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Merck & Co Inc

Exchange: NYSESector: HealthcareIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - General

At Merck, known as MSD outside of the United States and Canada, we are unified around our purpose: We use the power of leading-edge science to save and improve lives around the world. For more than 130 years, we have brought hope to humanity through the development of important medicines and vaccines. We aspire to be the premier research-intensive biopharmaceutical company in the world – and today, we are at the forefront of research to deliver innovative health solutions that advance the prevention and treatment of diseases in people and animals. We foster a diverse and inclusive global workforce and operate responsibly every day to enable a safe, sustainable and healthy future for all people and communities.

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A mega-cap stock valued at $284B.

Current Price

$114.62

+1.53%

GoodMoat Value

$189.57

65.4% undervalued
Profile
Valuation (TTM)
Market Cap$284.49B
P/E15.59
EV$321.89B
P/B5.41
Shares Out2.48B
P/Sales4.38
Revenue$65.01B
EV/EBITDA11.30

Merck & Co Inc (MRK) Valuation

GoodMoat Analysis

Based on data as of March 26, 2026

Merck appears favourably priced from a value perspective, trading at a significant discount to its GoodMoat Target, implying a substantial margin of safety. Its P/E ratio is below the sector average and its own earnings growth, suggesting a reasonable valuation relative to its quality.

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Based on the GoodMoat Target of $189.57, the current price of $119.37 implies a margin of safety of approximately 37%. According to the framework's valuation bands, a margin of safety above 40% is considered deeply undervalued, while 20–40% is favourable. Merck's 37% margin of safety falls squarely into the favourable range, indicating the stock is priced well below its estimated intrinsic value. The forward P/E of 16.2 is also attractive when contextualized. It sits below the typical sector average for large-cap pharmaceuticals and is reasonable for a company with a 5% revenue growth and a high 34.7% Return on Equity. A PEG ratio calculation (P/E of 16.2 divided by 5% growth) yields a value of 3.24, which is above the favourable threshold of <1.0, indicating the market is not pricing in significant growth acceleration. However, the low absolute P/E and high profitability metrics (28.1% profit margin, 32.6% operating margin) provide a foundation of value. The 4.2% Free Cash Flow Yield and 2.76% dividend yield further contribute to the total potential shareholder return, supporting the case that the stock is not expensive relative to its underlying financial quality.

MRK Fair Value Estimate

$189.5765.4% undervalued

Blended fair value estimate based on DCF, Graham Number, and earnings-based models.

MRK Valuation Metrics

FCF$12.36B
FCF Growth Rate3.47%
EPS Growth (CAGR)10.84%
WACC10.00%

MRK Valuation & Fair Value Analysis

Merck & Co Inc (MRK) valuation analysis using multiple fair value methodologies. GoodMoat calculates a blended fair value target using discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis, the Graham Number, and earnings-based valuation models.

The GoodMoat Fair Value target for Merck & Co Inc is $189.57. The current stock price is $114.62, suggesting the stock is 65.4% undervalued.

The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 15.59. Price-to-book ratio is 5.41. Price-to-sales ratio is 4.38. Enterprise value to EBITDA is 11.30. PEG ratio is -0.85.

GoodMoat's valuation models include the Graham Number (based on EPS and book value), an earnings-based model (discounted future EPS), and a PEG-adjusted valuation. The three models are averaged to produce a blended fair value estimate. Use these tools alongside the DCF calculator and reverse DCF to form a comprehensive view of Merck & Co Inc's intrinsic value.