MFA Financial Inc (MFA) Stock Analysis

MFA Financial Inc (MFA) Financial Summary

MFA Financial Inc (MFA) is a Real Estate company in the REIT - Mortgage industry, listed on NYSE. The stock currently trades at $9.51 with a market capitalization of $970.91M.

Key valuation metrics include a P/E ratio of 10.54, price-to-book ratio of 0.53, and EPS of $1.30. The company reports a profit margin of 46.0% and return on equity of 7.4%.

MFA Key Financial Metrics

MFA Revenue & Earnings History

MFA Financial Inc (MFA) Valuation

Based on GoodMoat's DCF model, MFA Financial Inc has a fair value estimate of $22.16. At the current price of $9.51, the stock appears 57.1% undervalued relative to our intrinsic value estimate.

MFA Quality Indicators

MFA Financial Inc maintains a profit margin of 46.0% and an operating margin of 53.2%. Return on equity stands at 7.4%. Debt-to-equity ratio is 5.99.

About MFA Financial Inc

MFA Financial, Inc. is a leading specialty finance company that invests in residential mortgage loans, residential mortgage-backed securities and other real estate assets. Through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Lima One Capital, MFA also originates and services business purpose loans for real estate investors. MFA has distributed $4.9 billion in dividends to stockholders since its initial public offering in 1998. MFA is an internally-managed, publicly-traded real estate investment trust. The following table presents MFA’s asset allocation as of March 31, 2025, and the first quarter 2025 yield on average interest-earning assets, average cost of funds and net interest rate spread for the various asset types. Table 1 - Asset Allocation The following table presents the activity for our residential mortgage asset portfolio for the three months ended March 31, 2025: Table 2 - Investment Portfolio Activity Q1 2025 The following tables present information on our investments in residential whole loans: Table 3 - Portfolio Composition/Residential Whole Loans Table 4 - Yields and Average Balances/Residential Whole Loans Table 5 - Net Interest Spread/Residential Whole Loans Table 6 - Credit-related Metrics/Residential Whole Loans March 31, 2025 Table 7 - Shock Table The information presented in the following “Shock Table” projects the potential impact of sudden parallel changes in interest rates on our portfolio, including the impact of Swaps and securitized debt and other fixed rate debt, based on the assets in our investment portfolio as of March 31, 2025. All changes in value are measured as the percentage change from the projected portfolio value under the base interest rate scenario as of March 31, 2025. MFA FINANCIAL, INC. CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS MFA FINANCIAL, INC. CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS Segment Reporting At March 31, 2025, the Company’s reportable segments include (i) mortgage-related assets and (ii) Lima One. The Corporate column in the table below primarily consists of corporate cash and related interest income, investments in loan originators and related economics, general and administrative expenses not directly attributable to Lima One, interest expense on unsecured convertible senior notes, securitization issuance costs, and preferred stock dividends. The following tables summarize segment financial information, which in total reconciles to the same data for the Company as a whole: Reconciliation of GAAP Net Income to non-GAAP Distributable Earnings “Distributable earnings” is a non-GAAP financial measure of our operating performance, within the meaning of Regulation G and Item 10(e) of Regulation S-K, as promulgated by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Distributable earnings is determined by adjusting GAAP net income/(loss) by removing certain unrealized gains and losses, primarily on residential mortgage investments, associated debt, and hedges that are, in each case, accounted for at fair value through earnings, certain realized gains and losses, as well as certain non-cash expenses and securitization-related transaction costs. Realized gains and losses arising from loans sold to third-parties by Lima One shortly after the origination of such loans are included in Distributable earnings. The transaction costs are primarily comprised of costs only incurred at the time of execution of our securitizations and include costs such as underwriting fees, legal fees, diligence fees, bank fees and other similar transaction related expenses. These costs are all incurred prior to or at the execution of our securitizations and do not recur. Recurring expenses, such as servicing fees, custodial fees, trustee fees and other similar ongoing fees are not excluded from Distributable earnings. Management believes that the adjustments made to GAAP earnings result in the removal of (i) income or expenses that are not reflective of the longer term performance of our investment portfolio, (ii) certain non-cash expenses, and (iii) expense items required to be recognized solely due to the election of the fair value option on certain related residential mortgage assets and associated liabilities. Distributable earnings is one of the factors that our Board of Directors considers when evaluating distributions to our shareholders. Accordingly, we believe that the adjustments to compute Distributable earnings specified below provide investors and analysts with additional information to evaluate our financial results. Distributable earnings should be used in conjunction with results presented in accordance with GAAP. Distributable earnings does not represent and should not be considered as a substitute for net income or cash flows from operating activities, each as determined in accordance with GAAP, and our calculation of this measure may not be comparable to similarly titled measures reported by other companies. The following table provides a reconciliation of our GAAP net income/(loss) used in the calculation of basic EPS to our non-GAAP Distributable earnings for the quarterly periods below: Reconciliation of GAAP Book Value per Common Share to non-GAAP Economic Book Value per Common Share “Economic book value” is a non-GAAP financial measure of our financial position. To calculate our Economic book value, our portfolios of Residential whole loans and securitized debt held at carrying value are adjusted to their fair value, rather than the carrying value that is required to be reported under the GAAP accounting model applied to these financial instruments. These adjustments are also reflected in the table below in our end of period stockholders’ equity. Management considers that Economic book value provides investors with a useful supplemental measure to evaluate our financial position as it reflects the impact of fair value changes for all of our investment activities, irrespective of the accounting model applied for GAAP reporting purposes. Economic book value does not represent and should not be considered as a substitute for Stockholders’ Equity, as determined in accordance with GAAP, and our calculation of this measure may not be comparable to similarly titled measures reported by other companies.

MFA Free Cash Flow

MFA Financial Inc generated $76.25M in trailing twelve-month free cash flow, representing an FCF yield of 7.85%. This strong FCF yield suggests the company generates substantial cash relative to its market value.

MFA Shares Outstanding

MFA Financial Inc has 0.10 billion shares outstanding at a share price of $9.51, giving it a market capitalization of $970.91M.