Baxter International Inc
Every day, Baxter and the Baxter Foundation strive to make a meaningful difference in the lives of people who depend on our products, and in the communities where our employees live and work. The Foundation helps advance Baxter's Mission to Save and Sustain Lives by partnering with organizations around the world to increase access to healthcare for the underserved, develop the next generation of innovators who will lead the way in advancing healthcare and create a positive, long-lasting impact in communities globally. For more information, please visit Baxter's Corporate Responsibility page. Baxter is a registered trademark of Baxter International Inc. or its subsidiaries. i Carey, Ben, et al., 2022, PLOS One ii Kline et al., 2020, Academic Emergency Medicine SOURCE Pet Partners
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168.6% undervaluedBaxter International Inc (BAX) — Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
AI Call Summary AI-generated
The 30-second take
Baxter's third-quarter results fell short of expectations, mainly due to problems with a key infusion pump and weaker demand for IV fluids. The new CEO is taking immediate action to stabilize the business, including a major cut to the dividend to pay down debt faster. While there are clear challenges, management expressed confidence in the company's long-term foundation and is implementing a new system to improve performance.
Key numbers mentioned
- Third quarter global sales totaled $2.8 billion.
- Adjusted earnings per share were $0.69 for the quarter.
- Full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance is now $2.35 to $2.40.
- Quarterly dividend will be reduced to $0.01 per share starting in January 2026.
- Free cash flow was $126 million in the third quarter.
- U.S. capital orders for Care and Connectivity Solutions increased 30% compared to the prior year.
What management is worried about
- The shipment and installation hold on the Novum IQ Large Volume pump is expected to remain in place beyond year-end, leading some customers to evaluate alternative solutions.
- U.S. demand for hospital IV solutions remains below pre-Hurricane Helene levels due to continuing fluid conservation efforts, with some level of conservation likely to remain into 2026.
- The company is experiencing ongoing softness in certain premix pharmaceutical products, consistent with dynamics related to IV infusion protocols and increased use of IV push in select hospital settings.
- The company now expects to achieve its 3x net leverage target by the end of 2026, later than previously anticipated.
What management is excited about
- The company has launched "Baxter GPS," a new growth and performance system aimed at driving continuous improvement and a growth mindset across the enterprise.
- The Advanced Surgery business grew 11% globally, reflecting solid demand for the portfolio of hemostats and sealants.
- The order pipeline for Healthcare Systems & Technologies remains strong, with U.S. capital orders up 30% year-over-year, and management has not yet observed a slowdown in U.S. hospital capital spending.
- Management remains confident in the medium- and longer-term strength of the IV Solutions business.
- The recent product launch in the Front Line Care business (Connex 360) has generated significant customer enthusiasm.
Analyst questions that hit hardest
- Robert Marcus (JPMorgan) - Financial trajectory and 2026 growth: Management declined to provide specific guidance for 2026, stating it was too early and they would update later, only generally anticipating growth.
- Travis Steed (Bank of America) - Cause and duration of the Novum pump hold: The response was evasive on the specific technical or regulatory reasons for the delay, focusing instead on customer support and not providing a resolution timeline within 2025.
- Vijay Kumar (Evercore ISI) - Specific nature of Novum's issues and FDA communications: The CFO deflected from detailing the core problem or specific FDA feedback, reiterating confidence in the platform and the process of working with regulators.
The quote that matters
We are not satisfied with our current performance. There is recognition that challenges must be met head on.
Andrew Hider — CEO
Sentiment vs. last quarter
The tone was more cautious and direct regarding near-term challenges compared to last quarter, with explicit disappointment in performance and a significant guidance reduction. Emphasis shifted heavily to operational stabilization and debt reduction, marked by the concrete action of slashing the dividend, whereas prior commentary was more focused on portfolio streamlining.
Original transcript
Operator
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Baxter International's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. As a reminder, this call is being recorded by Baxter and is copyrighted material. It cannot be recorded or rebroadcasted without Baxter's permission. If you have any objections, please disconnect at this time. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Kevin Moran, Vice President, Investor Relations at Baxter International. Mr. Moran, you may begin.
Good morning, and welcome. Today, we'll discuss Baxter's third quarter 2025 results, along with an update to our full year 2025 outlook and newly issued fourth quarter 2025 guidance. This morning, a press release was issued with our preliminary earnings results and updated outlook. The press release and investor presentation are available on the Investors section of the Baxter website. Joining me today are Andrew Hider, President, Chief Executive Officer; and Joel Grade, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. During the call, we will be making forward-looking statements, including comments regarding our financial outlook for the fourth quarter and full year 2025 and matters related to future dividend declarations, the anticipated impact of the Kidney Care sale, including our ability to eliminate related costs, the anticipated impact of various regulatory and operational matters, including ones related to our infusion pump platform, what we believe to be continuing fluid conservation and heightened inventory levels and commentary regarding the global macroeconomic environment, including tariffs and proposed mitigating actions. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, which could cause our actual results to differ materially from our current expectations. Please refer to today's press release, the forward-looking statement slide at the beginning of our investor presentation and our SEC filings for more details. In addition, please note that on today's call, all our comments will be on a non-GAAP basis unless they are specifically called out as GAAP. Non-GAAP financial measures are used to help investors understand Baxter's ongoing business performance. GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliations for all relevant periods can be found in the schedules attached to our press release and in our investor presentation. Finally, as a reminder, continuing operations excludes Baxter's Kidney Care business, which is now reported as discontinued operations. Now I'd like to turn the call over to Andrew.
Thank you, Kevin. Let me welcome you officially as the new Head of Baxter's Investor Relations team, and good morning, everyone. I am pleased to be here for my first earnings call as CEO and look forward to getting to know everyone here better as the quarters progress. As I've said in many settings over the last several weeks, it is an honor to have the responsibility to lead this new chapter at Baxter. Our company is essential to healthcare with an iconic brand that is valued and trusted by caregivers and patients globally. Since joining the company, I've immersed myself in Baxter's business, leading teams around the world. 14 site visits across 7 countries and counting, working side-by-side with employees, speaking directly with customers and gaining a more detailed view of the opportunities and challenges we face. I have learned a great deal in a short period, but I want to reflect on 2 things that clearly stand out. First is that we are building from a fundamental position of opportunity. I have been struck by the commitment and pride this team brings to Baxter's mission to save and sustain lives and to serving our customers. This is a business whose portfolio has proven resilient over its almost 100-year history, one that has delivered significant revenues and attractive operating margins and generated solid cash flow over the years. The strength of our business, the critical role we play in healthcare and the talent and dedication of our people who are committed to win should position us well to deliver lasting value. Second is that we are proactive and clear-eyed about what needs to improve and change at the company, so we're better positioned to deliver on our potential. Let me be clear about that. We are not satisfied with our current performance. There is recognition that challenges must be met head on with both immediate actions as well as real long-term solutions. I am also very realistic about the road in front of us as we work to prioritize our areas of focus, improve execution and business performance, deliver sustained growth and improve profitability and cash flows. Turning briefly to this quarter's results, which Joel will speak to in detail. Our third quarter top line performance came in lower than our previously issued guidance and exceeded expectations on the bottom line due to a favorable tax rate. These results reflect challenges in 2 divisions: the Infusion Therapies and Technologies division within the Medical Products & Therapy segment and the Injectables and Anesthesia division within the Pharmaceuticals segment. Importantly, Baxter's Healthcare Systems & Technologies segment demonstrated improved performance. Before I turn it to Joel to discuss financial results in more detail, I want to give you a better sense of how I'm approaching the first several months of my time at Baxter and to give you some context on the decisions and actions that we have taken to date and will take in the coming months. We will have more opportunities to discuss long-term strategy down the road. But in the near term, you will see us take actions and decisions designed to support 3 areas: first, stabilizing the areas of the business that require increased focus; second, strengthening our balance sheet; and third, driving a culture of continuous improvement and enterprise-wide efficiency. Let me share my initial thoughts on each. I'll start with stabilizing the business. Baxter already has undergone significant transformation in recent years and is now a more streamlined and focused enterprise. But of course, there have been challenges in certain areas that have hampered growth and consistent execution, and we expect our growth algorithm to continue to be pressured in the near term. With my background in operations, I am bringing a keen eye to people, process and performance of Baxter, along with what we call uniform value creators, standardized metrics that we are focused on value creation. One critical area of focus and attention right now, for example, is related to the pause we've taken on deliveries and installations of the Novum IQ Large Volume pump. While we're disappointed that we expect the current hold to remain in place beyond year-end. We are working tirelessly to evaluate and test potential corrections to fully resolve the flow rate issues. In parallel, we will continue to closely support current Novum IQ LVP users. We will also continue to offer Baxter's Spectrum IQ LVP, a long-standing and well-known product used in more than 1,500 facilities across the U.S. and Canada, as a leading option for infusion therapy, one that Baxter continues to invest in. The Spectrum IQ LVP now operates on a shared gateway with Novum IQ syringe, creating a cohesive user experience and is built for the future with EMR interoperability, enhanced software and innovative analytical capabilities. A second area of focus will be improving Baxter's balance sheet. It is from the basis of a strong balance sheet that we will be better able to invest in the business, support innovation and deliver and return increased value to our shareholders. This means focusing on improved cash flow and taking a consistent approach to our capital allocation objective. The first step in addressing our balance sheet is taking decisive and clear steps to reduce our leverage. It is in this context that we and the Board intend to reduce the quarterly dividend to $0.01 per share, beginning with the dividend to be paid in January 2026. This will free up cash to accelerate deleveraging, consistent with our prior commitments. Joel will provide more details on that in his section of the call as well. The last area you will continue to see us prioritize is building enterprise efficiency into everything we do at Baxter. Earlier this month, we rolled out Baxter GPS, our new growth and performance system, aimed at driving continuous improvement and a growth and performance mindset. This data-driven system is inspired by best-in-class models from organizations known for strong cultures of continuous improvement and represents a positive change in how we work. It also adapts in real time, helping to ensure we are moving toward greater efficiency, stronger performance and impact. Ultimately, this will help build the habits and discipline across the enterprise that will define our future success. I've led this type of system successfully at several other companies, and I'm confident it will lead to improved performance of Baxter over the long term. In closing, I want to step back and reflect on what makes me confident and excited about Baxter's future. Yes, there is work ahead. And the coming quarters will require significant focus, discipline and execution. But I see a company with a strong foundation, a clear path forward and the ability to turn challenges into opportunities. You can expect us to work with urgency and focus to accelerate growth, improve margins and cash flow and drive enhanced innovation. We are on a journey to build a better Baxter that is more resilient, more agile and more capable than ever, a Baxter with a more consistent execution, what I like to call a higher say-do ratio, a Baxter that will work to redefine healthcare delivery and in doing so, continue to deliver meaningful impact for customers, patients and long-term value creation for shareholders. I look forward to keeping you updated on our progress and getting to know you all better in the coming weeks and months. With that, I will now turn it over to Joel. Joel, over to you.
Thanks, Andrew, and good morning, everyone. Let me also take a moment to welcome Kevin Moran as our new Vice President of Investor Relations. Many of you already know Kevin from his prior IR roles at other companies in the space. Kevin brings valuable finance, IR and, importantly, healthcare experience to the team. We're excited to have Kevin on the team and look forward to his leadership in continuing to strengthen our relationships with you all. Before I begin the sales discussion, a reminder that results discussed on today's call will reference operational growth, which excludes the impact of foreign exchange, MSA revenues from Vantive and the previously announced exit of IV solutions from China. Third quarter 2025 global sales from continuing operations totaled $2.8 billion and increased 5% on a reported basis and 2% on an operational basis. Performance in the quarter reflects growth across nearly all divisions. On the bottom line, total company adjusted earnings from continuing operations were $0.69 per share. Results in the quarter reflect positive pricing in select segments, receipt of Kidney Care TSA income and lower non-operating expenses, including interest and tax. Now I'll walk you through results by reportable segment. Commentary regarding sales growth will reflect growth on an operational basis. Sales in our Medical Products & Therapies, or MPT segment were $1.3 billion and declined 1% in the quarter. Performance in the quarter reflects softness in Infusion Therapies & Technologies or ITT, slightly offset by strong demand for advanced surgery products. Within MPT, third quarter sales from our ITT division totaled $1 billion and declined 4%, primarily reflecting lower infusion pump sales due to the previously discussed ship and installation hold of Novum LVP and ongoing softness in U.S. hospital IV solutions, which we believe is due to continuing post-Hurricane Helene fluid conservation efforts. Sales decline in Infusion Systems includes lost sales, Novum LVP customer returns and certain customers electing to transition to our Spectrum IQ LVP. We expect sales across our Infusion Pump portfolio to remain under pressure as we work with our customers to complete the necessary corrections to fully address the outstanding field actions and lift the shipment and installation hold on Novum. While we see continued interest in our Pump portfolio, we recognize that the timing and nature of the resolution of the Novum LVP hold is leading some customers to evaluate alternative solutions. We are actively supporting Novum customers with both initial and eventually additional corrections as well as offering Spectrum IQ as an alternative. We remain focused on minimizing disruption and maintaining strong relationships across our installed base. Within IV solutions, U.S. demand remains below pre-Hurricane Helene levels. Based on our current expectations, we expect further recovery in demand, though at a more moderate pace and some level of fluid conservation is likely to remain in 2026. Over the medium and longer term, we remain confident in the strength of our IV Solutions business. Sales in Advanced Surgery totaled $306 million and grew 11% globally. Results in the quarter reflect solid demand for our portfolio of hemostats and sealants, strong commercial execution across all regions and steady procedure volumes. MPT's adjusted operating margin totaled 20.5% for the quarter, increasing 50 basis points over the prior year period and reflecting positive pricing in the quarter, partially offset by lower sales volumes and increased manufacturing and supply costs resulting from the factors previously discussed. R&D expense declined in the quarter, primarily due to one-time items, while underlying investment remained unchanged. Kidney Care TSA income contributed to positive performance in the quarter as well. In Healthcare Systems & Technologies or HST, sales in the quarter totaled $773 million, increasing 2%. Within HST, sales of our Care and Connectivity Solutions or CCS division were $473 million and grew 3% globally. Performance in the quarter was driven by 4% growth in the U.S. for CCS, reflecting double-digit growth in our Surgical Solutions business and continued momentum across our Patient Support Systems and Care Communications portfolios. Total U.S. capital orders for CCS increased 30% compared to the prior year, driven by broad-based strength across Patient Support Systems, Care Communications and Surgical Solutions. We continue to believe our order pipeline remains strong. To date, we have not observed a slowdown in U.S. hospital capital spending. However, given the broader macroeconomic uncertainty, we continue to closely monitor the situation. Front Line Care sales in the quarter were $300 million and increased 1%. Performance in the quarter reflects increased demand in our Cardiology portfolio. HST adjusted operating margin totaled 13.5% for the quarter, decreasing 460 basis points compared to the prior year. These results reflect higher costs related to tariffs, increased R&D investments and increased corporate allocation expenses following the sale of Kidney Care. TSA income partially offset these increased expenses. Moving on to our Pharmaceuticals segment. Sales in the quarter totaled $632 million, increasing 7%. Within Pharmaceuticals, sales of our Injectables and Anesthesia division were $333 million and grew 3% globally. Performance in the quarter reflects high single-digit growth in our Anesthesia portfolio, driven by increased volumes in certain markets outside the U.S. Injectables growth benefited from a favorable comparison to the prior year period, which was negatively impacted by the timing of certain sales and supply constraints impacting international sales. We continue to experience softness in certain premix products, largely consistent with the dynamics discussed last quarter related to IV infusion protocols and increased use of IV push in select hospital settings. Our teams remain focused on reinforcing the clinical value of our Premix portfolio and driving improved commercial execution. Drug Compounding grew 11% and reflects strong demand for our services outside the U.S. Pharmaceuticals adjusted operating margin totaled 8.9% for the quarter, decreasing 100 basis points compared to the prior year. These results reflect the unfavorable product mix, increased procurement costs and increased corporate allocation expenses. These expenses were partially offset by Kidney Care TSA income. Finally, other sales, which represent sales not allocated to a segment and primarily include sales of products and services provided directly through certain manufacturing facilities were $16 million in the quarter. MSA revenue from Vantive totaled $85 million. As a reminder, these sales are included in our reported growth; however, they are not reflected in our operational growth for the quarter. Before moving on to the rest of the P&L, an important reminder on our continuing operations reporting. Following the sale of the Kidney Care business, certain corporate costs that did not convey with the business are now allocated across our segments in both cost of goods sold and SG&A, along with income from the TSAs, which is currently recognized within other operating income. In addition, as previously discussed, we reclassified certain functional expenses from SG&A to cost of goods sold beginning earlier this year. These costs support manufacturing and are now treated as indirect expenses, subject to inventory capitalization and recognized in cost of sales when sold. Therefore, as a result of these cost shifts across the P&L, we believe it is most appropriate to focus on operating income expansion. Importantly, operating margin on a continuing operations basis was 14.9% in the quarter, improving 40 basis points compared to the prior year period. Results reflect disciplined expense management and the benefit of TSA income, partially offset by softer volumes and mix. Third quarter adjusted gross margins from continuing operations were 39.4%, a decrease of 430 basis points compared to the prior year. The decline reflects the factors I just discussed. Third quarter adjusted SG&A from continuing operations totaled $629 million or 22.2% as a percentage of sales, a decrease of 240 basis points from the prior year period. Results reflect disciplined expense management and the benefit from the reclassification of functional costs. Adjusted R&D spending from continuing operations in the quarter totaled $115 million or 4.1% as a percentage of sales, a decrease of 70 basis points from the prior year period. Results reflect the timing of certain R&D expenses currently expected to shift into the fourth quarter and certain one-time items and, therefore, do not reflect our anticipated level of R&D spend going forward. Kidney Care TSA income and other reimbursements totaled $85 million in the quarter and came in line with our expectations. As previously discussed, the associated expenses related to this income are reflected in other lines of the P&L, including cost of goods sold and SG&A. Altogether, these factors resulted in an adjusted operating margin of 14.9% on a continuing operations basis, improving 40 basis points compared to the prior year period. Net interest expense from continuing operations totaled $58 million in the quarter, a decrease of $29 million versus the prior year period, reflecting lower interest expense following the paydown of existing debt with proceeds from the sale of Vantive. Adjusted other non-operating income totaled $7 million, reflecting lower losses from foreign currency translation compared to the prior period. The continuing operations adjusted tax rate for the quarter was 5.1%, driven primarily by the release of reserves withholding taxes and discrete benefits related to the mix of earnings across jurisdictions. And as previously mentioned, adjusted earnings from continuing operations were $0.69 per share for the quarter and increased 41% versus the prior year. Contributions to earnings growth included positive pricing, the receipt of Kidney Care TSA income as well as lower non-operating expenses, including interest and tax. Before turning to our updated outlook, I want to comment on cash flow and liquidity. Third quarter free cash flow was $126 million, bringing year-to-date free cash flow to roughly flat. As we close out the year, we expect continued free cash flow generation in Q4. We remain focused on strengthening cash flow generation through improvement across all areas of working capital. As Andrew mentioned, to prioritize and accelerate our deleveraging, we anticipate reducing the quarterly dividend to $0.01 per share beginning with the next payment scheduled to be made in January of 2026. This action is expected to free up more than $300 million in annual cash flow. Given our year-to-date business challenges, we now expect to achieve our 3x net leverage target by the end of 2026. Once achieved, we will look to expand our aperture for capital deployment. We recognize the importance of improving our balance sheet and are continuing to prioritize deleveraging in the near term, including with cash made available from the proposed reduction in our dividend. Let me conclude my remarks by discussing our 2025 outlook for the full year and the fourth quarter, including some key assumptions underpinning the guidance. For full year 2025, Baxter expects total sales growth of 4% to 5% on a reported basis. This guidance reflects current foreign exchange rates, which are expected to contribute approximately 50 basis points to top line growth for the year. In addition, our reported sales guidance includes the contribution of approximately $320 million of anticipated MSA revenues from Vantive. Excluding the impact of foreign exchange, the MSA revenues and the exit of IV solutions in China, Baxter now expects operational sales growth of 1% to 2% for 2025. This reflects a reduction from our prior expectations of 3% to 4% as we have updated our outlook to better reflect the evolving dynamics across select parts of the business. Operational sales guidance for the full year by reportable segments is as follows: For MPT, we now expect sales to be flat to 1%, reflecting the uncertainty around the Novum situation as discussed previously. We continue to expect sales in our HST segment to increase 3% to 4%. Performance reflects sustained momentum across the portfolio, supported by a healthy order pipeline and strong execution. We now expect Pharmaceuticals to increase approximately 2%, which reflects the continued softness in select premixed products, which we continue to work through. Turning to our outlook for other P&L line items, beginning with tariffs, we continue to estimate the net impact to our results is approximately $40 million in 2025. TSA income and other reimbursements are expected to range between $170 million to $180 million. We now expect full year adjusted operating margin from continuing operations between 14.5% and 15%, which reflects the top line sales reduction and the associated impact on our integrated supply chain costs from lower volumes flowing through our manufacturing facilities. We expect our non-operating expenses, which include net interest expense and other income and expense to total between $210 million to $220 million. On a continuing operations basis, we now anticipate a full year tax rate of approximately 15%. We expect our diluted share count to average approximately 515 million shares for the year. Based on all these factors, we have adjusted our outlook for full year adjusted earnings per share on a continuing operations basis to $2.35 to $2.40 per diluted share from the prior guidance of $2.42 to $2.52 per share. This reflects our updated adjusted operating margin and tax rate assumptions. Specific to the fourth quarter of 2025, we expect continuing operations sales growth of approximately 2% on a reported basis and declined approximately 2% on an operational basis. For the fourth quarter, foreign exchange is expected to positively impact the top line by approximately 100 basis points and MSA revenues are expected to total approximately $80 million. Note that we have now mostly lapped the China IV solutions exit and is not expected to have a meaningful impact to top line growth in the fourth quarter. On a continuing operations basis, we expect adjusted earnings per share of $0.52 to $0.57. With that, we can now open up the call for Q&A.
Operator
I would like to remind participants that this call is being recorded, and a digital replay will be available on the Baxter International website for 60 days at www.baxter.com. Our first question comes from Robert Marcus from JPMorgan.
Great. Welcome, Andrew and Kevin. I'll ask both of mine upfront. They're sort of intertwined. Andrew, you've been there for 2 months, almost 2 months, making some pretty important and bold moves on capital allocation. Maybe you could just help us understand your vision for Baxter, what you've learned, what you've seen, how you feel about the health and trajectory of the business and any other changes we should be expecting in the future as you look to right the ship? And then part 2, obviously, fourth quarter is coming in well below the Street. Third quarter EPS probably would have been a lot lower without tax. With that lower jumping off point into 2026, how do you want people to think about their models as we extrapolate into next year? Do you think there's still a potential you can grow on the top and bottom line next year? And maybe any early thoughts on puts and takes?
I'll address the first part of your question and then we can explore the second part to ensure I cover everything. Firstly, it's important to note that we're still in the early stages of our journey, but I've gained significant insights along the way, and I'm truly impressed by our team's dedication to building the best version of Baxter while advancing our mission to save and sustain lives. As I mentioned in my initial highlights for the quarter, our focus is on three key areas. First, we are stabilizing the parts of the business that require attention and driving execution, referencing our say-do ratio. Second, we are strengthening our balance sheet to enable future investments in the business and enhance long-term shareholder value, which will be a frequent topic in our discussions about capital allocation. Third, we are fostering a culture of continuous improvement, exemplified by the launch of our growth and performance system, GPS. Although this is just the beginning of our journey, the team's enthusiasm is directed toward monitoring, tracking, and enhancing our performance every day. These efforts will take time, but our team is committed to realizing the future of Baxter, which will be built on our continuous improvement efforts and GPS. Lastly, regarding our strategy, we are planning an Investor Day in 2026, where we will provide more detailed insights into our long-term strategy, portfolio focus, and financial outlook. However, as of now, we're not providing guidance for 2026 and will update as the year progresses, but you can expect us to share more information as we move into the next year.
Maybe if I could just ask, do you think Baxter can have positive growth in '26? Are you willing to comment on that?
What I'll say, Robbie, is part of my standard work as a CEO is I go and visit customers on a frequent basis, and I visited several customers. Our customers really value Baxter. They value the products we have, the solutions and our ability to help them in their focus on patients. And so certainly, markets will do what markets do. We look to outpace the markets we participate in. And so I would anticipate a growth. But again, we are not providing guidance today.
Andrew, nice to meet you. I look forward to working with you. Kevin, welcome to Baxter. I wanted just to start a little bit more. I understand you're going to have an Analyst Day meet that you just referenced to ultimately lay out the long-term strategy. But Andrew, as you come into the company now, the business has spent the better part of the past, call it, 5 to 7 years focused on cost rationalization and balance sheet required capital allocation moves up to the point of cutting the dividend today and potentially further moves beyond that. So as you think about the forward identity for Baxter, is this a med-tech company in your eyes? Is this a diversified manufacturing company? And what decisions are you going to make that ultimately align to supporting how you see the business? Then I had a follow-up question.
Yes. David, so first and foremost, as you're well aware, I'm going very deep on the business, assessing, understanding our value story to our customers and then how we turn it into long-term shareholder value. If I do a step back for a minute, look, you will often hear me talk about capital allocation as the framework for our success. And that is how we utilize and really drive investment back in the business to really outpace and continue to add high value for our customers, our employees and then, ultimately, our shareholders. And so you're going to see us continue to focus on that. Again, I will go into a bit more color around where we sit in the markets, how we're utilizing innovation to drive expansion to really align to the needs of our customer base, and how we continue our trajectory in our growth story at Baxter. But to give additional color today is a bit early in the journey, yet we will go into that in 2026 as we lay out our view of the markets, our position and where we're going to invest and also where we're going to continue to drive improvement in our operating system.
Okay. And then maybe just on the businesses more specifically, Joel, if you look across the different growth drivers here, whether that's in pharma or parts of MPT, you are seeing a lot of the growth come from, I think, lower-margin segments like compounding versus anesthesia and injectables. Can you maybe help us think about the implications from the drivers of top line growth down the rest of the P&L and how that's factoring into your Q4 and updated guidance for 2025?
Thank you, David. I want to highlight a few points. First, I acknowledge the mix challenges we've faced this quarter. However, I want to emphasize that our Advanced Surgery business in MPT continues to perform well. While I agree with your observations, I felt it was important to mention that. There are several factors influencing both our challenges and our outlook; it's not just a single issue. We anticipate continued pressure on sales from our Infusion Pump portfolio as we work with customers to resolve field actions affecting the shipment and installation of Novum. As we look ahead, our updated guidance reflects uncertainties related to the Novum situation, including possible customer reactions. Regarding IV solutions, demand in the U.S. remains below pre-Hurricane Helene levels and below our expectations. Based on our current outlook, we do foresee a recovery in demand, but the pace and timing are slower than we initially expected, with some level of fluid conservation anticipated to continue into 2026. On the pharma side, our compounding business grew significantly this quarter, but we face challenges in our injectables segment in the U.S. We’re seeing ongoing softness in certain premix products, which aligns with the dynamics we discussed last quarter related to IV infusion protocols and the shift towards IV push in some hospital settings. This is also somewhat related to the challenges with IV solutions. Overall, our updated guidance considers this ongoing softness in select premixed products, and we are actively addressing it. Regarding the bottom line, the key issue is volume. Our pass-through has been fairly steady and predictable. In fact, without the tax benefit, we would have been at the lower end of our guidance based purely on operations. Moving forward, the main factors affecting our projections are really tied to volume and its impact on our supply chain. I'll stop here, and I hope this clarifies your question.
Welcome, Andrew and Kevin. I look forward to working with you both at Baxter. I wanted to ask a follow-up on the Novum. First, why is it kind of taking longer? Kind of do you need to redesign the product or refile with the FDA? And you also mentioned, I think, customer responses because of Novum in the last answer. So I just wanted to kind of follow up on that and how much of the guide change is based from the Novum impact?
Thank you for the question, Travis. I want to remind you that our hold is in place to ensure our customers can safely use the device while we work on developing additional corrections related to our field actions. We are prioritizing collaboration with our customers to complete the necessary steps to fully resolve the outstanding issues and eventually lift the hold on shipments. We do continue to see strong interest in our Pump portfolio, and I want to emphasize that point. However, we understand that the timing and nature of the Novum LVP hold are prompting some customers to consider alternative options. Some have already begun returning products, while others are exchanging for Spectrum. We are fully supporting our customers through this transition with both initial support and additional corrections, as well as offering Spectrum IQ as an alternative. We are committed to minimizing disruptions and maintaining strong relationships with our existing customers. Regarding timing, we are currently unable to provide specific dates for the shipment and installation of Novum LVP, but we expect to have these resolved beyond 2025. We are working closely with our regulators as we implement any necessary field actions, and we look forward to sharing updates on proposed corrections and timelines as they become available.
Okay. And Andrew, I know in your past roles, you've done M&A to transform the portfolio. At what stage do you think Baxter is willing to start doing more acquisitions and willingness to take on margin dilution from those acquisitions? And Joel, in terms of free cash flow, how do you anticipate to improve free cash flow in this business and to kind of help fund some of those acquisitions? If I'm looking at this right, it doesn't look like there's been a lot of free cash flow generation at least over the last 9 months. I don't know if there's any kind of one-time things to kind of point out there and underlying free cash flow is better, but kind of wanted to kind of touch on the free cash flow aspect as well.
Yes. As we consider capital allocation, our primary focus is to strengthen our balance sheet, which means working to reduce our debt. During this process, we will continue to invest in innovation. I want to highlight our recent product launch in our FLC business, which has generated significant customer enthusiasm around the Connex 360. Our main goals are to reduce our debt and invest in innovation. Regarding mergers and acquisitions, this will be part of our future strategy. We plan to continue developing our portfolio and when the time is right, we will take action. However, our primary focus remains on the first two areas I've mentioned.
Certainly. I'll address the cash aspect and add to Andrew's points. It's important to clarify that, as he mentioned, this will indeed be part of our growth narrative. Consider these opportunities as incremental rather than large-scale strategic moves. From a free cash flow standpoint, we had a strong September with $126 million in positive free cash flow for the quarter. I expect to see continued positive cash flow as we approach the fourth quarter, which is usually our strongest period. Looking ahead, there are a couple of reasons we've faced cash challenges this year. One significant factor has been operational performance. You might remember that we incurred considerable cash expenses in the first quarter due to Hurricane Helene and payments related to prior year costs. The impact of tariffs has also been felt. However, our payables and receivables are in a relatively good position. The primary concern has been inventory, affected by challenges with Novum fluid conservation, tariffs, and some final purchases. I believe we will see continued improvement in these areas as we approach next year, as we are focusing significantly on working capital management. Therefore, I expect improvements moving forward. Previously, I mentioned a cash conversion target of 80%, which is certainly an aspiration for our company. I'm looking forward to making further progress towards that goal in the coming year.
Andrew Kevin, welcome. Andrew, given this is your first call, I wanted to ask you 2 high-level questions. First, you came — many of us on this call don't know you from your prior experience, and it was a nonmedical device company that you came from. So help us understand how your experience at ATS will help you turn Baxter around. And I had one follow-up.
Yes. Larry, a couple of things. First, having launched and driven a continuous improvement culture at several businesses, look, it takes time, yet it drives impact at every level of the business. And we've launched GPS to really align around that. And it's more an empowerment tool than a disablement. And so it's really aligning to putting the power in the business units, driving and enabling our teams to have impact. And I'm excited about the passion this team has for Baxter and for our shared future. And that's usually an area that aligns well with continuous improvement. As far as my experience within medical tech and med devices and roughly our space, you got to remember, not only was Baxter a customer, many of our areas and peers were customers as well. So clearly understand the space, and we have a leadership team that has deep insight around our area and where we have a key focus on enabling our customers. So getting comfortable in where we are in the journey, yet we have some work ahead, and you're going to see us continue to highlight where we're making progress and where we need to have laser focus to improve.
That's helpful. Andrew, I'd also love to hear your thoughts on the Baxter portfolio. It's still a diversified company with call points in the hospital and physician office. Do you think all the pieces fit together? Or could we see you focus more on the hospital setting, less on the office setting?
Yes. In the past two months, I have had the opportunity to meet with many customers, and their feedback about Baxter has been very positive. There is certainly work ahead, and I want to clarify what that will involve to enhance our operational execution. Currently, we believe our portfolio is well-positioned for the future. We are conducting an assessment and have also reassessed it prior to my tenure. We have become more streamlined and better aligned with our key focus areas. While it's still early, I am very pleased with the feedback I've received. As CEO, I plan to continue meeting with customers regularly to gather insights that will enhance our effectiveness in the markets we serve.
I look forward to working with you. I have two quick questions. I'm a bit confused about the conservation of IV fluids after Hurricane Helene. When can we expect to see a more normalized utilization rate rather than a recovery rate? For my second question, since you have close ties to the hospital environment and a good understanding of capital expenditures and current procedures, what trends are you observing? Do you anticipate any changes considering the political environment?
Thank you for your question, Joanne. I'll begin with the fluid conservation aspect. This has indeed been a persistent issue, as you mentioned, with demand still below the levels seen during Hurricane Helene. We anticipate a recovery in demand, but based on the best estimates and information from our customers and market insights, it seems that our customers continue to exhibit buying patterns that reflect a focus on fluid conservation. This appears to be more of a buying pattern issue. Interestingly, there have recently been articles highlighting this focus from various hospitals that have reinforced the importance of conservation. I want to remind you that back in 2017, we experienced something somewhat similar, where the return to previous buying patterns took nearly two years to recover. Therefore, I want to emphasize that over the medium and long term, we are confident in the strength of our IV solutions business. Our teams are actively collaborating with customers to improve utilization, particularly with the improved supply of fluids we currently have and the clinical advantages our products offer. Regarding your second question about hospital capital expenditure, we've been monitoring the uncertainty coming out of Washington, paying particular attention to any signs of hesitancy in capital spending. However, so far, we haven’t observed such a trend. In fact, our order book in our capital business, particularly in HST, has been quite strong, with year-over-year growth for this quarter seeing orders increase by around 30%. While we are watching for any potential slowdown, we have not yet encountered a decline in hospital capital expenditure impacting purchasing behaviors.
Andrew, welcome to your inaugural earnings call. I guess my first one, perhaps for you, Joel, Q4, I just want to clarify, is the implied injectables something like down mid-teens on the pharma side? What drives that? And I think guide implies operating margin declines. I just want to make sure we're thinking about the right way.
Thank you, Vijay. Regarding our pharmaceutical division, we're navigating a change in the marketplace. We've noticed some softness in our premix products, which is coupled with ongoing competitive pricing in the industry. While there isn't anything particularly new, there has been a shift in dynamics. For instance, the use of IV push and different IV-related protocols has led to an increase in vial purchases over premixes, mostly observed in the U.S. Our international business has generally performed well. As for our response, we are focusing on reinforcing the clinical value and advantages of our premix portfolio to enhance the commercial success of our new product launches. We’ve conducted a thorough, cross-functional evaluation of our portfolio to identify improvements, including forming dedicated teams to optimize our product launches, manage territories actively, and implement a comprehensive review process. From an operational income viewpoint, we are making investments to optimize our operating expenses, with a strong emphasis on prioritization. This is the most I can share regarding the pharmaceutical sector. If your question pertains to overall operational income and our guidance, it’s important to note that volume declines are indeed impacting our guidance. Currently, our business is experiencing some softness from a top-line perspective, and the drop in profitability reflects the effects of this volume decline on our operations.
Understood. And then maybe, Andrew, one for you. Look, Novum is such a key topic for the story right now. What is the issue, Andrew, that you've been able to identify, has Baxter been in touch with the FDA? When was the last communication? What has the FDA asked you or asked Baxter from a remediation perspective?
Yes. So Vijay, let me take this one. Look, we described the specifics of our field actions. Those have been out there. Obviously, we're working closely with our regulators. And when implementing field actions of any kind, we're going to continue to do so. And our focus team is working really closely both with regulators and customers as it relates to these field actions, again, and those are all out there. I would say for this audience, the thing I'd like to reinforce as much as anything is we remain confident in our Novum, Spectrum infusion platforms. And as we continue to work through the ship hold, we've been duly focused on supporting our current customers, continued use of the device, determining appropriate additional corrections to fully resolve our field actions. And as I said earlier, we look forward to providing updates as decisions are made as we continue to support our customers, including ramping up production to increase our available Spectrum inventory as, again, as a great alternative as part of our pump portfolio.
I guess I wanted to follow up on your comments regarding some of the near-term and long-term actions. I realize you're not going to provide any quantitative guidance, but I'd love to hear from you what you think could happen, what could go right near term with some of these immediate actions you're taking and maybe qualitatively describe the range of possibilities over the coming quarters if things do go your way?
Yes. Look, if I just walk through the journey, first, and I aligned around stabilizing and our focus on areas of the business that need support. We've launched GPS. It's called Growth and Performance System for a reason. Our business is aligned to not only monitoring, but then also how do you improve. And so while we've stated what we're going to be aligning to from a guidance perspective in Q4, we'll be updating as we go into next year on what that would look like. Our business has a key area and position with customers, and we want to fully unlock that potential. When we look to future and how we hold ourselves accountable, we'll be driving at or above market performance. And again, as we step back and look at our journey, GPS is early, yet we see real strong followership from the early engagement. And it takes time, but we're excited about the future and where that takes us.
Operator
And unfortunately, we are at time for today's call, and this will be our last question. Matt Miksic with Barclays is on the line.
Welcome, Andrew and Kevin. There's a lot to discuss, so I will limit myself to one question. I've been receiving numerous inquiries regarding IV demand. If we take a step back, it's clear that investors are struggling to understand the strong performance in procedures during the surgical quarter for med-tech overall, contrasted with a perception of slower demand. Is there a competitive aspect, either marginal or significant, that you can address? Or is it a shift in the mix of procedures to outpatient services, or something else entirely, that could help clarify the discrepancy between the robust surgical volumes in Q3 and the ongoing demand you mentioned for IV solutions?
Thank you for the question. I can reiterate my previous points. We've invested significant time with our customers and in understanding market trends. There have been recent articles discussing this issue, with hospital CEOs emphasizing their ongoing commitment to fluid conservation. I want to highlight two main points. First, we are optimistic that demand will recover in the medium to long term, and we have strong confidence in our IV solutions business. Second, our teams are diligently working with our customers to enhance their utilization because we don’t have concerns about product availability. I want to emphasize that these products are available, and we are reinforcing their clinical benefits. While the recovery has been slower than we anticipated and has been challenging to predict, our guidance represents our best expectations. That's all I have to share.
Thanks, operator. As we close, I want to reinforce my confidence and excitement about Baxter's future. We're building on a solid foundation with a clear mandate to drive continuous improvement, strengthen execution and accelerate our shared performance. And we are committed to delivering long-term value for our shareholders. I look forward to sharing our progress in the months ahead. Thanks, and stay safe.
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes the conference call with Baxter International. Thank you for participating.