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Ford Motor Company

Exchange: NYSESector: Consumer CyclicalIndustry: Auto Manufacturers

Ford Motor Company is a global company based in Dearborn, Michigan, committed to helping build a better world, where every person is free to move and pursue their dreams. The company's Ford+ plan for growth and value creation combines existing strengths, new capabilities, and always-on relationships with customers to enrich experiences for customers and deepen their loyalty. Ford develops and delivers innovative, must-have Ford trucks, sport utility vehicles, commercial vans and cars and Lincoln luxury vehicles, along with connected services, including BlueCruise (ADAS) and security. The company offers freedom of choice through three customer-centered business segments: Ford Blue, engineering iconic gas-powered and hybrid vehicles; Ford Model e, inventing breakthrough electric vehicles ("EVs") along with embedded software that defines always-on digital experiences for all customers; and Ford Pro, helping commercial customers transform and expand their businesses with vehicles and services tailored to their needs. Additionally, the Company provides financial services through Ford Motor Credit Company. Ford employs about 169,000 people worldwide.

Did you know?

Price sits at 47% of its 52-week range.

Current Price

$11.88

-1.66%

GoodMoat Value

$67.93

471.8% undervalued
Profile
Valuation (TTM)
Market Cap$47.28B
P/E-7.74
EV$122.58B
P/B1.32
Shares Out3.98B
P/Sales0.25
Revenue$189.86B
EV/EBITDA

Ford Motor Company (F) Valuation

GoodMoat Analysis

Based on data as of March 26, 2026

Ford's current price of $11.69 appears deeply undervalued relative to the GoodMoat Target of $66.59, implying a massive margin of safety. However, this valuation is juxtaposed against severe fundamental weakness, including negative profitability and high leverage, which would likely cause it to fail the initial Moat & Quality Gate of the investment framework.

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From a pure valuation perspective, the current price of $11.69 is dramatically below the GoodMoat Target fair value estimate of $66.59. This represents a margin of safety of approximately 82%, which falls into the 'Deeply Undervalued' band (>40%) per the framework's DCF analysis guidelines. The negative P/E of -5.7 is not directly comparable to a positive sector average, but it starkly signals the company's current lack of earnings. The high Free Cash Flow Yield of 26.8% and a dividend yield of 6.43% suggest the market is pricing in significant distress and future challenges. While the valuation multiples appear cheap, the framework cautions that extreme valuation discounts often exist for a reason. The stock's quality, as indicated by negative profit margins, a -22.8% ROE, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 4.54, is unfavourable. For a value investor following the sequential framework, the deeply discounted price would only be relevant if the business first passed the Moat & Quality Gate, which Ford's current operational and financial metrics suggest it would not. The assessment is therefore bifurcated: the price is highly favourable, but the underlying business quality is not.

F Fair Value Estimate

$67.93471.8% undervalued

Blended fair value estimate based on DCF, Graham Number, and earnings-based models.

F Valuation Metrics

FCF$12.47B
FCF Growth Rate3.73%
EPS Growth (CAGR)50.00%
WACC10.00%

F Valuation & Fair Value Analysis

Ford Motor Company (F) valuation analysis using multiple fair value methodologies. GoodMoat calculates a blended fair value target using discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis, the Graham Number, and earnings-based valuation models.

The GoodMoat Fair Value target for Ford Motor Company is $67.93. The current stock price is $11.88, suggesting the stock is 471.8% undervalued.

The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is -7.74. Price-to-book ratio is 1.32. Price-to-sales ratio is 0.25. PEG ratio is -0.02.

GoodMoat's valuation models include the Graham Number (based on EPS and book value), an earnings-based model (discounted future EPS), and a PEG-adjusted valuation. The three models are averaged to produce a blended fair value estimate. Use these tools alongside the DCF calculator and reverse DCF to form a comprehensive view of Ford Motor Company's intrinsic value.