is also being recorded for playback purposes. An archive of the webcast will be made available on Adobe's Investor Relations Website for approximately 45 days and is the property of Adobe. The call audio and the webcast archive may not be re-recorded, or otherwise reproduced or distributed without prior written permission from Adobe. I’ll now turn the call over to Shantanu.

SN
Shantanu NarayenPresident and CEO

Adobe delivered strong results in Q3 with revenue of $1.218 billion and non-GAAP earnings per share of $0.54. Strong Creative Cloud adoption and record Adobe Marketing Cloud revenue drove these results. In digital media, Creative Cloud has become the de facto platform for all creatives, providing the tools and services to fulfill every creative need. We are migrating customers from our Creative Suite installed base as well as attracting new users with strong adoption across our individual team and enterprise offerings. Net new Creative Cloud subscriptions grew by 684,000 during Q3 and we exited the quarter with over 5.3 million subscriptions. Combining this adoption with the annual value of enterprise agreements in success with Adobe Stock, Creative Annualized Recurring Revenue or ARR achieved sequential growth of $262 million. We exited the quarter with approximately $2.3 billion of Creative ARR. Continuous innovation is the hallmark of Creative Cloud and the catalyst for our retention and growth. In the video space, Adobe continues to trailblaze. Last week at IBC 2015, Europe’s largest professional broadcast conference, we announced the next wave of Creative Cloud innovation coming soon to Adobe Premiere Pro. Featuring groundbreaking support for Ultra HD, brilliant color technology improvements, new touch workflows, Premiere Pro is the leader in professional video. We see a large growth opportunity in enabling film and broadcast customers to transition to an entirely Adobe-based workflow. Marquee customers continue to make the switch to Premiere Pro. 20th Century Fox is using Adobe’s video solution for its upcoming movie Deadpool which opens in February. Creative Cloud innovation is forging ahead in the mobile space where our mission is to help creatives bridge their desktop and mobile design processes into a seamless Creative workflow. One of our most anticipated mobile apps, Photoshop Fix, debuted last week on stage at Apple’s launch event. Photoshop Fix will deliver incredible retouching capabilities to a mainstream mobile-first audience while providing pros with a handy tool for quick edits. Our plan to deliver new values with services such as Adobe Stock to augment our desktop and mobile applications is off to a strong start. Customers appreciate the deep integration of Adobe Stock in our Creative applications and are adopting Creative Cloud subscription offerings that include Adobe Stock. We will continue to deliver new services and partner with a broader ecosystem to make Creative Cloud the one-stop shop for creative inspiration. In July we announced our next generation digital publishing solution. Already the leader in the publishing segment, our new DPS offering will enable brands to easily repurpose their existing marketing content into immersive mobile apps without writing code. Next month we will hold our MAX Creativity Conference in Los Angeles. MAX has become the annual meeting place for the Creative community and we expect this to be our biggest event ever. We are excited to showcase how customers are changing the world with their creativity and we will unveil our newest Creative Cloud technology. In our documents business, reception to our new Adobe Document Cloud and Acrobat DC has been positive. Success with the new launch helps to drive Document Cloud revenue of $194 million in Q3. We grew Document Cloud ARR to $357 million exiting the quarter. Document Cloud ARR is increasing based on enterprise adoption as well as the growth of individual subscriptions with new users. We continue to expand our offering in e-signatures through integrations with a vibrant and growing enterprise partner ecosystem including Ariba, Salesforce, and Workday. Across our Creative Cloud and Document Cloud businesses, total digital media ARR grew to $2.65 billion as of the end of Q3. Adobe Marketing Cloud continues to be the leader in the exploding digital marketing category offering the most complete set of solutions and a robust partner network with strong bookings in Q3 and record marketing cloud revenue of $368 million, representing 27% year-over-year growth. In July, we held sold-out Digital Marketing events in Sydney and Singapore where we hosted thousands of marketers for a day of inspiration, education, and networking. Customers on stage included Starwood Hotels and Resorts, Unilever, Nestlé, Rakuten, and Tourism Australia. Next week we will host nearly 2,000 customers at our symposia in Tokyo and San Francisco. Partners continue to be a critical part of our digital marketing strategy. Last week we announced the WPP Adobe Alliance and expanded partnership with WPP, one of the world’s largest agency networks. WPP agencies will become certified Adobe Marketing Cloud experts with the skills required to design and develop, sell, deploy, and operate our solutions throughout their network. Adobe announced a major advancement in our programmatic ad platform for advertisers and media publishers leveraging fully integrated solutions in Adobe Marketing Cloud. Powered by Adobe Media Optimizer, the new self-service technology allows advertisers to take direct control of automated ad buying for search, display, and social media across ad exchanges and media networks like Google, Facebook, and Yahoo!. Tight integration with Adobe Analytics and Adobe Audience Manager ensures that advertisers can tap into data to refine and target granular audience segments. Dynamic creative capabilities enable advertisers to use images, videos, and other assets from Creative Cloud to deliver the right content to the right user at the right time. In addition to making this programmatic platform available to advertisers, Adobe also announced its programmatic offering for media publishers. Adobe Primetime, Adobe's TV platform, now supports over-the-top and direct-to-consumer offerings with audience acquisition, engagement, monetization, and measurement capabilities. Recently launched services benefiting from Adobe Primetime include HBO Now, Showtime, MLB, and Sony Pictures Entertainment. Industry analysts continue to recognize our solutions as market leading in their categories. Last month Gartner named Adobe as a leader in two Magic Quadrant reports: Web content management, where we were ranked highest in completeness of vision and mobile application development. Earlier today we announced some changes to our executive team. David Wadhwani has decided to leave Adobe to pursue a CEO opportunity and we’ve named Brian Lampkin to head up the combined digital media business. Brian, who currently leads the Document Cloud business, is no stranger to the Creative business having been one of the architects of both Photoshop and Creative Suite. Under Brian's leadership we have the opportunity to further align Creative Cloud and Document Cloud product development and go-to-market efforts. I want to thank David for his numerous contributions and wish him well. In July we announced Abhay Parasnis as our new CTO. Abhay has 20 years of experience in the enterprise software industry and his charter is to drive Adobe's overall technology strategy, architecture, and innovation roadmap for cloud services. Human resources are our capital at Adobe. In Q3 we announced a new employee leave policy. Progressive benefits such as this help us be recognized as one of the best places to work and enable us to attract and retain incredible talent including a record number of new college hires. Great software comes from great people. I look forward to seeing many of you at our Financial Analyst meeting at MAX in October.

MG
Mark GarrettExecutive Vice President and CFO

In the third quarter of FY15, Adobe achieved record revenue of $1.218 billion. GAAP diluted earnings per share were $0.34 and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share were $0.54. Highlights in our third quarter include, accelerating adoption of Creative Cloud which helps grow Creative ARR to almost $2.03 billion exiting Q3. Building total Digital Media ARR to $2.65 billion which is the sum of Creative ARR plus another strong quarter of Document Cloud ARR growth. Achieving record Adobe Marketing Cloud revenue of $368 million, which represents 27% year-over-year growth, delivering strong year-over-year growth in operating and net income; growing deferred revenue to a record $1.3 billion; achieving strong cash flow from operations of $360 million, and exiting Q3 with a record 73% recurring revenue. In Digital Media, we achieved revenue of $770 million. This segment has two major components of revenue, Creative Cloud and Document Cloud. As we have said, the best overall measure of the health of our creative business is Creative ARR, and in Q3 growth of Creative ARR was strong. We added $262 million of Creative ARR during the quarter, driven by strong net new Creative Cloud subscription ads of 684,000. We exited the quarter with 5,334,000 Creative Cloud subscriptions. Our investor datasheet on adobe.com reflects a favorable adjustment of Creative Cloud subscriptions. We slightly underreported Creative Cloud subscriptions due to how retail point of sale or POSA units were reported. The adjustment added approximately 40,000 net new subscriptions over the prior three quarters. Across all routes to market, we continue to see strong demand for Creative Cloud. We are migrating existing customers to Creative Cloud and attracting large numbers of first-time customers. In addition, we are now migrating significant numbers of hobbyist customers who previously used Photoshop Elements and Lightroom on a perpetual basis to the Creative Cloud photography subscription offering. Adobe Stock is contributing to both ARR and ARPU. Creative Cloud ARPU was consistent with Q2 and Creative Cloud retention remains strong. With our Document Cloud products, we achieved Q3 revenue of $194 million. Adoption of our new Document Cloud offering that shipped during Q2 has been solid, helping to grow Document Cloud ARR to $357 million exiting Q3. Document Cloud reported revenue remains relatively flat as we continue to drive towards our goal of more Acrobat subscriptions, which is reflected in the Document Cloud ARR growth. In our Digital Marketing segment, there are two components. The first is revenue from our Adobe Marketing Cloud offering and we achieved record Adobe Marketing Cloud revenue of $368 million, up 27% year-over-year. Despite currency impact, based on our strong Q3 bookings, we remain on track to achieve 30% or greater Marketing Cloud bookings growth for the year. The second component of our Digital Marketing segment is revenue from the LiveCycle and Connect businesses, which contributed $34 million in Q3 revenue. Print and Publishing segment revenue was $46 million in Q3. Geographically, we experienced stable demand across our major geographies. From a quarter-over-quarter currency perspective, FX decreased revenue by $6 million. We had $9 million in hedge gains in Q3, FY15, versus $22 million in hedge gains in Q2, FY15, thus the net sequential currency decrease to revenue considering hedging gains was $19 million. From a year-over-year currency perspective, FX decreased revenue by $58 million. Considering the $9 million in hedge gains in Q3, FY15, versus $1 million in hedge gains in Q3, FY14, the net year-over-year currency decrease to revenue considering hedging gains was $50 million. In Q3, Adobe's effective tax rate was 25% on a GAAP-basis and 21% on a non-GAAP basis, consistent with our targets for the quarter. Employees at the end of Q3 totaled 13,665 versus 13,266 at the end of last quarter. Our trade DSO was 44 days which compares to 48 days in the year-ago quarter and 39 days last quarter. Cash flow from operations was $360 million in the quarter. Deferred revenue grew to $1.31 billion, up 31% year-over-year. Our ending cash and short-term investment position was $3.67 billion compared to $3.41 billion at the end of Q2. In Q3, we repurchased approximately 1.6 million shares at a cost of $132 million. Now, I’d like to provide our financial outlook. Our overall business remains strong across our key product segments and geographies. We continue to drive large portions of our legacy perpetual businesses to a recurring model and this shift has improved the overall long-term health of our business. ARR, deferred revenue, and unbilled backlog have all grown faster than expected with some short-term impact to revenue. In Digital Media, we have discussed how the transition to subscriptions is happening faster in Creative. We're now seeing a similar trend with Acrobat, Lightroom, and Photoshop Elements. As a result, we’ve consistently raised our Digital Media ARR targets and we’re doing so again for Q4 FY15. Our new Digital Media ARR target for this year is $2.95 billion with slightly lower revenue in Q4 than previously expected. In Digital Marketing, we are driving larger, multi-year, and multi-solution customer contracts. As a result of larger engagements and longer implementation cycles, we are seeing strong growth in deferred revenue and unbilled backlog. We are targeting a Q4 revenue range for Adobe Marketing Cloud of $365 million to $400 million based on the potential variability of contracts that close perpetual versus ratable licensing. We are therefore targeting an overall Adobe Q4 revenue range of $1,275,000,000 to $1,325,000,000. We expect our Q4 share account to be between 506 million to 508 million shares. We're targeting net non-operating expense to be between $40 million and $60 million on both a GAAP and non-GAAP basis. We are targeting a Q4 tax rate of approximately 25% on a GAAP basis and 21% on a non-GAAP basis. These targets yield a Q4 GAAP earnings per share range of $0.32 to $0.38 per share and a Q4 non-GAAP earnings per share range of $0.56 to $0.62. In summary, we delivered record results once again and are focused on a strong finish in Q4. We remain excited about our long-term growth prospects and look forward to sharing a financial roadmap with you at MAX in a few weeks.

MS
Mike SaviageVP, Investor Relations

Thanks, Mark. As we have discussed, Adobe MAX is coming up next month in Los Angeles with the main keynote presentation on Monday, October 5. We will host a financial analyst meeting on the afternoon of day two at MAX, which is Tuesday, October 6. Registration information for MAX and the Analyst Meeting was sent out during the summer, and more information about our user conference is available at max.adobe.com. If you haven't already signed up and need registration information, send an email to IR at adobe.com. If you’re unable to attend in person, we will provide a live video webcast of the meeting along with an archive. For those who wish to listen to a playback of today's conference call, a web-based archive of the call will be available on our IR site later today. Alternatively, you can listen to a phone replay by calling 855-859-2056; use conference ID number 24899607. Again, the number is 855-859-2056 with ID number 24899607. International callers should dial 404-537-3406. The phone playback service will be available beginning at 5 pm Pacific Time today and ending at 5 pm Pacific Time on Friday, October 2nd. We would now be happy to take your questions, and we ask that you limit your questions to one per person.

Operator

Our first question comes from Steve Ashley at Robert W. Baird. Your line is open.

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SA
Steven AshleyAnalyst

Great. Thanks so much. Mark, I’d just like to drill down, you talked about the fourth quarter, the revenue guidance being slightly lower than you had originally expected. You laid out the fact that there has been a conversion outside of Creative Cloud with some of the single products. Wonder if you could just talk about which of those products might be seeing the most aggressive transition, and maybe the magnitude of the impact of that dynamic?

SN
Shantanu NarayenPresident and CEO

Sure. Steve, let me again maybe just touch on what we're seeing happening across the industry and then I think we can have Mark answer that specific question, because the industry shift to the subscription business model is clearly helping drive both customer intimacy and productivity, as well as predictability in the business. We clearly see that accelerating. As you know, we were the pioneer in moving desktop software to the cloud and now we see actually all major software vendors on the desktop adopting similar strategies. From a color point of view while the Creative business has mostly transitioned, we are seeing the same trends and increased adoption of subscription in both our imaging hobbyist business where Photoshop Elements customers are now subscribing instead to the Creative Cloud photography program and Acrobat users especially on adobe.com are moving increasingly to the subscription offering much like what I think Microsoft is also seeing with Office 365. So that's a big trend that we are seeing across. On the Enterprise side, Steve, it's slightly different because the trend has a little more variability based on industry verticals as to their preference of whether they want to go with the subscription or ratable versus perpetual. And so the overall mix may be a little harder to predict, but the strength of our overall business during the transition is not being impacted. So maybe with that as a big picture of what we are seeing Mark can address your question.

MG
Mark GarrettExecutive Vice President and CFO

Yes, so Steve on the Digital Media side, Shantanu just touched on and it’s Hobbyist, it’s Lightroom, and it’s Acrobat. If you look at ARR, because as you know for the past four years we’ve been talking about this transition, if you look at ARR over the course of this year, we raised it twice. We started at $2.9 billion. In Q2 we raised it to $2.925 billion, now in Q3 we are raising it another $25 million to $2.95 billion. That $50 million increase in ARR if you use that old rule of thumb that we used to have of each dollar of ARR is roughly $3 of revenue that’s a lot of revenue. It’s moved over during the course of this year. So from a Digital Media perspective, you clearly see it in ARR. On the Digital Marketing side, it’s a similar story, but slightly different metrics. We had some perpetual in the fourth quarter that closed early in Q3, that’s why you saw 27% year-over-year growth instead of 21% year-over-year growth. We are seeing larger multi-year deals and those deals are great for locking customers but they have, as we said longer implementation cycles. What you’re going to see though is on the Digital Marketing side reflected in deferred revenue and unbilled backlog, really nice increases. And by the end of this year, I’d anticipate that the two of those together, deferred and unbilled backlog will be over $3.5 billion. That’s $3.5 billion of closed business that will get recognized to revenue over time. So that’s really healthy both in Digital Media on the ARR side and Digital Marketing on the deferred and unbilled backlog side.

SA
Steven AshleyAnalyst

Perfect. Really helpful. Thank you.

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Ross MacMillan with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

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RM
Ross MacMillanAnalyst

Great. Thanks a lot and congrats on a great quarter. Just two questions from me. Just on the sub adds, Mark, you have the mix between full Creative Cloud and single app, do you have that?

MG
Mark GarrettExecutive Vice President and CFO

I do. It’s 54% for full, 46% for single app.

RM
Ross MacMillanAnalyst

That's interesting. Along those lines, are you beginning to notice a shift from the Creative Suite base, excluding CS6, to the Creative Cloud now that we're three years beyond the launch of CS6? I'm just curious to understand what we're observing in that area.

SN
Shantanu NarayenPresident and CEO

Ross, I will take that. Yes, we’re definitely seeing a good mix. I think we’ve characterized the CS6 base as a healthy base for us to migrate to the Creative Cloud. To give you an example, one of the things that we have been talking about is how international adoption in the past was lagging the adoption of Creative Cloud within the U.S. In the quarter that just finished, we saw some great progress with respect to migrating the CS6 base in Japan. So Japan had a good quarter and as you know the perpetual business was healthier there later in the cycle relative to the U.S. And so clearly the CS6 base continues to be a base that we think is ripe for migration to the Creative Cloud and we’re clearly seeing signs of success in transitioning them from Creative Suite to Creative Cloud.

RM
Ross MacMillanAnalyst

That's great. Maybe one if I could squeeze it. Just on Digital Marketing, Mark last year we’ve the shift where I think you went to 75% term ratable. If we get to low end of the Q4 revenues, where we’re going to stand in that sort of ratable mix within Digital Marketing Cloud? Thanks.

MG
Mark GarrettExecutive Vice President and CFO

If we were at the lower end, that would mean most of the perpetual in Q4 would have moved over to subscription, because the pull in of that perpetual into Q3 was a piece of what we were anticipating in Q4 and then the range that you see is basically a mix of perpetual moving to subscription depending on whether you’re at the high end or the low end. There would be very little left at the low end.

RM
Ross MacMillanAnalyst

That’s great. Congrats again. Thank you.

SN
Shantanu NarayenPresident and CEO

Thanks, Ross.

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Brent Thill with UBS. Your line is now open.

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BT
Brent ThillAnalyst

Thanks. A question just on Digital Marketing. Mark, you mentioned that you’re seeing larger deals, you’re seeing longer deals, I’m just curious if you can just give us a little more color around perhaps what you’re seeing in the overall lift of ASPs and when you look at the contract duration, is there been a change in terms of what you’re seeing, maybe you could comment on what the duration is and I had a quick follow-up just as it relates to Digital Marketing.

SN
Shantanu NarayenPresident and CEO

Sure. Brent, why don’t I give you a little bit of color on what’s happening with Digital Marketing. As you know when we first started the business and we had these different solutions, we would be selling primarily to practitioners who continue to be important buyers within the companies. When we were selling into the practitioners, the practitioners would implement the product virtually instantly and we recognize revenue and it’s up and running. As more and more customers adopt the entire Creative Cloud and multiple solutions, what they’re doing is they’re standardizing on the Adobe solution, but the sequence with which they implement each of the solutions is still they implement one then they may implement others. What Mark was alluding to was these deals if they are in the million-dollar-plus range, it has to do with more solutions being acquired and then them implementing it sequentially, which is why you see it in unbilled backlog and you see it in deferred revenue but you don’t see it translate to revenue as quickly. From our point of view, that’s all great because they’re standardizing on our platform. The value proposition of the entire Marketing Cloud is working with them, Brent, and we recognize in the larger picture, it’s actually a more predictable and healthy business for us. The other thing that’s also seeing good traction is the managed services, which again is in our best interest because those deal sizes are larger and we’ve tremendous visibility into how they’re using our solutions.

BT
Brent ThillAnalyst

Okay. Just to clarify, you’ve been mentioning 30% backlog growth for quite some time, yet the revenue seems to be understated, and it appears that the milestone to achieve that keeps getting delayed. Should we consider anything else, or is this simply a result of the issues you just mentioned? There seems to be a lot of uncertainty surrounding this that has been lingering for quite a while.

MG
Mark GarrettExecutive Vice President and CFO

Yes, I understand Brent. It’s Mark. I think you meant 30% bookings growth, you said backlog …

BT
Brent ThillAnalyst

That’s right.

MG
Mark GarrettExecutive Vice President and CFO

... but yes 30% bookings growth, no there’s nothing else going on. I mean, that’s really what it is. A lot of it is just moment of perpetual; a lot of it is as Shantanu just said this larger multiyear transactions as well. And like I said, you do see it in unbilled and deferred.

BT
Brent ThillAnalyst

Great. Thanks.

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Brad Zelnick with Jefferies. Your line is now open.

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BZ
Brad ZelnickAnalyst

Thanks very much. And I will also echo my congratulations on a nice Q3. I want to revisit the first question that was asked, maybe to ask a little bit differently. Trying to resolve the Digital Media ARR outlook for next quarter going up with revenue coming down and logically there are only two ways that make sense to me to get there either your linearity assumptions changed and you thought you could achieve greater ARR in Q3 or more earlier within Q4 or the mix of subscription versus product change which you already spoke to. And if that’s the case, how can you forecast that or maybe ask differently what’s changed in a way that you’re offering those three products in Q4 that gives you the visibility to know that the take rate will be more subscription versus product?

SN
Shantanu NarayenPresident and CEO

That's a good question, Brad. What is happening in the imaging business is that the traditional Q4 cycle has changed. We used to release a version of Photoshop Elements every Q4, generating predictable perpetual revenue. We also have Lightroom, which is available both as a perpetual product and as part of the Creative Cloud photography subscription. As we see more customers migrating to the subscription model, it's clear they are choosing this over the perpetual offering. This means Photoshop Elements isn't seeing the usual changes we expect in Q4, and the shift of Lightroom to subscription is affecting our revenue. Additionally, as Mark mentioned, every $10 million in annual recurring revenue is approximately leading to $30 million in overall revenue. Looking at our Q4 targets, about half of the high-end estimate is likely coming from Digital Media, which is increasingly represented through annual recurring revenue. I hope that clarifies things.

BZ
Brad ZelnickAnalyst

Thanks for taking my question Shantanu. It’s helpful. And I will save my others for a couple of weeks when I see you all at MAX.

SN
Shantanu NarayenPresident and CEO

Thank you.

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Sterling Auty with JPMorgan. Your line is open.

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SA
Sterling AutyAnalyst

Yes, thanks guys. I apologize I got kicked off the call, so it may have been asked, but what’s causing the longer implementation time that you mentioned in your prepared remarks? And also geographically where are you seeing the best strength in terms of the Creative Cloud net adds?

SN
Shantanu NarayenPresident and CEO

The Creative Cloud Net adds, Sterling, continue to be strong everywhere. One of the things I talked about earlier was that Japan which we’ve had a lag relative to the adoption of Creative Cloud in the U.S is now showing good strength. We had the CS6 sold in Japan later than we had in any other country and now that’s CS6 base, whether it's in Japan or Germany, other countries, we’re certainly seeing migration of that into the Creative Cloud, which all goes well for continued strength of Creative Cloud across the globe. And with respect to the implementation cycles, what I had mentioned was that as we move from selling to practitioners single solutions to selling entire Marketing Cloud and multiple solutions higher up in the chain, what’s still happening is the implementation of the solutions happens sequentially. Therefore, as soon as the solution goes live we start to recognize it. So they standardize on the Adobe product which results in the bookings and the unbilled backlog, but the implementation because it is multiple solutions takes a little longer than single solution.

SA
Sterling AutyAnalyst

Got it. Thank you guys.

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Walter Pritchard with Citi. Your line is open.

O
WP
Walter PritchardAnalyst

Hi, thanks. Shantanu, I've noticed that while the full suite adds are contributing to your growth, the rate of growth is slowing down a bit. Additionally, it seems that you are being less aggressive with promotions this year, particularly in the August quarter where we are monitoring it. I'm curious about your approach to continuing to convert full suite customers. It seems like you may be feeling confident about this since you are not being as promotional, but we are observing that the gross adds calculated from the full suite are decelerating compared to the first half of your fiscal year.

SN
Shantanu NarayenPresident and CEO

Yes, I think we had a good Creative Cloud subscription addition across almost all our offerings. The team had a very strong quarter, and we remain optimistic about our ability to migrate Creative Suite customers to Creative Cloud. You are also correct that we had fewer promotions this quarter, which I believe highlights the distinction we’ve made between Creative Cloud and the old Creative Suite products. In Q4, we expect to see continued strength. We will discuss this further at MAX regarding all the new developments and our expectations for the business in 2016 and beyond.

WP
Walter PritchardAnalyst

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Kash Rangan with Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Your line is open.

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KR
Kash RanganAnalyst

Hi, guys. Thank you for taking my question. I apologize for the background noise here. Mark, if you could just parse for us the new guidance maybe take the midpoint of your revenue versus where Wall Street had been and break it down into how much of the delta is coming from the Digital Marketing business rev rec changes vis-à-vis the Digital Media that will be helpful. And also as it pertains to Digital Marketing are we completely done with this, because I remember you’re saying that about 70% of the business was booked at subscription not too long ago, but basically you commented that you expect that number could be higher, and so effectively are you going to be completely done and devoid of surprises in the Digital Marketing subscriptions? Thank you.

MG
Mark GarrettExecutive Vice President and CFO

Hi, Kash, it’s about half and half in terms of the new guidance to the old guidance from a revenue perspective. So about half of it is Digital Media driven which is now showing up in ARR and about half of it is Digital Marketing driven which is showing up in deferred and un-built backlog. So it’s roughly half and half. On the mix, yes you’re right, we said it was moving towards 70-30 or even 80-20 but if you do the math that’s, it’s still a lot of dollars of perpetual revenue in any given quarter. So, there is going to be some variability based on customer preference as we said and we closed some of it in Q3 instead of Q4 but there’s still going to be some variability in the fourth quarter and that’s why we gave you a range. At the high end of that range right at that $400 million, which is the high end of the range, we would still hit the 24% year-over-year growth that we said we would go in Digital Marketing for the second half.

KR
Kash RanganAnalyst

Got it. I think it’s actually a good thing and I completely agree with you guys that you’re designing the solutions such a way to assume the recognition of revenue ratably, but as a quick check just so investments are offered that the data, is there a way which we can say that you expected your off-balance sheet, on balance sheet backlog that for revenue to be X, but as a result of the shift you expect it to be Y at the end of this year so we can see that as opposed to the Digital Media business where you clearly pointed out that ARR increase can be match fit with a corresponding 150 million or whatever, is there something like that that we can offer to investors as to what to look for if you report the end year results as far as backlog for digital markets is concerned? Thank you.

MG
Mark GarrettExecutive Vice President and CFO

Yes. On the Digital Media side, there is, because we originally guided to $2.9 billion and ARR is now going to be $2.95 billion. So there is a lot of increase to ARR in the Digital Media side, so you can clearly show that. On the Digital Marketing side granted it’s a little bit harder. We don’t guide on deferred revenue, we don’t guide on unbilling backlog. I will tell you though, it’s growing faster, both of those are growing faster than our own expectations, that’s about all I could give you right now.

SN
Shantanu NarayenPresident and CEO

And Kash, maybe I’ll just repeat again what Mark said, which was in Q3 we definitely saw strength in the perpetual licensing which was reflected in the 21%. We had strong bookings in Q3, we continue to see the pipeline is really strong for Q4 and we expect a strong finish. For Q4 the high end of the range, it’s really identical to the targets that we provided at the end of the Q2 call with respect to what kind of revenue achievement we expect for the second half of fiscal ‘15. So I think the fact that we continue to reiterate 30% bookings and now this is in, even despite the change in currency. So I think those are some of the factors which give us continued confidence in the momentum of the Digital Marketing business.

KR
Kash RanganAnalyst

Nice work gentlemen. Thank you.

MM
Mark MoerdlerAnalyst

Thank you very much. So drilling a little more on the, Adobe has moved to the Cloud, what's driving that adoption now, is it pricing, is it functionality or how should we think about what the key drivers and then I have a quick follow-up?

SN
Shantanu NarayenPresident and CEO

Mark, I believe the strength of the Photoshop brand and its name combined with the rapid pace of innovation within Creative Cloud—much quicker than the traditional 12-month Photoshop element cycles—are significant factors. Additionally, we're starting to notice the impact of our mobile apps. We're seeing impressive usage across imaging, particularly with Lightroom mobile and what can be accomplished on smartphones, highlighted by tens of millions of downloads of our mobile applications. When we analyze usage data in imaging across various devices, we observe a strong correlation to higher retention rates. Therefore, the move towards these elements is largely influenced by the appeal of both Lightroom and Photoshop, along with their mobile capabilities.

MM
Mark MoerdlerAnalyst

Okay. And a quick follow-up, how should we think about, I know you said that Adobe stock is strong in terms of adoption. Can you give us a little more color of how that is going? Were you expecting it to, how we should think about stock having an impact?

SN
Shantanu NarayenPresident and CEO

Well, it’s early. I think when Mark had given us targets for how much revenue we expect to see added when we had talked about the revenue addition for Fotolia versus the revenue reduction at that point for currency. I would say we’re on track with that business, it’s early. We’re seeing people both add to and existing Creative Cloud subscription with stock and we are starting to see people adopt the new subscription offers that have the Creative Cloud complete plus stock. So I realize that’s not quantifying it yet for you, but relative to any of the targets that we’ve provided earlier, we’re on track.

MM
Mark MoerdlerAnalyst

Okay. One other quick question, what's the percentage of subs with annual contracts, do we know that?

SN
Shantanu NarayenPresident and CEO

Yes, we do Mark. It's about 97% annual and 3% month-to-month.

KM
Kirk MaterneAnalyst

Thank you very much, and I want to congratulate you on the quarter. There has been a lot of discussion about your transition to certain elements of software that may not have been obtained legally in the past. I'm curious to hear your thoughts on the traction you've seen, particularly in international markets with your suite. Do you believe you are recapturing any casual piracy, specifically among hobbyists? Additionally, could you briefly address the competitive landscape as you enter into multi-year, multi-product deals? That’s all. Thank you.

SN
Shantanu NarayenPresident and CEO

Sure, to answer both your questions, the first thing I would say is relative to the new seat adoption that we’re seeing, the new seat adoption is definitely being driven both by creators who are entering the market as well as casual pirates who existed for whom the lower price of entry is far more attractive way to have legal software than not. There’s no question about that, we hear that anecdotally all the time that people are pleased with the fact that they can have legitimate software. As we’re delivering more Cloud-based services, as you know the only way to use the mobile apps and share content between the mobile apps as well as our Creative Cloud is by having a subscription. So I think that’s also as we see more creative sync and creative profile being used, that’s certainly driving that. So I think we feel good about that. With respect to your second question on completion. I think our differentiator continues to be honestly the content and data part, and there’s nobody that comes at it with respect to having the kind of content infrastructure that we have to enable them to re-platform their websites which is a massive trend as well as the fact that we have the analytics. We had this announcement recently also about what we’re doing with respect to a programmatic advertising platform that also leverages the fact that we have analytics. So I think the unique differentiation was analytics in the past. It continues to be audience manager right now, because for the first time people can have the same audience, the same segment, the same campaign, the same content, the same assets used across all of our marketing solutions. With respect to external competition, I think we still see a number of point product vendors that are in that marketplace and I think you’re seeing the larger ISVs as well start to identify marketing as one of the large growth opportunities for them and Oracle is the company that’s probably done a lot of acquisitions in that space. But we like our differentiation and we continue to execute on it.

KW
Keith WeissAnalyst

I just want to thank you guys for taking the question and congrats on a very nice quarter. Maybe just to carry on the theme of the marketing environment, the competitive environment, one of the things a lot of us have been looking for in this space for quite some time is that sort of consolidation of what has been a very fragmented market. Where do you think we are in that progress of the marketing cost ever being more willing to consolidate multiple solutions into one suite just from a prior market perspective? And then how do you sort of help to push that along?

SN
Shantanu NarayenPresident and CEO

I think, Keith, the thing that I hear a lot when I talk to customers and I spend a lot of time with customers is, this notion of digital transformation and digital disruption at the C-suite is front and center across every single industry. Without a doubt that is leading to people looking at larger systems and saying, how do we transform our business to drive more direct relationship with customers and build a customer-centric company. So I think every C-suite that I’m talking to, whether you’re in retail, whether you’re in financial services, that’s a thing that’s leading to understanding which companies, which vendors have a larger offering in that particular space. I think as they think through that, they’re also having to reorganize the marketing function because search versus commerce, versus revenue has traditionally been in different places. I think you’re seeing that play out over the next year, couple of years, but I think you are seeing more of them recognize that having a unified platform is the way to go. We still sell to practitioners and we still have to make sure we’re best of breed in each of the individual solutions, but I would say increasingly our deals especially the new customer acquisition is a larger deal that’s being sold higher in the chain.

KW
Keith WeissAnalyst

Okay. And can I just stick one last one, just on the broader environment, there’s been a lot of obviously market turmoil particularly around emerging markets. How have you seen overall demand trends particularly internationally sustain throughout the quarter?

SN
Shantanu NarayenPresident and CEO

Well maybe this is one of the benefits of not having too much of emerging markets, business or presence in the creative space that it’s not really impacting us. So we continue to see strength across most international markets. As you know in Digital Marketing that’s primarily the UK, Germany, Japan, and Australia where we have significant presence and some presence in other places. But I think as we said on the prepared remarks, the interest in the solutions when we were in Singapore or when you’re in Sydney or now in Tokyo, all of these symposia being held to sold-out audiences. So the awareness and the understanding of this as one of those important technologies is only growing.

DW
Derrick WoodAnalyst

Thanks. Mark, given the accelerated mix shift and the model on the revenue side, does that impact the framework you’ve given for 2016 expectations on revenue and EPS or maybe do we need to think about trends in gross margins in any different way?

MG
Mark GarrettExecutive Vice President and CFO

I don’t know if they need to think about trends in gross margins in any different way. As it relates to ’16, we don’t typically comment on next year until we get to the Q4 call. So I can't really give you any insights into ’16, but it shouldn’t have any significant movement in gross margins. Because on the creative side, it’s not a fully hosted offering, it’s got Cloud componentry to it, but it’s not a huge Cloud component.

DW
Derrick WoodAnalyst

Okay. Shantanu, I’d like to know how you evaluate the impact of some of your services that enhance ARPU on the creative platform. You have options like social, talent search, Fotolia with stock content, and offerings such as video and mobile apps. Could you provide insight on their relative impact in driving additional ARR and how you foresee that growing in the upcoming quarters?

SN
Shantanu NarayenPresident and CEO

I think with respect to new services that have the largest potential upside, we continue to think that Adobe Stock is what drives upside in terms of ARR. Usage of Behance is driving higher retention. So the way we look at what's happening with Behance is being part of the community because that’s included for the most part. There are some value-added services as you point out, but for the most part Behance is driving greater retention. Video is driving more usage from single app to the CC complete. So I think we look at each of the different ones as driving either an increase in ARPU as you pointed out or as driving greater retention, both of which from our point of view are useful, because as you know as people move off of any promotional pricing retention is something that’s key to us and adding increased value is important in that respect.

BB
Brendan BarnicleAnalyst

Thanks so much. Shantanu, I wanted to follow-up on Keith’s question about the Marketing Cloud and you alluded to uncertainty that C-suite has and they’re figuring what to do with their marketing strategy. Is that the biggest obstacle that you run into in terms of closing Marketing Clouds, that folks are still trying to figure out what tools to work with or is this something else that’s holding up deals?

SN
Shantanu NarayenPresident and CEO

No, I actually continue to feel like the awareness and the importance of that deal is actually playing to our favor rather than the other way around and that’s why we continue to see strong bookings and it’s leading to larger deal sizes rather than the other way around. So from our point of view, we have the most comprehensive offering. We’re the leader in that particular category and so those deals actually play to Adobe’s favor.

MG
Mark GarrettExecutive Vice President and CFO

Thank you.

SN
Shantanu NarayenPresident and CEO

Thank you.

Operator

Operator, we’re coming up in the top of the hour. Let’s do two more questions, please.

O
HB
Heather BelliniAnalyst

Great. Thank you for taking the question. I just wanted to follow-up on Adobe Stock for a second. I was just wondering if you can share with us where you've seen the best opportunity for cross-sell and also, if you have a sense of when you look out for the potential of the attachment here in your install base, how you are framing that opportunity?

SN
Shantanu NarayenPresident and CEO

Sure, Heather, I think what we’ve said in the past is approximately 85% and greater of that is of the buyers as well as the sellers are using Adobe products. And when you think about the size of that market which is in the multiple billions, that represents an opportunity for us to add value to the customers. In terms of what we’ve done Heather for the integration, as you know within Photoshop and all of our products, you now have the ability to both put something up on the market place to sell as well as you have the ability to search for something when you’re starting with a blank canvas and you want to get a creative idea or inspiration to get something going. So integrating it into the workflow makes a lot of sense. And what we’re also offering right now is new subscriptions which say if you are getting a subscription where you know what kind of demand you have for stock, you can buy all of the complete applications in addition to the stock. So I think the value within the workflow is well understood, both the supply and demand participate with us. I think two things maybe underappreciated as we are building this business. The first is the number of people who are running campaigns and when you’re running a campaign using our Marketing Cloud technology being able to use this stock to also stock your campaign progress and time that in we showed brief sneak of that. We think that, that’s an opportunity for us to drive it and second is, within the enterprise. So as we’re selling enterprise ETLAs, there isn’t an enterprise in the world that doesn’t have a marketing department that’s procuring stock. If we can demonstrate the value of how an enterprise ETLA for the creative products can include stock as part of that, we think that has value as well.

PW
Philip WinslowAnalyst

Hi, guys. Thanks for taking my question. Most of my questions have been answered. But I wanted to actually double click on something you talked about earlier, the TAM expansion on the creative side. Obviously you had great user count growth in particular the past couple of quarters and you’ve done a great job of framing the Creative Cloud transition looking to call it your core users, but if you think about net TAM expansion in incremental users, what if you could just help us kind of with the math about how you think about these new sort of lower price products expanding the TAM, just any sort of guidepost there would be really helpful?

MG
Mark GarrettExecutive Vice President and CFO

Yes, Phil, I think we’ll definitely share more of that at MAX and so that’s a good segue to match because sharing the numbers for example of how many people have bought our consumer photography offerings in the past that we did not include as part of the TAM or the market, that’s certainly expansion capabilities that are now available for us. As we’re getting more information on piracy and understanding what kind of activations we may have seen, giving you a little bit more color on that with respect to the TAM I think is another way for us to expand. So we’re looking forward to MAX, we will share with you more information on TAMs at MAX and hopefully give you insight into in addition to the core migration of the Creative Suite customer to Create a Cloud. How this market expansion with respect to targeting new users as well as users who traditionally may have used other products or value expansion, which is how we can sell new services like talent or like Adobe stock into that existing base help us expand our TAM. So I think we’ll be certainly sharing more information with you on that. MAX is coming up in a few weeks, so we look forward to seeing you as well as others at MAX. Let me just end by thanking you for joining us again on the call today. From my point of view, we had a strong quarter, the underlying trends in our business in both Digital Media and Digital Marketing continue to be strong. I look at it and say, whether it’s a student retouching a photo on their tablet, a director making the latest blockbuster film or what you see as a consumer brand publishing their marketing content across the web and mobile. It’s clear that Adobe technology is at the heart of the world’s best experiences and we look forward to increasing that. Thank you for joining us today.

Operator

And this concludes our call. Thank you.

O