AAP Fair Value Estimate
$4.1891.9% overvalued
Blended fair value estimate based on DCF, Graham Number, and earnings-based models.
Advance Auto Parts Inc
Exchange: NYSESector: Consumer CyclicalIndustry: Specialty Retail
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. is a leading automotive aftermarket parts provider that serves both professional installers and do-it-yourself customers. As of April 19, 2025, Advance operated 4,285 stores primarily within the United States, with additional locations in Canada, Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. The Company also served 881 independently owned Carquest branded stores across these locations in addition to Mexico and various Caribbean islands.
Did you know?
Carries 1.7x more debt than cash on its balance sheet.
Current Price
$51.83
-4.72%GoodMoat Value
$4.18
91.9% overvaluedProfile
Valuation (TTM)
Market Cap$3.11B
P/E70.70
EV$5.15B
P/B1.42
Shares Out60.02M
P/Sales0.36
Revenue$8.60B
EV/EBITDA17.61
Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) Valuation
AAP Valuation Metrics
FCF$-277.00M
FCF Growth Rate—
EPS Growth (CAGR)—
WACC10.00%
Fair Value Models
Graham Number, PEG-based, and Earnings-based models
View Fair Value →AAP Valuation & Fair Value Analysis
Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) valuation analysis using multiple fair value methodologies. GoodMoat calculates a blended fair value target using discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis, the Graham Number, and earnings-based valuation models.
The GoodMoat Fair Value target for Advance Auto Parts Inc is $4.18. The current stock price is $51.83, suggesting the stock is 1140.7% overvalued.
The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 70.70. Price-to-book ratio is 1.42. Price-to-sales ratio is 0.36. Enterprise value to EBITDA is 17.61. PEG ratio is -0.70.
GoodMoat's valuation models include the Graham Number (based on EPS and book value), an earnings-based model (discounted future EPS), and a PEG-adjusted valuation. The three models are averaged to produce a blended fair value estimate. Use these tools alongside the DCF calculator and reverse DCF to form a comprehensive view of Advance Auto Parts Inc's intrinsic value.