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V Fair Value Estimate

Is Visa Inc - Class A (V) fairly priced at $308.88? We used 3 separate valuation methods on real SEC data. Here's what they show.

All 3 models say it's worth around

$123.46

Composite fair value (average of 3 models)

60% above fair value

Fair value

$123.46

Market price

$308.88

What would I earn buying today?

(CAGR)

-16.8%

per year

What's a safe entry price?

(margin of safety)

$104.95

15% buffer below fair value

Do the models agree?

(model consensus)

3/3

overvalued

How we got this number

Each model asks a different question about V's value. Tap any one to see the exact math — every number comes from a real SEC filing.

All 3 models agree: overvalued — but model fitness is low-to-medium for Credit Services stocks. Consider running a full DCF for a deeper view.

Has V ever been cheap? (price vs fair value)

Fair value vs actual stock price over the last ~2.5 years. The shaded area is the "hope premium" — what buyers pay above fundamentals, betting on future growth.

Market priceFair valueHope premium
✦ The short answer

The short answer: no. Visa Inc - Class A has stayed above its formula-based fair value the whole time shown. This is common for fast-growing firms — the market prices in future earnings these backward-looking models can't capture. It doesn't mean a crash is coming, but buyers are paying for expectations, not today's fundamentals.

Think these models are too simple?

They are — on purpose. For deeper analysis using free cash flow, growth decay, and terminal value, try the full DCF Calculator. Or let X-Ray guide you through a full 5-step investment review.

About the Fair Value Calculator

This tool estimates intrinsic value using three independent models: the Graham Number (earnings × book value), a PEG-Adjusted fair P/E approach, and an Earnings-Based DCF that projects future earnings. All three are averaged for a composite fair value with upside or downside versus market price.

Using multiple models matters — one formula never tells the full story. When all three point in the same direction, the signal gains weight.

How It Works

Graham Number: sqrt(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — a conservative upper bound based on earnings and net asset value.

PEG-Adjusted: Computes a fair P/E by matching the growth rate (PEG benchmark of 1.0), then applies that to current earnings.

Earnings-Based DCF: Projects future earnings, prices them using the sector median P/E, then discounts back to today.

The composite averages all three equally. Model fitness ratings tell you which results to trust most for this stock.

Is Visa Inc - Class A Fairly Priced?

Example

Three valuation methods were applied to Visa Inc - Class A (V) using live SEC filing data. Each one asks a different question — and they don't always agree.

Graham Number — Benjamin Graham's formula: sqrt(22.5 × EPS × Book Value). For V with EPS of $10.20 and book value of $20.50, the Graham Number lands at $$68.59. This model was designed for asset-heavy firms — it often sets a low floor for asset-light companies.

PEG Ratio — Peter Lynch's insight: a stock's P/E should match its growth rate. V grows earnings at 8.8% per year, so a fair P/E of 8.8x gives a PEG-adjusted fair value of $$89.95. The market P/E of 27.5x is higher than what growth justifies.

Earnings-Based DCF — Projects earnings 5 years forward at 8.8%, prices the future stock using the Financial Services sector median P/E of 20x (not V's own inflated multiple), then discounts back at 8%. Result: $$211.85.

ModelFair Valuevs. Market Price ($308.88)
Graham Number$68.59350% above
PEG-Adjusted$89.95243% above
Earnings-Based DCF$211.8546% above

All three models agree that V appears overvalued. When independent methods using different data reach the same conclusion, the signal is stronger.

Frequently asked questions

The Fair Value Calculator runs three separate models on every S&P 500 stock. The Graham Number uses earnings and book value to find a safe price floor. The PEG Ratio checks if the P/E ratio matches earnings growth. The Earnings-Based DCF projects future earnings and brings them back to today's value. We average all three for a combined fair value, and show how much they agree.

Try it now — run all three valuation models for V with live financial data.

Back to calculator

All data from Visa Inc - Class A SEC filings via Tiingo · Calculations by GoodMoat · Last refreshed Apr 25, 2026

This is not financial advice. Fair value models are estimates based on past data and assumptions.

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