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International Paper Company

Exchange: NYSESector: Consumer CyclicalIndustry: Packaging & Containers

International Paper (NYSE: IP ; LSE: IPC) is dedicated to empowering customers, teammates, and shareowners to thrive by delivering innovative, sustainable packaging solutions for a changing world. As a trusted leader in corrugated packaging, we collaborate with partners across industries to protect what matters most—strengthening supply chains, advancing sustainability, and creating lasting value for our stakeholders. Discover more at internationalpaper.com. SOURCE International Paper

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Earnings per share grew at a -45.9% CAGR.

Current Price

$34.79

-2.44%

GoodMoat Value

$196.09

463.7% undervalued
Profile
Valuation (TTM)
Market Cap$18.37B
P/E-5.22
EV$30.08B
P/B1.24
Shares Out528.04M
P/Sales0.74
Revenue$24.90B
EV/EBITDA

International Paper Company (IP) Valuation

GoodMoat Analysis

Based on data as of March 26, 2026

The stock appears deeply undervalued based on the GoodMoat Target, showing a massive margin of safety. However, this valuation signal is in stark conflict with severe red flags in current profitability and quality metrics, which would likely cause it to fail the initial Moat & Quality Gate of the investment framework.

Read full analysis
The current price of $36.47 is 81% below the GoodMoat Target of $196.09, indicating a margin of safety that far exceeds the 40% threshold for being 'Deeply Undervalued' per Section 4 of the framework. This suggests the market is pricing in significant distress. The negative P/E ratio of -5.48 is meaningless due to the company's current losses and is not comparable to a positive sector average. The negative profit margin of -14.1% and ROE of -23.7% are severe quality indicators that would likely be rated 'Weak' in the Quality Assessment, pointing to fundamental operational issues. While the high dividend yield of 5.07% and moderate debt level may offer some appeal, the negative free cash flow yield of 0.3% raises questions about its sustainability. For a value investor, the extreme discount to the target price is favourable from a pure valuation lens, but it is overwhelmed by the company's failure to meet the basic quality and profitability standards required to proceed past Step 1 of the Decision Framework. The analysis suggests the low price reflects real business weakness rather than a simple market mispricing.

IP Fair Value Estimate

$196.09463.7% undervalued

Blended fair value estimate based on DCF, Graham Number, and earnings-based models.

IP Valuation Metrics

FCF$59.00M
FCF Growth Rate-45.90%
EPS Growth (CAGR)-45.90%
WACC10.00%

IP Valuation & Fair Value Analysis

International Paper Company (IP) valuation analysis using multiple fair value methodologies. GoodMoat calculates a blended fair value target using discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis, the Graham Number, and earnings-based valuation models.

The GoodMoat Fair Value target for International Paper Company is $196.09. The current stock price is $34.79, suggesting the stock is 463.7% undervalued.

The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is -5.22. Price-to-book ratio is 1.24. Price-to-sales ratio is 0.74. PEG ratio is -0.01.

GoodMoat's valuation models include the Graham Number (based on EPS and book value), an earnings-based model (discounted future EPS), and a PEG-adjusted valuation. The three models are averaged to produce a blended fair value estimate. Use these tools alongside the DCF calculator and reverse DCF to form a comprehensive view of International Paper Company's intrinsic value.