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Dominos Pizza Inc

Exchange: NASDAQSector: Consumer CyclicalIndustry: Restaurants

Domino’s Pizza, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a pizza delivery company in the United States and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Domestic Stores, Domestic Supply Chain, and International. It offers pizzas under the Domino’s Pizza brand name through company-owned and franchised Domino’s Pizza stores. As of November 18, 2014, the company operated approximately 11,250 stores in approximately 75 international markets. Domino’s Pizza, Inc. was founded in 1960 and is based in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

Current Price

$323.48

-2.72%

GoodMoat Value

$410.29

26.8% undervalued
Profile
Valuation (TTM)
Market Cap$10.88B
P/E18.38
EV$17.10B
P/B
Shares Out33.63M
P/Sales2.19
Revenue$4.98B
EV/EBITDA14.94

Dominos Pizza Inc (DPZ) — Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Apr 5, 202626 speakers8,947 words83 segments

AI Call Summary AI-generated

The 30-second take

Domino's had a mixed quarter. Sales were a bit soft, especially for delivery, as some customers are watching their spending. However, the company is excited about two big new projects: launching a Parmesan Stuffed Crust pizza and starting to sell through DoorDash, which they believe will help sales grow more in the second half of the year.

Key numbers mentioned

  • US same store sales declined 0.5%
  • International same store sales grew 3.7%
  • Operating profit growth is expected to be approximately 8% (excluding currency and severance)
  • DoorDash pizza sales are about 2x the size of Uber Eats on their platform
  • Share repurchase totaled $50 million for approximately 115,000 shares
  • Severance expenses related to organizational realignment were approximately $5 million

What management is worried about

  • The delivery business continues to be impacted by macro pressures that are affecting the low-income consumer.
  • If macro pressures persist, it could put pressure on achieving the US same store sales guidance of 3%.
  • There continue to be macro and geopolitical pressures that exist around the globe which could impact the international business.
  • There is a lot of volatility from a geopolitical perspective which could have a potential downstream impact on demand.
  • Consumer disposable income and confidence levels have dropped back to where they were in 2022, which is creating a challenging environment.

What management is excited about

  • The launch of Parmesan Stuffed Crust pizza is tracking to expectations and is expected to be a market share driver for years to come.
  • The national rollout of the DoorDash partnership is expected to be complete by the end of Q2, with a meaningful impact anticipated in the back half of the year.
  • The company's "Best Deal Ever" promotion is believed to have broken through industry clutter.
  • The loyalty program grew by 2.5 million active members last year and is seen as a multiyear sales driver.
  • The US store development pipeline is better than it was at this point last year.

Analyst questions that hit hardest

  1. Sara Senatore (Bank of America) - Macro pressure on US sales guidance: Management responded by stating the first quarter met expectations, the guide assumes a tough macro, and that further deceleration could create pressure.
  2. Andrew Charles (TD Cowen) - DoorDash denting Uber Eats incrementality: Management responded that they view the delivery business holistically and will not focus on individual platform mix, as customer platform choice is out of their control.
  3. Lauren Silberman (Deutsche Bank) - Carryout comp deceleration and 3P incrementality: Management gave an indirect answer on incrementality and attributed the carryout comp largely to calendar timing versus the prior year.

The quote that matters

Sustained market share growth reflects the company's ability to control what's under its control, a key to long-term success.

Russell Weiner — CEO

Sentiment vs. last quarter

Omit this section as no previous quarter context was provided in the prompt.

Original transcript

GL
Greg LemenchickVice President, Investor Relations

Thank you for standing by. Welcome to Domino's Pizza's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. As a reminder, today's program is being recorded. And now, I'd like to introduce your host for today's program, Greg Lemenchick, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today for our first quarter conference call. Today's call will begin with our Chief Executive Officer, Russell Weiner, followed by our Chief Financial Officer, Sandeep Reddy. The call will conclude with a Q&A session. The forward-looking statements in this morning's earnings release and 10-Q, both of which are available on our IR website, also apply to our comments on the call today. Actual results or trends could differ materially from our forecast. For more information, please refer to the risk factors discussed in our filings with the SEC. In addition, please refer to the 8-K earnings release to find disclosures and reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures that may be referenced on today's call. This morning's conference call is being webcast and is also being recorded for replay via our website. We want to do our best this morning to accommodate as many of your questions as time permits. As such, we encourage you to ask one question only. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to Russell.

RW
Russell WeinerCEO

Thanks, Greg, and good morning, everybody. As I reflect on the first quarter, I'm proud of how our team effectively executed our Hungry for MORE strategy. Against the backdrop of consumer and industry headwinds, we drove market share gains across both our US and international businesses. Sustained market share growth reflects the company's ability to control what's under its control, a key to long-term success. Our team is achieving what we set out to do when we introduced Hungry for MORE late in 2023. When you look at our accomplishments over the last year-and-a-half, with insight into some of the unlocks for the remainder of 2025, you can see how our Hungry for MORE strategic pillars are working together to set us up to drive more sales, more stores, and more profits over the long-term. The M in Hungry for MORE stands for the most delicious food. We will continue to drive deliciousness with at least two new products every year. In early March, we added arguably the biggest new menu item in our history, Parmesan Stuffed Crust pizza. This launch is the epitome of what we mean when we talk about our 'innovation with intent' approach. There's a clear purpose behind any product we bring to market, and stuffed crust pizza is one of our best examples. We went from this being the largest gap in our pizza portfolio to having what we believe is the best stuffed crust product in the industry. While timing of the launch meant stuffed crust didn't have a meaningful impact on Q1, we couldn't be happier with how the launch has gone so far. To date, customer satisfaction scores have been very good, and we've also seen a high mix of orders coming with a stuffed crust pizza. Although it's still early, performance has been tracking to our expectations. We're excited about the impact this product will have not only this year, but as a market share driver for years to come. Prior to this year, the operational complexity of stuffed crust and our high volumes kept stuffed crust off our menu in the US. Launching an innovation like this required us to lean into our second strategic pillar, operational excellence. Innovation with intent requires operations with intent. On our Q4 call, I talked about the improvements in our service, driven by significant training programs implemented by our operators and franchisees over the last couple of years. These programs work together with improvements in our Dom.OS technology to make Parmesan Stuffed Crust a reality. Domino's stores are doing an incredible job executing this product. I want to thank our franchisees and operations teams for their continued effort to achieve operational excellence. This remains a point of difference for Domino's. Our third Hungry for MORE pillar is renowned value. This has been a key strength for Domino's. We're driving renowned value through national promotions, Domino's Rewards, and by growing on aggregator platforms. In the first quarter, we had several value-driving initiatives such as our Best Deal Ever promotion that we believe broke through industry clutter. We have a strong slate of initiatives primed and ready to go for the rest of the year as we will continue to give customers what they want, which is more value in this challenging economic environment. While providing value through our own channel is one part of our renowned value barbell strategy, tapping into the aggregator marketplace for pizza delivery is the other. We recently announced a partnership with DoorDash, the largest aggregator in the US. We began piloting in a small number of stores and are expecting to commence our national launch in May. We expect this rollout to be complete by the end of the second quarter with a meaningful impact from this new partnership anticipated in the back half of the year. So, in the second half of 2025 and beyond, we'll be competing on the biggest aggregator platform in the US, with one of the biggest pizza crust types in our industry, two things we could not have said only a few months ago. I wanted to quickly touch on our expectations around incrementality for DoorDash. We're going to need to learn and provide updates on this, but our initial expectations are that it will be approximately 50% incremental. And that would be our expectations for aggregators as we move forward now that we're on multiple platforms. Everything we do at Domino's is enhanced by our best-in-class franchisees. We also see this pillar as our responsibility to be a best-in-class franchisor. In the first quarter, we made some changes to our organizational structure, which you may have seen with the announcement we put out in March, where we elevated Joe Jordan to Chief Operating Officer and promoted Weiking Ng to Head of Domino's International. We also made changes below the executive level for a faster, more efficient structure that aligns with our Hungry for MORE strategy. Our focus on simplifying included the difficult decision to eliminate certain roles and Sandeep will share some additional color on the financial implications. Moving forward, we believe this new structure will allow us to be quicker to market and we will continue to prioritize investments that have the greatest impact on our customers, franchisees, and the brand. In summary, we are laser-focused on delivering against our Hungry for MORE goals. I believe this will enable Domino's to capture additional market share gains in 2025 and beyond. And this will be how we drive best-in-class results and long-term value creation for our franchisees and shareholders. I'll now hand the call over to Sandeep.

SR
Sandeep ReddyCFO

Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Our first quarter financial results continued to be impacted by a challenging macro backdrop. And despite that, we delivered operating profit that was in line with our expectations. Income from operations increased 1.4% in Q1, excluding the impact of foreign currency. This increase was primarily due to gross margin dollar growth within supply chain, as well as higher international franchise royalties and fees. This increase was partially offset by higher G&A, primarily related to severance expenses driven by the organizational realignment Russell noted earlier. Excluding the approximately $5 million impact of these expenses, our income from operations would have increased 3.6%. Excluding the impact of foreign currency, global retail sales grew 4.7% in the first quarter, primarily due to positive international comps and global net store growth compared to a year ago. In Q1, retail sales grew by 1.3% in the US, primarily driven by net store growth. This growth paced ahead of the QSR pizza category, which was roughly flat to start the year. Same store sales declined 0.5%, which was slightly below our expectations. We benefited from 1.8% of pricing, which was inclusive of high-single-digits in California. This was more than offset by negative traffic and a slight decline in our mix due to a higher carryout business that carries a lower ticket than delivery. Our carryout business comps were up 1%, while delivery was down 1.5% in the quarter. Our delivery business continues to be impacted by macro pressures that are impacting the low-income consumer. Shifting to US unit count, we added 17 net new stores, bringing our US system store count to 7,031. International retail sales grew 8.2%, excluding the impact of foreign currency in the quarter. This was driven by net store growth over the last year and same store sales that came in ahead of our expectations at 3.7%. In the quarter, we saw strength in Asia that was due to strong comps in India and in our Americas region, which was driven by Canada. Net stores were down by 25 in Q1 and this was primarily coming from closures from Domino's Pizza Enterprises, which is our master franchisee based out of Australia. They previously announced that they expected to close 200-plus underperforming stores, primarily in Japan, and substantially all of those closures took place in the quarter. Moving to capital allocation, we repurchased approximately 115,000 shares at an average price of $434 for a total of $50 million in the first quarter. As of the end of Q1, we had approximately $764 million remaining on our share repurchase authorization. Now, turning to our outlook for 2025, we continue to believe that global retail sales growth should be generally in line with 2024. As part of that, we expect the following. First, we continue to expect our US comp to be 3%, and that it will be lower in the first half compared to the back half due to the timing of our initiatives. In the event that macro pressures persist, it could put pressure on achieving this number. Second, we continue to expect 1% to 2% international same store sales growth as there continue to be macro and geopolitical pressures that exist around the globe and we believe this could impact our business. We expect operating profit growth of approximately 8% excluding the impact of currency and approximately $5 million in severance expenses related to our organizational realignment. A couple of points of additional color. While we are expecting some savings as a result of the organizational changes that have been made, we are planning to reinvest most of these savings back into the business. In our US business, we source most of our food products from within the country. So, we're not expecting tariffs to have a material impact on our operating profit. Thank you. We will now open the line for questions.

Operator

Certainly. And our first question for today comes from the line of Danilo Gargiulo from Bernstein. Your question, please.

O
DG
Danilo GargiuloAnalyst

Thank you. I was wondering if you can comment a bit on your statement of potential international geopolitical pressure impacting brands. So, specifically, are you starting to see any pockets of consumer weakness in international markets or international boycotts against US brands elevated specifically for Domino's? Thank you.

SR
Sandeep ReddyCFO

Hi, Danilo, this is Sandeep. Good morning. Yeah, so I think in terms of geopolitical pressure and risk that we see out there, it's more with what's been going on in the last few months. We want to be very careful and mindful that there's a lot of volatility from a geopolitical perspective. Then, there could be a potential downstream impact on demand, and that's incorporated in our guidance of 1% to 2% for the year, and that's really the meaning of the statement.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Brian Bittner from Oppenheimer. Your question, please.

O
BB
Brian BittnerAnalyst

Thank you. Thanks very much. Good morning. You talked about how you expect DoorDash and other third-party platforms to be about 50% incremental. Can you talk about what type of mix you do anticipate to come from DoorDash, maybe relative to what you saw with Uber Eats? So, maybe we can all start to think about how you are thinking about potential contribution to comps. Just trying to understand maybe what's required from the DoorDash launch in the second half to get to your guidance of 3% in the US.

RW
Russell WeinerCEO

Good morning, Brian. Yeah, right now, if you look at the DoorDash pizza sales business on their platform versus Uber, it's about 2x. So, we're not going to put out specific goals by quarter like we did with Uber. We were just starting with aggregators at the time. Think about the aggregator business now as part of our delivery business. As far as contribution, you should expect about 2x DoorDash from what we saw with Uber. And as Sandeep said in his remarks, we're really expecting this to be kind of the second half of the year.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of David Tarantino from Baird. Your question, please.

O
DT
David TarantinoAnalyst

Hi, good morning. My question is on the stuffed crust pizza platform. You mentioned it did not have much of an influence on the first quarter, but at the same time, you're pleased with what you're seeing and it's in line with expectations. And I was just wondering if you could elaborate on what that platform is doing relative to sales mix or what you're seeing in terms of the lift to the comps or anything else you could offer there. Thanks.

RW
Russell WeinerCEO

Yeah. Thanks, David. Yeah, we were talking about as far as performance is we launched it with three weeks to go in Q1. So, it just didn't have an oversized impact in Q1. What I can tell you is as we look back to the launch so far, we're really pleased with how things are going. A significant amount of orders are going out with stuffed crust pizza. The consumer feedback on the quality is really where we wanted it to be, and our stores are performing very well from an ops standpoint. So, all in all, we're pleased, and it's hitting our expectations. You'll recall it's about 15% of the mix of our competitors, and so, we'll see where that falls in for us, but that means it's a big opportunity. It's the biggest crust type we weren't in. So, we're very excited.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of David Palmer from Evercore ISI. Your question, please.

O
DP
David PalmerAnalyst

Thanks. Russell, just to follow-up on that, on the stuffed crust, you mentioned it's 15% of competitors. I would imagine you wouldn't be targeting that mix overnight, but sometimes we see new products or even have a honeymoon period where the trial is extremely high. So, I'm wondering what is your expectation. Any comments about the mix initially and the incrementality of that mix, and how you see that product perhaps evolving on those two scores?

RW
Russell WeinerCEO

Yeah, thanks, David. We have lawyers on the other end of the table poised to jump in front of me if I give any forward-looking information. But look, you talked about exactly what we look at with new product launches, especially one of this magnitude is, it's not just going to be the percent of mix, it's going to be the incrementality both in orders and in dollars. And as soon as we get more information on that, and we want to look at repeat, we'll be able to give a better sense of what that looks like. I think, for me, what's important about stuffed crust in addition to how many stuffed crusts we're going to sell is when you think about our first pillar of most delicious food, it's not just about launching new products. It's about launching products to give a halo to the brand on deliciousness. And I think what we're going to see from stuffed crust is not only stuffed crust sales, but a nice halo to the brand on the deliciousness pillar.

SR
Sandeep ReddyCFO

And Dave, I'm just going to go back to, I think, a question that Brian asked earlier on DoorDash and now on stuffed crust, and essentially all of the initiatives that we talked about in the February call and again, we're talking about them now on this call, all of this is incorporated in terms of our expectations in the 3% guide that we have on same-store sales for the year, and the back-end loaded comps reflect the timing of initiatives. So, it's all contemplated and that's there. While we don't want to get into specifics at this time in terms of where we are so far in the second quarter, just know that we know what our assumptions are based on what we are seeing.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Dennis Geiger from UBS. Your question, please.

O
DG
Dennis GeigerAnalyst

Great. Thanks, guys. Sandeep or Russell, I wanted to follow-up on the comment, Sandeep, you just made on that US sales outlook and the reiterated 3% comp guide. Specifically, if any additional thoughts on key initiatives to accelerate and help you get there, you touched on stuffed crust and DoorDash, of course, but just anything else on some of the other initiatives as we think about loyalty, maybe another new item coming, promotions, marketing calendar, just how impactful some of that can be as you work through the year? Thank you.

SR
Sandeep ReddyCFO

Yeah. Thanks, Dennis. Every year, we go into the year strategically with the same intent to execute against Hungry for MORE. So, again, without giving too much forward-looking information, we can look through our guidance, which says two new products a year from a value standpoint, pretty much the same amount of Boost Weeks as we did in the prior year. What I get really excited about is just the value that we're going to be bringing forward, the renowned value platform. We talked about in 2023 when we launched Hungry for MORE that we felt for a couple of years, a few years that this is really going to be a platform that was going to be important for all of QSR. And while QSR has been really kind of driven by price, what I think has been great about our value is that our value creates what I call talk value; it's not just a price point, it's things like carryout tips, it's emergency pizza, things that folks talk about. So, I can't get into the initiatives. What I can tell you is the strategy is an open book. And I think if you look at the last couple of years, what you'll see is, yeah, we don't tell you the initiatives in advance, but they absolutely fit with the strategy and that's going to continue. And, Dennis, I'll just add, you mentioned loyalty specifically, and look, we've said before and we'll continue to say that it's a multiyear driver. It's been that way in the past and we expect it to be that case over here as well. In particular, I think this new loyalty program is structured around the carryout customer, getting light users coming in, and really those are going to be massive frequency builders for us as we go along. Literally, last year, we grew by 2.5 million active members in our loyalty database, and we continue to see good traction from that. I think where we expect to see momentum is future sales from those acquired customers as staying loyal to our brand.

RW
Russell WeinerCEO

Yeah, I think that's important, Sandeep. The first loyalty program we introduced in 2015, we had that around for seven years and it was seven years of really nice growth. And then, what we did when we updated it, we said, 'Okay, what are the couple of things we need to do to make it even better?' We've had the price for points kind of lowered, so that really helped with carryout customers with their tickets lower. And we also really pushed to make sure that the program activated against lighter users. So, you used to have to buy six times and now you could buy as few as two times. So, it's important, and I say this because we've done it before to understand that things like loyalty are really a multiyear driver. Things like the aggregators, once we're on the aggregator platform, we intend to grow our business on that platform just like we grew our business outside the platforms. And so, it's really important to see certainly while we're leaning in here, these are drivers that are going to continue for years to come.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Peter Saleh from BTIG. Your question, please.

O
PS
Peter SalehAnalyst

Great. Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. I wanted to ask about the domestic unit growth. I think the prior guidance was 175 net stores in 2025. Just in the impact of tariffs on construction costs, can you guys give us a sense on what you're thinking there? And are you seeing any availability issues on some of the critical components that you need for unit development? Just trying to understand the confidence behind the domestic unit growth guidance given the tariff impact. Thanks.

SR
Sandeep ReddyCFO

Yeah, Pete. Thanks for the question. Look, I mean, I think from a domestic unit growth guidance perspective, no change. We're expecting the 175 stores that we talked about on the last call. And frankly speaking, the more we actually went through the cycle of earnings in the fourth quarter, it was really apparent that the economics of our franchisees are best-in-class and the returns are really compelling for them. And we continue to drive market share to Russell's point earlier. The pipeline is very robust. The appetite from our franchisees is very good. And I think from a tariff perspective, if there is any impact, it should not be material enough for it to actually impact demand. And so, the enthusiasm that the franchisees have to continue to grow the stores is very strong and we are very supportive of what we need to do to make sure that we harness this growth.

RW
Russell WeinerCEO

Yeah, Pete, the pipeline for the US is better than it was at this point last year. So, we're very excited about what we've got in front of us.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Gregory Francfort from Guggenheim. Your question, please.

O
GF
Gregory FrancfortAnalyst

Hey, thanks for the question. Russell, maybe I'm curious, just on the aggregator platforms you've been on for a little over a year, what are you seeing from customers in terms of either frequency or average check size? I'm just curious how that customers behave now with some time versus customers who are coming through your other channels. Thanks.

RW
Russell WeinerCEO

Yeah. I think the biggest difference to me is more the group size. There's probably a little bit smaller group, maybe a single or one or two customers versus when folks go to our website, it's probably for a bigger party occasion. So, Greg, I think that probably would be the biggest piece. Obviously, this platform still is, even though the higher-income customers on it, it still is promotionally sensitive. The best deals for customers are still on dominos.com, but they are promotionally sensitive as well. So, I think the biggest thing I think would be that.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Chris O'Cull from Stifel. Your question, please.

O
CO
Chris O'CullAnalyst

Good morning, Russell. The US ran the Best Deal Ever for a significant number of weeks during the quarter. Given the strength of that offer, could you share more about its impact on your sales trends and how it performed compared to the segment during that period?

RW
Russell WeinerCEO

Thanks, Chris. Let me give you some background on the name Best Deal Ever. When the team presented it to Sandeep and me, our immediate reaction was, 'Wow, that's the best deal ever.' This reflects our research process behind the name. I want to discuss the strategy behind Best Deal Ever, as I believe we haven't focused enough on that. Our insight in the quick-service restaurant industry is that, while there have been years of price increases, many restaurants are now scaling back, but not always offering what customers actually want. Customers might prefer a larger item, but are being given smaller or side items instead. With Best Deal Ever, not only is the price attractive, but we also provide any crust and any topping without limitations. This approach shows our commitment to listening to our customers—they don't just want a low price; they want a fair price for what they desire. This was a significant realization for us. The offer ran for only a few weeks, and there are challenges ahead for the rest of the quarter, making it tough to analyze its overall impact. However, I'm pleased with the results we achieved and the bold statement we made. I'm also proud of our franchisees, who embraced this initiative. It's been a long time since there was a close to $10 offer for pizza. This shows the confidence our franchisees have in our analytics and highlights their profitability, allowing them to take the leap when others might not. Moving forward, we will need to maintain this commitment, and I believe this serves as a strong example of our franchisees’ willingness to adapt.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Sara Senatore from Bank of America. Your question, please.

O
SS
Sara SenatoreAnalyst

Thank you. I wanted to ask, I think, about a comment that Sandeep made with respect to the US outlook, and just that if macro pressure persists, that would have implications for that same-store sales number. I guess, I have struggled a little bit with trying to figure out what's happened in the first quarter just because there's been weather and calendar shifts and I think even something like Valentine's Day would affect you. And so, to the extent that the guide kind of requires an acceleration in comp, I'm just trying to understand what it is that you're seeing in the macro backdrop if it's softer than it was at the end of last year. And does that require an improvement from here to hit that 3%? And I guess, what are you looking at to get that? Because, again, some of the macro data actually look pretty, I would say, solitary to me. So, any kind of insight into that comment and kind of what the underpinning expectations might be?

RW
Russell WeinerCEO

Yeah, Sara, I'll start off, and then I'll kick it off to Sandeep. I think part of it was just looking at the calendarization we had for the year. And so, we knew our initiatives were a little bit kind of back-half loaded, and that's part and parcel of it. And then, also, what we're overlapping in Q1, if you remember last year, in Q1, we were coming in strong with loyalty. We had brought back carryout specials for the first time. So, a lot of this was really kind of the calendarization of how things were going to fall and how we think we're going to get to that 3% in the US.

SR
Sandeep ReddyCFO

Yeah. And I think Russell is exactly right, and really the first quarter came in pretty much at our expectations, maybe a little bit off, but we knew the macro was going to be tough, and we expect the macro to be tough this year. But what we're actually saying is, if there's a further deceleration of the macro environment that could put pressure on the business. And I think that's really what we are pointing out over here. But other than that, I think the starting point is it's a tough macro, and that's how we built our budget.

RW
Russell WeinerCEO

Yeah. And I would just add and I think kind of common sense here, when we talk about those macro headwinds, this is not Domino's specific. We think these are QSR headwinds, which is why in addition to hitting our algorithm, what we were happy for the year on US same store sales of 3%, while Q1 wasn't what I had hoped it would be, we still grew market share. And so, at times where maybe there are extra headwinds, if you're continuing to grow market share, it gives you a sense of when things open up, you're going to continue to grow that market share and then the QSR category grows and their benefits. So, when Sandeep is talking macros, these are not ones that are specifically the Domino's. And I would argue, we're probably in a better space better capability to compete than many others within those macros.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Andrew Charles from TD Cowen. Your question, please.

O
AC
Andrew CharlesAnalyst

Great. Thank you. Wanted to ask, you talked about 50% incrementality now for just third-party delivery in general. As you prepare to launch DoorDash, how do you ensure this doesn't dent the incrementality of Uber? If it were to essentially, is this going to be challenging to get to that 3% comp for the full year?

RW
Russell WeinerCEO

Yes, Andrew, all of this falls under our overall delivery business, and we want to be present where our customers are. If a customer prefers Domino's Pizza but chooses to order through DoorDash or Uber, that choice will likely depend on their loyalty to those platforms rather than to Domino's. We will do everything we can to encourage them to return to Domino's, but if they opt to purchase through DoorDash, it's due to their natural use of that platform. There's not much we can do about that, which is why we're comfortable with our pricing and our strategy for working with aggregators focuses on meeting customers where they choose to order.

SR
Sandeep ReddyCFO

And Andrew, I'll just add on. I think we've mentioned this in the last call, but I want to come back to this. We are looking at our delivery business and our delivery business includes our own channel; it includes the aggregator platforms. And as we look at the business overall, we're just going to talk about it very holistically. I think last year, we gave a mix, because it was first year on Uber and we wanted to actually give that visibility. But I think as we move forward this year, we're not going to be talking about mix. We're going to be talking about our overall delivery business and we're telling you strategically what aggregators are coming onto the platforms, just so you know what's coming in; but I think overall delivery business is how I would analyze us.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of John Ivankoe from JPMorgan. Your question, please.

O
JI
John IvankoeAnalyst

Hi, thank you. The question is about the overall delivery same store sales, particularly regarding franchisees' plans beyond 2025 to invest in more assets to better serve delivery customers, despite the fact that delivery has been somewhat inconsistent in recent years. I'd like to know your thoughts on how franchisees are evolving in their approach to investing in new assets, especially since new stores seem to be getting their initial delivery sales from nearby locations.

RW
Russell WeinerCEO

Good morning, John. When considering store growth in the US, about two-thirds of the new stores will be splits, and about one-third will be in green space. Interestingly, when we split a store, 80% of the carryout customers are new. Even though the store size remains similar, customers, like delivery drivers, prefer not to travel far to pick up their pizza. Therefore, the main reason for a store split is primarily about carryout. Our carryout volumes are now strong enough that the store effectively covers its own costs, breaking even with carryout sales. This is when the delivery business becomes significant because as customers are closer to the store, delivery drivers become closer to those customers as well. This reduces their route times, making deliveries more efficient and predictable, leading to hotter, more dependable deliveries. We understand that this is key for encouraging repeat orders and increasing tips. Hence, delivery becomes more efficient. However, the primary motivation for the split is carryout. While we've seen our carryout business grow, our carryout share still lags behind our delivery share. There’s significant potential for growth in this area, largely driven by new store openings.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Christine Cho from Goldman Sachs. Your question, please.

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CC
Christine ChoAnalyst

Thank you. So, I think you've called out Canada as a region of strength in the quarter. Has that trend sustained throughout the quarter, or have you seen any meaningful shift through the quarter? And my real question is with most of DPE plant closures largely behind and you're seeing some improvement in the international markets in the first quarter, do you think there's a room or path to international unit growth, reacceleration in the next few years? Thank you.

RW
Russell WeinerCEO

I'll take the Canada one. I'll have Sandeep talk to the international store algorithm. We're really proud of what they're doing up in Canada now. I think what you're seeing is they've really embraced Hungry for MORE. Some of the drivers there in the first quarter for them were ones that we're doing here in the States, renowned value being a big piece of it, launching with aggregators being a big piece of it. Obviously, now this gets into a little bit Q2, but they've launched the stuffed crust pizza. And so, what Canada is proving that we think more and more of our international master franchisees are going to recognize is that Hungry for MORE really is a global strategy that positively impacts all of our markets. Do you want to talk about store count?

SR
Sandeep ReddyCFO

Yeah. So, I think, on the store counts, we were expecting the DPE closures that happened in Q1. I think DPE themselves have signaled that they were expecting to have about 200-odd stores closing in Q1 and mostly from Japan, which happened. But I think what's been pretty consistent all along and in the more recent quarters is very strong trends in India and Japan, and that has continued to be the case. Then, I think outside of DPE, India, Japan, all of the markets broadly are tracking to our initial expectations. So, things are very healthy. And frankly, when we looked at the '24 profitability, the paybacks still were pretty good when they looked at all the international markets across the board. So, we feel pretty good on everything except for the Domino's Pizza Enterprises pressures that they were working through. As we said, we think that the DPE closure should be mostly behind us as we get into 2026. But I think their CEO and their team are working on the opening plan to make sure that whatever stores they do open are sustainably profitable stores so that we don't have to go down this path again and having to close stores that are unprofitable stores. So that's kind of where we are. We sit in the wait-and-see mode. I think we'll have to get through this year and see how DPE makes updates to the algorithm.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Lauren Silberman from Deutsche Bank. Your question, please.

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Lauren SilbermanAnalyst

Thank you very much. So, I just wanted to clarify and then I have a question on carryout, but the clarification is on 3P incrementality. Do you expect incrementality of 50% now is you're Domino's Direct customers, or is the lower incrementality a function of multiple partnerships? And then, my actual question is on the carryout comp. So, a bit of a deceleration to 1% in the quarter, and I know there's a lot of noise just broadly in the industry. You guys didn't talk about softness over the last few quarters primarily with 1P delivery. So, can you just expand on what you're seeing with the carryout customer this quarter relative to recent quarters? Thank you.

RW
Russell WeinerCEO

Yes, Lauren, you already addressed your first question, so I'll focus on your second one. We're definitely seeing increased activity on aggregator platforms, particularly with DoorDash, which has double the pizza orders compared to Uber. This is contributing to our growth, approaching 50%. Regarding our carryout business, the performance is largely due to calendar timing. Last year in Q1, we reintroduced a carryout special after a long hiatus, and we were also seeing the effects of our new loyalty program that heavily targeted carryout customers. So, much of the variation was linked to timing rather than any specific issues with carryout itself. We anticipate growth in both our carryout and delivery segments this year.

SR
Sandeep ReddyCFO

And Lauren, I'll go back to something I said on the Q4 call. As we look at the 3% comp, we expect it to come pretty roughly equivalently from delivery and carryout. So, this was not hugely different from our expectations in terms of the split of comp that we saw in the first quarter. And I think with DoorDash now announced, obviously, that's going to be a bit of a tailwind on delivery as we get through the year. And so, overall for the year, that's our expectations.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Jon Tower from Citi. Your question, please.

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JT
Jon TowerAnalyst

Great. Thanks for taking the questions. Clarification, I hate to beat a dead horse, and then a question. On the Dash, just to make sure we don't come away with the wrong expectation for Dash. So, 2x the size, 50% incremental, so 3% contribution run rate is the way we should think about that. That's the clarification. Then, the question is, on the stuffed crust pizza, I know it only came out in a medium size and I believe that's the only size that's available today. Can you speak to why that's the case and if and when you plan on expanding to different sizes across the system in the US?

SR
Sandeep ReddyCFO

So, I think, I'll talk first about the size and the modeling question that you had. Correct. Yeah, it's 2x the size of Uber and 50% incrementality. You can take the gross number as being two times the size of Uber, but the incrementality at 50% would actually create a little bit less than 2x in terms of the incrementality from DoorDash.

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Russell WeinerCEO

Yeah. And with regard to stuffed crust, I think there are a couple of things. One is, and we haven't really talked about this a lot. We use a completely different dough for our Parmesan Stuffed Crust than we do our regular hand-tossed. And that dough right now comes in a medium size. It's more kind of buttery flavor dough. But the reason we want to lean into that particular one is also because of the price point it allows. It allows us to have an upcharge to our mix and match promotion, which is about a $4 upcharge. So, it's not only an order driver, but it's a ticket driver. So, yes, stuffed crust, it was really more for that reason because of the unique dough and the desire on price points, but we're going to continue to watch and see what consumers are looking for.

Operator

Thank you. And our final question for today comes from the line of Brian Harbor from Morgan Stanley. Your question, please.

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BH
Brian HarborAnalyst

Yeah, thanks. Good morning, guys. Sandeep, so just on the international side, is your expectation on units that any closures going forward therefore be just more normal course, so you still feel good about sort of the previous comments you made, kind of similar net unit openings this year versus last year? And then, just on kind of the macro impact on international same store sales is, I mean, you've embedded, I guess, a little bit of sequential deceleration. Is that reflecting that there probably could be some macro pressures there? Have you actually seen that sort of more recently? Or can you clarify that piece of it?

SR
Sandeep ReddyCFO

Thanks, Brian. So, I think there's two parts to this, right? First of all, on the units, yeah, I mean, with the size of the portfolio that we have and the store count that we have, some normal closures would be very normal in course and we'd expect to see that the remaining three quarters of the year. All that's already in the guidance we provided at the beginning of the year to be roughly in line with last year from a net store perspective. So that continues to be our expectation. And then, in terms of the macro impact, and I think there's two things; there's a macro and the geopolitical both. And I think, when we actually take a look at what's going on, there's a lot of volatility in the global marketplace. And I think just from a macro and a consumer sentiment perspective, that can have an impact on consumer demand. And I think in addition to that, there's also the geopolitical volatility that's ongoing around the tariff conversation that's happening right now. So, I think when you take it all into consideration, all of that's incorporated in the 1% to 2% expectation that we have for the year. And obviously, that bakes in some level of sequential deceleration relative to the first quarter that we just experienced.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Andrew Strelzik from BMO Capital Markets. Your question, please.

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Andrew StrelzikAnalyst

Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking the question. You talked about reinvesting some of the savings from the restructuring. Where is that reinvestment going? What are you prioritizing in terms of the reinvestment? And if you're able to quantify it, that would be helpful as well. Thanks.

SR
Sandeep ReddyCFO

I believe we have discussed the areas of the profit and loss statement where we have consistently invested since Investor Day. Our focus remains on consumer technology, store technology, and capacity investments. We are committed to continuing these investments to drive future business growth. I'm unable to provide specific details regarding the amount of savings we've invested, but I can assure you that all of this is effectively included in our profit growth guidance for this year. Additionally, our expectations for the 8% profit guidance we shared for 2026 remain unchanged.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Jeffrey Farmer from Gordon Haskett. Your question, please.

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JF
Jeffrey FarmerAnalyst

Yeah, good morning and thanks. I'm just curious what your exposure to both the lower-income and Hispanic customer demographic is in the US. And I guess, more specifically, if you could share anything about the relative same store sales performance of those demographics, again, specifically lower-income and Hispanic in the most recent quarter?

RW
Russell WeinerCEO

The lower-income customer is not exclusively a Domino's customer; they are pizza customers and quick-service restaurant customers overall. This demographic plays a significant role in the category. In terms of our first-party business, their impact isn't primarily about leaving Domino's for competitors; it may simply involve fewer occasions of dining out. Often, they'll opt to eat at home instead. I'd like to emphasize that starting in 2023, with our Hungry for MORE initiative, we anticipate the quick-service restaurant sector will face ongoing pressure to maintain value offerings, as that’s what customers desire. I’m not concerned about this pressure; in fact, our franchisees welcome it and are eager to provide that value because we’re well-equipped to do so. Our supply chain purchasing capabilities surpass anyone else in the pizza industry, enabling us to provide franchisees with excellent value for customers. Additionally, when prices are low, generating high volume is crucial, which we accomplish through advertising. We have an advertising budget exceeding $500 million, unmatched by competitors. Our franchisees also possess top-tier economic models that can sustain this approach over time. Regarding the lower-income customer, I believe that situation will remain stable. We are confident in our ability to maintain this trajectory, and I believe we will emerge even stronger, continuing to gain market share and attract customers to a Domino's Pizza that offers improved service, digital experiences, and new products compared to two years ago.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Jeff Bernstein from Barclays. Your question, please.

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Jeff BernsteinAnalyst

Thank you very much. Russell, in the press release and during the call, you mentioned market share gains, indicating growth despite some modest negative comparisons in the US. It seems to suggest ongoing fatigue in the pizza category that you've discussed before, which is likely affecting the entire sector. This situation is probably worsened by a tougher macroeconomic environment. I'm curious about your perspective on whether this fatigue continues or if the main issue is the challenging macro conditions. Also, as you mentioned, if you're able to achieve market share growth in the coming quarters and years despite short-term negative comparisons, assuming this is driven by unit growth. I believe Sandeep confirmed the unit growth guidance for both the US and international markets for this year, but I wanted to check on that. Thank you.

RW
Russell WeinerCEO

Yeah, Jeff, I definitely I would not call it pizza fatigue at all. I've been in this business almost 17 years now and essentially pizza grows 1% to 2% every year. We maybe have been on the lower side of that in Q1, but retail sales, because you're right, it's same-store sales plus store opens for us, was positive. And so, this is a category that's been very, very consistent. I want to be clear, there's nothing really happening with pizza that hasn't happened over prior year from a growth perspective. And that's why the continued share growth is really important. And I'll point out that folks, if you think about us because we are the #1 pizza player, we're still slightly short of one in every four pizzas sold in the US as a Domino's Pizza. If you think of other categories, burgers and Mexican and coffee, other #1 brands are significantly higher. And so, this is not a short-term thing that's going on here. There's significant share growth to continue to happen in the category that's going to continue to grow, we believe, like it has that 1% to 2% over time. I think lastly, the interesting dynamic within pizza is about 40%-plus of the competition are locals and regionals, which don't have anywhere near the capabilities to lean into value long-term like we do. And so, when we look forward, we see lots of runway for growth on this US business.

SR
Sandeep ReddyCFO

And Jeff, I think Russell was right.

RW
Russell WeinerCEO

So, 1% to 2% is historically and as we look forward to the future, the average rate that we're expecting for the pizza category, but specific to Q1 actually more than on the low end, I think we're actually looking at roughly flat for the quarter, but it's for one quarter. So, I don't think we read into it too much, but I think in those circumstances, our 1.3% retail sales, we feel really good about because we gained share in a very tough environment.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Alexander Slagle from Jefferies. Your question, please.

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AS
Alexander SlagleAnalyst

Thank you for your question. I wanted to inquire about DoorDash, particularly regarding the recent announcement that mentioned reaching additional customers, especially in suburban and rural areas. I'm curious if there are specific implications for development opportunities that may extend beyond our core areas. This ties into what John Ivankoe was asking. Additionally, I'm interested in understanding how this affects your delivery efficiency, especially if your drivers are fulfilling orders from further locations.

RW
Russell WeinerCEO

We are not changing our delivery drive times to accommodate this addition. It's important to note that we will not be extending our delivery range because consistency and delivering hot products are crucial for repeat orders. However, this strategy will benefit our rural and suburban stores, while Uber may be more advantageous for urban areas. Being on both platforms will likely provide a balanced advantage across all our locations.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Zach Fadem from Wells Fargo. Your question, please.

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Zach FademAnalyst

Hey, good morning. I know you're not giving Uber mix, but just curious if it's still improving quarter-over-quarter or perhaps reaching a stabilization level. And then, separately, could you talk a bit about the performance or take rate on Boost Weeks today versus last year and in the past? And considering the macro dynamics today, just want to gauge the appetite or opportunity to consider stepping up Boost Weeks later this year?

SR
Sandeep ReddyCFO

So, Zach, I think on the Uber mix, like I said earlier, we're not going to really be talking about mix anymore going forward. And let's just say we were very happy with our Uber business in the first quarter. So, I'll leave it at that. And in terms of performance of Boost Weeks, I'm just going to go back to the strategic imperative that drives the Boost Weeks. These are customer acquisition vehicles. And as far as we're concerned, it's doing a great job in terms of being a customer acquisition vehicle, and it continues to be something that we look at and whether it's a 50% online-only or the carryout special Boost Weeks, those are still very, very compelling opportunities for us to acquire customers into the brand. So, that's how we're looking at it. And we said roughly in line with what we did last year for Boost Weeks, that statement still holds.

RW
Russell WeinerCEO

I understand your point, but while we will be about the same as before, I don’t anticipate a major increase in Boost Weeks. We don’t want to condition our customers to expect that in the long run. There is value in having something special throughout the year, and to maintain that value, we need to be very strategic about where we apply it.

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Logan Reich from RBC. Your question, please.

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LR
Logan ReichAnalyst

Hey, good morning guys. Thanks for taking the question. I just had one question on the competitive intensity in the space. I think you guys called it out last quarter. Just curious how that sort of trended in Q1. And then, any sort of impact you guys are seeing from the burger QSR elevated discounting starting in January? Thanks.

RW
Russell WeinerCEO

In the first quarter, we noticed an interesting trend in the pizza market, likely influenced by our upcoming stuffed crust offering. Two of our three main competitors introduced their own stuffed crust options around the same time. Additionally, there has been widespread discounting across the quick-service restaurant sector. Overall, consumer disposable income and confidence levels have dropped back to where they were in 2022, which is creating a challenging environment for our entire business. However, specifically in the pizza space, the competition's promotions on stuffed crusts could lead to difficulties for their franchisees. If they continue to escalate their promotional efforts, it could benefit us significantly. Over the past decade, we have opened about 1,900 stores, while our major competitors have closed nearly the same number, illustrating the struggles they face when trying to promote aggressively without the necessary economic backing.

Operator

Thank you. And our final question for today comes from the line of Todd Brooks from The Benchmark Company. Your question, please.

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Todd BrooksAnalyst

Hey, thanks for squeezing me in. Just kind of putting a point on scale and market share gains, Russell, if you look back to the announcement and launch of Hungry for MORE, can you talk about how much share Domino's has gained in both the carryout and the delivery channel since that program has been launched?

RW
Russell WeinerCEO

Yeah. I guess, I'll even talk broader than that because what I'm really excited about is just how we've consistently been able to do it. And we're about 1 share point a year, kind of give or take, over time in the pizza business. So, we got a track record for doing that. And I think we're actually better poised to do that moving forward because of the market share we have, the advertising we have, the franchisee profitability we have. And maybe just to kind of loop back around to the prior question, we keep talking about the profitability of our franchisees, which we're really proud of, and what we feel pretty confident are that there's the profitability of some of the national and regional local competitors. I'd have folks maybe look at the AUVs, which are something that you can calculate, and just that will give you a sense of what we're talking about. So, even if there are profitability numbers for competition, if you look at the AUVs of the Domino's, which has more stores than any other concept, it will give you a sense of what Sandeep was talking about. Meaning, if folks are going to compete with us with less volume going through what is substantially a similar outlet cost to kind of keep up rent all that kind of stuff, it's going to be very, very difficult.

GL
Greg LemenchickVice President, Investor Relations

Thank you, Todd. That was our last question of the call. I want to thank you all for joining our call today and we look forward to speaking to you all again soon. You may now disconnect.

Operator

Thank you, ladies and gentlemen, for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect. Good day.

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