Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD) — Q1 2018 Earnings Call Transcript

Thank you, and good afternoon. With me are Moshe Gavrielov, CEO; and Lorenzo Flores, CFO. We'll provide a financial and business review of the June quarter, and then we'll open the call for questions. Let me remind everyone that during our conference call today, we may make projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future events or the future financial performance of the Company. We wish to caution you that such statements are predictions based on information that is currently available, and actual results may differ materially. We refer you to documents the Company files with the SEC, including our 10-Ks, 10-Qs and 8-Ks. These documents contain and identify important risk factors that could cause the actual results to differ materially from those contained in our projections or forward-looking statements. This conference call is open to all and is being webcast live. It can be accessed from our Xilinx Investor Relations website. Let me now turn the call over to Lorenzo.

Thank you, Rick, and thanks, everybody, for joining us today. Sales in the June quarter increased for the seventh consecutive quarter to $615 million, up 1% sequentially and up 7% on a year-over-year basis. Growth was driven by our Advanced Products, which increased 8% sequentially to a new record. Gross margin was 68.8%, in line with our guidance. Operating expense was $243 million, also as guided. We are executing to the plan we outlined at our Analyst Day in May. Operating income for the quarter increased 4% sequentially to $180 million or 29.3% of revenue. The tax rate was 8.2% for the quarter, below our guidance of 10% to 13%, due primarily to a discrete item related to the accounting standard for the treatment of stock-based compensation. Our net income for Q1 was $167 million, or $0.63 per share. Some key points on the balance sheet and our cash flows. We ended the quarter with $3.7 billion in gross cash and $2 billion net cash after our debt. During the quarter, the Company raised $750 million of fixed rate debt at a rate of 2.95% with a seven-year term. We redeemed the remaining balance of $458 million on our convertible debt on June 15. Operating cash flow was $191 million. During the quarter, we paid $82 million in dividends, and we repurchased approximately 1 million shares for $67 million, at an average price of $65.09. We continue to execute on our share repurchase program with the intention of exhausting our authorization over the next several quarters. We currently have $615 million remaining on that authorization. We ended the quarter with diluted shares at $266 million, which included the impact of 14 million shares from the convertible and the warrant associated with it. Due to the redemption occurring in mid-June, the full impact on share count will be in the September quarter. For a complete explanation of the impact of these instruments on share count, please refer to our convertible FAQ on our Investor Relations website. Inventory was $215 million, down 12 million from the prior quarter. On to guidance. In the September quarter, we are expecting sales to be between $605 million and $635 million. We continue to expect growth in our Advanced Products. In regards to the end market, we expect the communications category to be down, driven by wireless. Industrial and Aerospace & Defense is expected to be up. And lastly, Broadcast, Consumer, and Automotive is expected to be up as well. Our gross margin will be approximately 69% to 71%. Consistent with the guidance we provided at our Analyst Day, we expect operating expense to increase to approximately $253 million, including $1 million of amortization. Most of this increase will be in R&D. We continue to invest in both our technology and our customer relationships as we expand our leadership in our markets. Finally, our tax rate is expected to be between 10% and 14%. Let me now turn the call over to Moshe.

Thank you, Lorenzo. I'm very pleased with our ongoing execution as reflected in our June quarter financial results. We delivered our seventh consecutive growth quarter with sales increasing 1% sequentially to $615 million. Operating profit increased to over 29%, reflecting the strength of our business model. We continue to benefit from our proven technology leadership of three consecutive nodes, and its positive implications for our broad multi-market thrust. On the market side, five of our eight end markets increased in the quarter. Special mention is due to our test measurements and emulation business, which delivered record revenue yet again. In addition, our broad-based channel business was a very noteworthy area of strength. We're delighted to realize the benefits from our expanded and very focused global relationship with Avnet. As has been a recurring pattern, overall revenue growth was driven by our Advanced Products. This increased by 8% sequentially and 33% year-over-year. This category now represents 52% of our overall revenue, significantly up from 49% last quarter and 42% a year ago. As Advanced Products now comprise over half of our business, it will continue to fuel our growth going forward. Our 28 nanometer product portfolio has set another significant industry sales record with strong sequential growth from the ISM, TME, broadcast, and consumer market. 20 nanometer sales also significantly increased in the quarter, driven by vibrant sales in wireless, primarily for pre-5G deployment. The largest surge in the June quarter sales was driven by our 16 nanometer portfolio. We continue to receive consistent customer feedback that our exceptional execution of this node has extended out competitively to over 18 months. We are now shipping 22 unique products to more than 530 discrete customers, representing all end markets, a substantial increase from last quarter. I'm delighted with the consistent progress we have made in Xilinx's transformation from the premier FPGA company to one addressing a much broader market through uniquely differentiated All Programmable devices. A great manifestation of this transition is the Zynq platform, a very deliberate multi-market expansion play into the SoC space. Our pro Zynq portfolio, which is implemented in both the 28 nanometer and 16 nanometer node, again delivered a new sales record while almost doubling over the past year. In that vein, we recently began customer sampling of our breakthrough 16 nanometer RFSoC family. This highly disruptive product offers an architectural revolution of 5G wireless with integrated RF-class analog technology. It provides both 50% to 75% power and dramatic footprint reduction for future 5G deployments, as well as cable and wireless backhaul applications. I'm particularly pleased with the Amazon FPGA-as-a-Service F1 deployment that enables cloud-based acceleration. The general access phase targeted for traditional hardware application developers was very successfully launched in mid-April of this year. We're currently working shoulder to shoulder with the AWS team to facilitate the second very significant market expansion phase of this program. The expectation is that within a month, unique SDAccel technology will be made available to AWS F1 users and will enable a much larger community of software application developers to derive the benefits of FPGA acceleration. Returning to the here and now, our September quarter guidance of $605 million to $635 million will unquestionably be driven from broad-based growth in our Advanced Products portfolio. We remain focused on achieving the fiscal year 2018 revenue target of approximately $2.5 billion. In addition, while we continue to invest in our leading technology and market expansion efforts, we remain committed to delivering a 30%-plus operating margin exiting this fiscal year. Let me now turn the call back to the operator for questions and answers.

Yeah. Good afternoon. Thank you for taking my question. I guess, first question. I know it's a small part of your business, but one that we're all interested in, the Data Center. Can you provide an update on what you're seeing in FPGA-as-a-Service? And I guess, as part of that, how you're ramping R&D to support that and how we should think about that going forward. Thank you.

Okay. Well, this program, which has been ongoing for over a year and a half with Amazon is now online. And since mid-April, I think it was April 19, it was opened up for general availability. The nature of that is that it really targets the traditional hardware FPGA designers. And that's gotten very good reception, and we worked very closely with Amazon and their design team to enable that. But the real potential for this technology, both in terms of the ubiquitous accessibility of the technology, and broadening the set of users, is to move beyond traditional hardware designers and facilitate software developers and algorithm developers to use the technology. We have made the technology, which is an abstraction layer or think of it as a wrapper, an abstraction wrapper on top of our hardware technology now available to Amazon, and that's this SDAccel and this is sort of a journey, it's not one set of technologies. But that is, by far, the most significant portion, and we expect that to be rolled out by Amazon within a month or so. So, we've developed the technology, we've handed it over to them, and now we're working very closely with them to make sure customers have the best experience possible. As with every new technology, it typically has some teething challenges. And you know this is very advanced technology so it undoubtedly will have that, and we expect to continue to work closely with Amazon over the next six months so that as it broadens its usage, it becomes: A, easier to use; B, has much higher performance and gives the benefit of the parallel processing capability, which is inherent in the FPGA, to the customers so they can use it in their end applications. And everyone's sort of – I know there's tremendous desire to see this happen overnight, and reality is that this probably will take six months to go through this phase of the software technology deployment and acceptance by the market. And at that point in time, it will clearly have the potential of going viral and expanding in a big way. Regarding all of the numbers we've given in terms of engineering investment, they already relate to this becoming the highest priority for the Company. So, all of the numbers that Lorenzo and the team shared back in May in New York are the numbers, and it's been done by our existing engineering resource. But it is clearly an area that we are significantly increasing the investments over what it has been in the past. You shouldn't assume that that will impact the overall engineering investment, right? So, it's an issue of prioritizing the resource.

And I want to expand just a little bit on one aspect of what Moshe said, C. J., which is the investment we're making is primarily on SDAccel, which is intended to be broadly available technology outside of Amazon as well, right? So, this is a horizontal leveraging play as well for us.

Thank you for the opportunity to ask a question. Congratulations on the solid results. I have a question for Moshe.

Hey, John, we're having a hard time hearing you. One second.

Is this any better, guys?

Yeah, now it's better. Thank you.

Apologies. Moshe, I won't ask about the Data Center opportunity, but I was curious, in your prepared comments, you started talking about some revenue, early revenue for 5G. And so, I guess, I'm just trying to figure out how we should be thinking about the deployment of 5G, both the trial opportunity for you, which is going to start to come, I guess, in a little bit more volume as you exit this year and more so into 2018. And then how you see that 5G opportunity developing when trials eventually move into kind of full deployment in sort of the late 2019, 2020 opportunity. How much revenue do you think you can get out of the trial phase? And then, how do you think about 5G under a full deployment, that revenue opportunity? Thank you.

Okay. Well, we agree that 5G, in terms of real deployment, it's a 2020 onward timeframe. The expectation is the technology needs in order to support 5G, which is a massive expansion in terms of bandwidth and reduction in terms of latency, all of those – the hardware requirements are huge. And so, the expectation is that this will be a long rollout, but the overall area under the curve will be larger than it has been in previous generations of technology. And we're seeing now a massive race to use our products, and in particular, the RFSoC we believe is a very attractive element which should enable us to capture very significant parts of that early deployment. And then over time, what we'd expect is when you move into the later phases, that will be addressed by our 7 nanometer product offering. We expect both of those to be addressed by our technology and in particular by this integration of the mixed signal. When you look at the overall market, we expect wireless to sort of generally, until 2020, to move sideways, but not at the trough level, somewhere in the middle. And we're sort of seeing this; if you look at our trough and peak levels of wireless, there's about a 2:1 ratio between the two, and it's now hovering in the middle. In quarters like the quarter we just reported, actually, wireless went up substantially and was well above that midpoint. And in the current quarter, best we can tell, it's going to go down a little, just below that midpoint. And no, we can't sort of – that's the nature of this business; we expect it to continue to fluctuate. It's good for us. We expect it to be on average at that level, which is better than most, and that's due to the very strong technology position we have. And that's probably why you're seeing us do somewhat better than probably other traditional players in this market. But to summarize, we expect it to sort of be, on average, moving sideways until 2020. And from 2020, we expect it to sort of get to the previous peak levels. When there will be rapid deployment, it could be above the peak level, but it won't sort of stay there the whole time. The area under the curve is very substantial, and it's just the technology requirements are much larger, and the density of the MIMO and all of that is really much higher than it has been in the previous generation.

Thanks so much. Can you give us some idea what percentage of your total revenues Automotive made up and what sort of growth you're seeing there sequentially and year-over-year?

Yeah. So, our Automotive business is around 7% of our overall business. And it's been driven – the strength of our Automotive business has been driven primarily by the ADAS applications over the past few years as they've offset the Infotainment legacy business we've had. So, that will be the driver for us in the future. Let me just see if I have some sort of year-over-year. You think – our Automotive business over the past few years has grown from less than 5%, in the order of 4% of our business to where it is today. So, it's been one of the fastest growers in our overall suite of end markets, David.

Hello. This is Vinayak, calling in for Joe. I had a follow-up on your ADAS business. Can you just touch upon the breadth of ADAS applications, where you're seeing traction, as the last diversity of the design wins you have there? And longer term, how do you see your positioning in a full year world? Thank you.

So, this is a market we have invested in for several years now, and both – and what you're currently seeing in terms of our revenue is largely our 28 nanometer Zynq product offering. And we're seeing it, no – the numbers we had shared is approaching 100 models in just over 25 manufacturers. And we're seeing that continuing; we're seeing the usages of technology. It's sort of forward-looking, backward-looking, inward-looking, sideways-looking. There's a lot of applications where it's being used. What we're seeing now is that a lot of the early designs are now transitioning to the second generation of product, which is the MPSoC, it's the 16 nanometer product offering. What we expect to happen, and obviously there's a lot of press on this, but these are still really very, very early days, and when you sort of hear about vehicles driving around, they don't really have the level five or anything close to that available. And the expectation is that over the next several years, that will roll out, and we expect this to be a combination of potentially a very powerful central CPU or CPU cluster, and then a whole host of other inputs. We are targeting that using our 7 nanometer as the ultimate solution for this market, with more of a focus on the other elements as opposed to the supercomputer at the center of it all. Our expectation is that the market will evolve in a way that because things are unknown, it will take probably until 2030 before it's clear how it's evolving, and we expect to be a significant player addressing that and building on our ADAS leverage. If you sort of look at the ADAS and if you look at our 16 nanometer solution, we already have tremendous investment in things like security, which are essential to this, where we're way ahead everyone else in providing the best security for these solutions. And I think you're probably aware that this is one of the biggest concerns in this market going forward, because if the cars can be hijacked, that's not a particularly comforting thought, right? We're in the midst of it all, we're continuing to invest the current business that's driven by 28 nanometer; it's now moving. Over the next five years, there will be significant deployment, and we already know the models, in 16 nanometer, the MPSoC solutions where we have a larger role, and then we're working on the 7 nanometer, which will enable us to continue to stay in the game going forward. So hopefully, that answered your question.

Hi. Thanks for taking my question. Hey, Moshe, my question for you is on competition. I was wondering if I could get your updated thoughts on how you're thinking about competition these days. Obviously, since your main competitor has been acquired, it's been no secret that they've really struggled to execute. You guys have clearly dominated the last three nodes and even moving forward, it doesn't look like you're going to get a lot of pushback. I'm wondering, given your success that you're getting in Zynq and embedded SoC, are you starting to see your competition becoming more the ASICs and ASSP players, or are you still seeing your competition as traditional FPGA? And if your competition is starting to shift a little bit, are there any sort of changes that you need to make to address that?

Okay. Well, that's a great question. And indeed, you're right. This is an ongoing transition which is happening. As our devices are becoming more and more sophisticated, they're all in the systems exchanging. Whereas in the past, the programmable logic for the FPGAs used to have a relatively well-defined role, but it was more of an auxiliary capability. Now, these All Programmable have very sophisticated SoCs with highly integrated programmable logic moving to the center of the customer's system. And now, because we're using this technology and it's happening in conjunction with the transition to heterogeneous computing, right, which is people moving beyond the traditional computing models to others where there's a need for parallelism, we have a very good match with a lot of these new applications. In particular, if you look at machine learning and artificial intelligence, that sort of the killer application which transcends all of these and actually can be very well addressed by our solution. As a result of that, we definitely are seeing very different competition. I would say that the market is about 60% in terms of revenue is in our more traditional historic competition. However, there are actually fewer players in that market, and I'm not only talking about Altera, which is now part of Intel, but you're seeing less and less competition in those markets like Aerospace & Defense, Broadcast, and the like. They really are seeing less competition because that's very fragmented, and test and measurement is another example of those. In 40% what we're seeing, and this is very market specific, we're seeing different competitors. If you look at wired, the biggest competitor would be Broadcom and in some case high-end ASICs. If you look at wireless, it's more ASICs than anything else, and a solution for that is the high level of integration with our RFSoC. If you look at things like Automotive and Data Center, then what you see is the big semiconductor companies there, and they are addressing it through their SoC-based solutions. The way we're attacking it is not frontally; it's based on our strengths because we believe that the ability to use the programmable logic as the differentiator is a key element, which is very difficult to duplicate in any other way. And so, we're addressing those markets there. But it is a very different and competitive map and it’s also one which requires us to invest a lot in ease of use, and that's the biggest knock on our technology in the past, where it would only work with hardware designers, and a lot of these companies don't even have hardware designers or have very small teams. That's why the SDAccel and SDSoC products were so important, and those are the things that Lorenzo highlighted. The Amazon deployment of this technology not only will benefit our business with the hyper-scalers but actually will enable us to compete on a broader base in all of these markets against other SoC providers. Next question, please?

Great. Thanks. Moshe, congrats on the good quarter and outlook, in particular. On the quarter you just posted, the Broadcast, Consumer, and Auto end market did very well. I wonder if you can maybe dig into the components there. You gave us a little bit about Auto, but can you talk about the other two sub-segment or sub-end markets there?

Yeah. Both the other two elements of those end markets actually did a little bit better than expected. They're still relatively, and as everybody knows, consumer isn't a focus area of ours. But we're seeing some interesting opportunities develop in certain end market niches there that we're particularly suited for. We'll see how that evolves over time. The ABB strength is really, I think, a product cycle where, again, our products are particularly well suited for the evolution of that industry, and so we've seen success there. We'll probably continue our strength there. As Moshe said, we're seeing less intense competition from a traditional sense there. And we'll point out, auto was coming off of pretty spectacular record quarter for us last quarter. So, where it is today, we see it continuing to strengthen through the rest of the year, again, based on the designs that we have on our 28-nanometer Zynq product line, in particular. Does that get to your question, Will? Okay. Next question, please?

Next question?

Hi. This is Ji on for Ross. Thanks for letting me ask a question. The growth expected in the Industrial, Aerospace & Defense segment in the September quarter is actually a little bit better than our prior expectations for a flat to slight decline. Can you discuss some of the sub-segments within that IAD segment in the September quarter? Does this imply that fiscal year 2018 growth can be above the prior guidance for 5% to 9% growth year-on-year?

So let me take the bigger question first, which is, as we go through quarter to quarter and as each of our end markets trends through the year, there'll be pluses and minuses throughout the year. So I wouldn't read next quarter's guide as anything on the full year yet. I mean, ideally, all the positives continue, but that's just not the reality. Within the – each of the end markets for Q2 in the Industrial and A&D space, we actually expect each of them to be growing different degrees. So we see strength across the board.

Thank you very much. Moshe, I just wanted to clarify something, and I'm not expecting your AI-related business to grow overnight, but I just wanted to revisit something you said a few quarters ago and are we still on track for that. You had said that by – exiting fiscal 2018, it could be tens of millions of dollars. So question, are we on track? Would you need to get additional wins beside the AWS? If you could please highlight any details you could give us on the Baidu announcement that came out a few weeks ago. Thank you.

So, no, there's seven hyper-scalers, and then there's also two significant systems companies that are very close customers and partners. You can look at our release and you can sort of figure out the people who are in CCIX. CCIX is the protocol which addresses and is targeted at – particularly this market addressing this area. So, as you look at those, the tens of millions of dollars do not require massive adoption by additional players. It's sort of – it's based on what we believe and, for better or for worse, this is the way it's panning out. This is based on the existing business we have with numerous players, which is going to be relatively small, the business with AWS, which I think will carry the bulk of this. Then any of the other players, we’re working with all of the other six hyper-scalers and these two system-level companies who are pursuing these businesses, which are to be cloud-based providers; they're likely to contribute, but not significantly this year, right? That’s – as they come on and as the AWS potential deployment increases significantly, then that’s what sort of enables us to grow beyond these numbers. But there's nothing in those tens of millions of dollars which sort of assumes huge design wins translating to revenue other than the ones that you're sort of aware of. The Baidu one generally belongs in that other category. We're not counting on it yet for our fiscal year 2018 numbers.

Hey, thanks for taking my question. Actually, if I could just follow up on what you just said, Moshe, on the Data Center. One, curious if you could just level-set us as to just how big that segment is in the June quarter. Then to your comments about the projects that you have, I'm just kind of curious if you can delineate between FPGA-as-a-Service with – so similar offerings to Amazon versus more direct deployments for internal use such as what Microsoft is doing.

So those numbers are primarily driven by the Amazon, which is FPGA-as-a-Service. Now, FPGA-as-a-Service is a lot more difficult to do than an internal deployment, which has a very limited usage model. I'm not implying that that's easy either, but that's a contained challenge. Our expectation is that the – when the benefits of FPGA-as-a-Service, which is an incredibly aggressive move by Amazon, when those start to manifest themselves, they could, in of themselves, lead some of these other players once they see the benefits of that to integrate All Programmable devices into their solutions. Whether they do it as a service or whether they do it to enable their existing business, both would benefit from that. But you're right, in the interim, it's the – FPGA-as-a-Service is the major driver short term. We are working with all of these players on numerous options. As you have numerous times pointed out, there's four categories of ways to skin the cat. We believe that our way and the benefits of it are going to be clearer and more obvious over time. We do expect to see the potential of that to be adopted in some of these other players for their core capability as opposed to just as a service solution. Hopefully, that answered your question, Blayne?

Dr. Srivastava.

Thank you for the extra effort, operator, for pronouncing my name correctly. I had a quick follow-up for Lorenzo. On the turns, it seems like if we just look on a yearly basis, we've gone from 50% to 42%. Is there a structural change in the business? I say, 'we grew up thinking PLDs, FPGAs were very high turns business, low visibility.' Is this a structural change or reflective of the current condition we're in, i.e., visibility has extended maybe artificially because of some tightness in the supply chain?

So there's a couple of different things driving this. I do think if you look back and just over the past year, you'll see a fairly big range in terms of the turns we've seen each quarter. A couple of things that – we are trying to get more orders in the book and make our quarters more predictable. Sometimes it just doesn't happen and customers don't make decisions based on our quarters. For the previous two quarters, we had a relatively high book; in the two quarters prior to that in FY 2017, we had a relatively low book. In each of those cases, we managed to come pretty close to our guidance because we go through a couple layers of effort to understand what else is out there, what's likely to turn, where are consumers at in their decision process. We've seen a range of turns. I think we evaluate that internally. We are trying to get the bookings earlier in the quarter. It helps us with our predictability and it helps actually with our accounts receivable at the end of the quarter. But we can't always get what we want in working with our customers, but we do the rigor in understanding where the business is – where we think the business is going to come from in any given quarter. I wouldn't say there's a structural change. I think we are working at obviously the whole optimization of our supply chain through time, but there will still be volatility.

Hi. Good afternoon. You mentioned that you're going to be working with AWS over the next six months to optimize ease of use and performance. Is this ramp purely contingent on the customer ramp timeline at this point, or is there any update to your software, anything implementation related on your side that needs to be finalized first?

Well, it's a joint effort. The technology we have provided has been packaged by Amazon in a way where they have their own deliverables. We continue to – to the extent they need more help from us, we're very motivated to help them, and it is our top priority for that. I would say that, in terms of anything profound from us, we've already delivered all of that. The big invention has been done, and now it's being handed over and needs to be productized in a way where Amazon feels comfortable with deploying it broadly. Of course, we'll provide what they need, but we don't know of anything which is a fundamental problem at this point in time.

Hi, thanks for taking my question. I have a couple of related questions, I hope you don't mind. On AWS, the first part is a clarification: To what extent is this based – the interface going to be solely SDAccel versus like a Vivado interface? That's the first one. The second one is, can you talk about what you view as the competitive environment with SDAccel? Are you picking up that your competitor has anything like this? The third one, Moshe, I believe last earnings call, you mentioned that you were not quite – it was a bit of a surprise, correct me if I'm wrong, but it was a bit of a surprise that you learned kind of late that AWS was working on this. I was wondering if you had a sense, if any, of the other super seven guys are kind of engaged on this FPGA-as-a-Service also? Thank you very much.

Okay. So, three questions is normally one more than I can remember. So if I might ask you to step in. But the initial deployment, they started at the beginning of the year, and that was an internal deployment which was just accessible to their hardware design team. The GA, which was on April 19, was a Vivado-oriented deployment. Again, this is targeted at customers who have traditional hardware designers. The new one, which we expect to be rolled out over the next month or so, is the one which has SDAccel. You are right, the first one was Vivado. The new one will be SDAccel, targeting software developers. With regards to the nine players who are targeting these markets, most of them are not looking at FPGA-as-a-Service, and they're actually looking more at providing acceleration capabilities as part of their cloud-based footprint, but to enable their business as opposed to making a business of it. Having said that, there are quite a few who are looking at making a business of it, and I'm not at liberty to say who is and who isn't. But obviously, Amazon is a tremendous homing beacon for quite a few of these. Some have announced capabilities, but no one is anywhere close to where Amazon is in terms of the level of deployment.

Does the competitor have anything like SDAccel?

Does the competitor have anything like SDAccel? I'm sure they're convinced they do. But the truth is, this is technology which, at the core, has some unique proprietary synthesis technology, which we believe we're the only people in the world that have that. We believe that this sort of approach is maybe not limited to us, but we have, by far, the best, and the highest likelihood of being successful there. That doesn't, to be totally honest, eliminate them as competitors because they can try to address it in other ways, which are maybe more limited and maybe don't give the same benefits, but they can try to do that. I'm sure that, to the extent that they're interested in pursuing it, that's the most likely way that they will, in which case we will have likely a very strong competitive advantage on that, too. So that's the third of the three. Next question, please?

Yes, thanks for letting me ask a question, guys. I just wanted to make sure I understood the math to getting the 30% operating margin by the end of the fiscal year. For the current quarter, OpEx is, per guidance, $253 million, which is a little higher than what we are forecasting, but you're also forecasting gross margins to be better, too, I think, at 70%. I guess, should we assume that you hold OpEx here at that current level, in the $250-million-plus range? I guess on slightly higher quarterly revenue, that's how you get to 30%, or are there other dynamics? Thanks a lot.

So what I tried to describe at our Analyst Day, Romit, was some of the general trends over the year that we were expecting. On OpEx, we do expect to step, as we've said, this quarter, and then a little step next quarter from tape-out expenses, then have a leveling off or a decline. Concurrent with that, as you have anticipated, our revenue growth throughout the year, that would give us the result that we've been talking about.

Yeah. Hi, guys. Just taking a step back, I'm looking at the deep learning and AI on the Data Center side. If you look at the Comm & Data Center segment, are you still sticking with the 1% to 4% year-on-year growth given the trends in the wireless and the Data Center side for fiscal 2018, that is? Thanks.

Yeah. We don't see a reason to change those ranges. For all of the three components we provided two months ago, we believe that they'll end up in those ranges. They probably won't all end up in the middle of the range; some will be higher, some will be lower. But we don't see a reason to modify the range at this point.

Hey, guys, congrats on a solid quarter. For Aerospace, it seems like that's being helped by strong passenger growth year-on-year right now. Do you see kind of a reacceleration in that business? And similarly, for Defense, there are – some believe there are kind of multiple new global defense cycles beginning. Do you agree with that or do you just kind of see this as steady as she goes?

Well, we – I would say, we are less dependent on passenger patterns primarily because – well, there's a few reasons. But, A, it's much broader than planes. We play in a lot of areas. Even when it gets to planes, they don't immediately change the number of planes they are building. That takes years to sort of put the infrastructure in place. What we are seeing is the latter element that you talked about, which is seeing across the board, not only in North America, but first of all, there's a bigger investment in Aerospace & Defense. It appears to be just going in that direction. The budgets are growing and as you know, there's sort of pressure from the U.S. Administration on the Europeans to pay a larger portion of the NATO bills, and one of the ways of doing that is by buying more equipment. We think we're seeing that across the board. It's difficult for us to predict which way it's going to go, but it doesn't appear to be going away by any stretch.

Yes, good afternoon. Thank you. Just a question on gross margins, which in the guidance is a bit higher than what you indicated in the Analyst Day, what you've shown in the past couple of quarters. Is that mix related? If you could provide some explanation of that and what we should expect going forward. Is what you talked about at the Analyst Day still the right way to think about gross margins going forward?

Yeah. Again, I'll start with the end and then come back to this current quarter. We're still comfortable with the range that we provided for the year, which is 68% to 70%; we're not changing that as of now. For Q2, what you'll see, what we've talked about already, is relative weakness in wireless and relative strength in the Industrial and A&D segment for us, at which that mix shift tends to help our gross margins.

Hey, thanks, guys. As I'm near the end, hopefully I can trade in one question for two quick clarifications. Lorenzo, I think you said that R&D or OpEx will be trending down towards the end of the fiscal year, is that true? Should we assume then that OpEx will be down on a year-over-year basis in fiscal 2019? And then, are there any more discrete tax items coming for the rest of the year that you anticipate?

Again, I'll kind of start in a different direction. We're not going to give FY 2019 guidance yet. To clarify on what we said on OpEx for the year, we're showing a step-up this current quarter, primarily driven by R&D. We'll likely see a step-up in the next two quarters. Tape-outs will be a big driver of that, but we're also continuing to invest in supporting the business. We'll see – we're likely to see a decline in the fourth quarter as – again, driven by tape-out expenses not happening. We get through a bulge of them by the third quarter. Like I said, we'll talk about FY 2019 sometime later. With respect to discrete items, one of the drivers that I pointed out in my remarks was how we are accounting for excess stock-based compensation. That's driven by a difference in the current stock price versus historic stock price, really. So, we'll see some of that going forward. We haven't sized that yet, and we can't size that yet until we actually go through the quarter and see what the stock price does.

Thank you. Hi, Moshe, how are you? Just a question, a clarification on the wireless segment. You said it's a little bit weaker in the short term. Could you give us a bit more color by, I guess, China and India, what you're seeing out there? Then you mentioned that 5G won't happen for a couple of years. As we bounce around these levels for the next couple of years, what's the risk that you could see some ASIC conversions in the existing 4G business, given the maturity of that business?

So, let me start with the ASIC conversions. To the extent that they are viable, they already have been done on 4G, right? That’s sort of been in production for several years. I don’t think there’s a huge risk on 4G there. What I do think is going to happen is this past quarter, the June quarter, there was a surge, a very significant surge on the wireless business. The current quarter, the September quarter, we expect it to go down quite a bit. I expect this sort of volatility to continue over the next few years until 2020, but I don’t think that the average business is likely to go away because there are ongoing deployments and there is densification and a whole host of other things which we tend to see. More global deployment is still ahead of us there. On average, we expect it to remain this way. Yes, indeed, India, which was growing very well, is taking a hiatus, and China is currently not in a huge surge in terms of deployment. But we do think that some of these areas will start the pre-5G deployments, and that should help fill things in in addition to the additional deployment of the older protocols.

Okay. Thanks for joining us today. We'll have a playback of this call beginning at 5:00 PM Pacific Time, 8:00 PM Eastern Time today. For a copy of our earnings release, please visit our Investor Relations website. Our next earnings release date for the Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2018 will be Wednesday, October 25, after the market close. We'll be attending the following conferences this quarter: The Pacific Crest Global Technology Forum on August 7, the Jefferies Semiconductor, Hardware and Communication Infrastructure Summit in Chicago on August 29, and the Citi Global Technology Conference in New York City on September 7. This completes our call. Thank you very much for your participation.