XPO Fair Value Estimate
$235.469.4% undervalued
Blended fair value estimate based on DCF, Graham Number, and earnings-based models.
XPO Inc
Exchange: NYSESector: IndustrialsIndustry: Trucking
XPO Logistics, Inc. is a leading provider of freight transportation services, primarily less-than-truckload (LTL) and truck brokerage. XPO uses its proprietary technology to move goods efficiently through supply chains. The company’s global network serves 50,000 shippers with approximately 749 locations and 43,000 employees, and is headquartered in Greenwich, Conn., USA. About the spin-off XPO intends to spin off its tech-enabled brokered transportation platform in North America as an independent publicly traded company under the ticker symbol RXO on November 1, 2022. RXO will be the fourth largest broker of full truckload freight transportation in the United States, with a proprietary digital freight marketplace, access to vast truckload capacity and complementary brokered services for managed transportation, last mile and freight forwarding.
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Trading 9% below its estimated fair value of $235.46.
Current Price
$215.28
-2.20%GoodMoat Value
$235.46
9.4% undervaluedProfile
Valuation (TTM)
Market Cap$25.22B
P/E72.47
EV—
P/B13.55
Shares Out117.15M
P/Sales3.04
Revenue$8.30B
EV/EBITDA23.88
XPO Inc (XPO) Valuation
XPO Valuation Metrics
FCF$370.00M
FCF Growth Rate-8.94%
EPS Growth (CAGR)-4.59%
WACC10.00%
Fair Value Models
Graham Number, PEG-based, and Earnings-based models
View Fair Value →XPO Valuation & Fair Value Analysis
XPO Inc (XPO) valuation analysis using multiple fair value methodologies. GoodMoat calculates a blended fair value target using discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis, the Graham Number, and earnings-based valuation models.
The GoodMoat Fair Value target for XPO Inc is $235.46. The current stock price is $215.28, suggesting the stock is 9.4% undervalued.
The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 72.47. Price-to-book ratio is 13.55. Price-to-sales ratio is 3.04. Enterprise value to EBITDA is 23.88. PEG ratio is 1.53.
GoodMoat's valuation models include the Graham Number (based on EPS and book value), an earnings-based model (discounted future EPS), and a PEG-adjusted valuation. The three models are averaged to produce a blended fair value estimate. Use these tools alongside the DCF calculator and reverse DCF to form a comprehensive view of XPO Inc's intrinsic value.