Baker Hughes Co - Class A
Baker Hughes is an energy technology company that provides solutions to energy and industrial customers worldwide. Built on a century of experience and conducting business in over 120 countries, our innovative technologies and services are taking energy forward – making it safer, cleaner and more efficient for people and the planet.
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55.1% undervaluedBaker Hughes Co - Class A (BKR) — Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
AI Call Summary AI-generated
The 30-second take
Baker Hughes reported strong quarterly results, driven by big orders for equipment used in natural gas, power generation, and data centers. The company is excited about its pending acquisition of Chart Industries, which it believes will help it grow in key energy markets. However, management is cautious about a potential slowdown in oilfield spending next year due to concerns about too much oil supply.
Key numbers mentioned
- Adjusted EBITDA rose to $1.24 billion.
- IET backlog reached a new record of $32.1 billion.
- Full-year adjusted EBITDA is now expected to exceed $4.7 billion.
- Data center orders year-to-date have reached more than $700 million.
- Free cash flow for the quarter was $699 million.
- IET orders for the quarter totaled $4.1 billion.
What management is worried about
- The near-term potential for oil oversupply continues to weigh on sentiment, keeping operators cautious.
- Early indicators point to another year of subdued activity in 2026, possibly leading to another year of global upstream spending decline.
- The company is monitoring the evolution of U.S.-China trade policies, particularly with the 90-day pause potentially ending on November 10.
- They anticipate tempered year-end product sales across offshore and international markets as well as anticipated E&P budget constraints affecting U.S. land.
What management is excited about
- The company is targeting at least $40 billion of IET orders over the next three years.
- They remain confident in achieving $1.5 billion of data center orders ahead of the original three-year timeline.
- The integration of Chart will further enhance the value they bring to customers, enabling greater optimization across the LNG value chain.
- They see sustained LNG growth well beyond 2030, driven by rising global energy demand, the push for decarbonization, and infrastructure expansion in emerging markets.
- The announced acquisition of Chart represents a significant milestone in the journey to become a leading energy and industrial technology company.
Analyst questions that hit hardest
- Stephen Gengaro, Stifel: Comprehensive business evaluation. Management gave a broad, forward-looking response about enhancing shareholder value and examining all avenues, but did not provide specific details on what the evaluation entails.
- Scott Gruber, Citigroup: Accelerating Chart integration. The response was lengthy and detailed the process and team structure but focused on pre-close planning rather than concrete actions to materially accelerate the post-close synergy timeline.
- James West, Melius Research: OFSE margin outlook for next year. The CFO provided a detailed breakdown of past and near-term performance but gave a qualitative answer on 2026, emphasizing cost discipline rather than a specific margin target.
The quote that matters
This is the age of gas, and Baker Hughes is well positioned to benefit.
Lorenzo Simonelli — CEO
Sentiment vs. last quarter
Sentiment remains confident regarding the long-term gas and industrial technology markets, but there is a noticeably more cautious tone on the near-term outlook for oilfield services, with explicit guidance for a subdued 2026 following a "modest reduction" in the fourth quarter of 2025.
Original transcript
Operator
Good day, everyone, and welcome to the Baker Hughes Company Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. This conference is being recorded. I would now like to introduce your host for today's conference, Mr. Chase Mulvehill, Vice President of Investor Relations. Sir, you may begin.
Thank you. Good morning everyone, and welcome to Baker Hughes' Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call. Here with me are our Chairman and CEO, Lorenzo Simonelli; and our CFO, Ahmed Mogal. The earnings release we issued yesterday evening can be found on our website at bakerhughes.com. We will also be using a presentation with our prepared remarks during this webcast, which can be found on our investor website. As a reminder, we will provide forward-looking statements during this conference call. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve a number of risks and assumptions. Please review our SEC filings on our website for the factors that could cause actual results to differ materially. Reconciliations of adjusted EBITDA and certain GAAP to non-GAAP measures can be found in our earnings release. With that, I'll turn the call over to Lorenzo.
Thank you, Chase. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining us. First, I'd like to provide a quick outline for today's call. I will begin by discussing our strong third-quarter results. Next, I will highlight key awards announced during the quarter and provide some thoughts on the broader macro environment. Following this, I will share an update on the current progress in the LNG sector. I will then hand it over to Ahmed, who will present an overview of our financial results, followed by an update on our continued focus on portfolio management, including the Chart Industries acquisition. To conclude, I will summarize the main points before we open the line for questions. Let us now turn to the key highlights on Slide 4. We continue to execute at a high level, delivering another quarter of strong results. Adjusted EBITDA rose to $1.24 billion, above the midpoint of our guidance range. This performance reflects continued momentum from our business system deployment, positive trends in gas technology and strong outperformance in U.S. land, where our leverage to production is a clear advantage. Oilfield Services and Equipment margins softened in response to the broader macro environment, while Industrial and Energy Technology reported improved results, contributing to a 20 basis points year-over-year increase in consolidated adjusted EBITDA margins to 17.7%. This margin progression highlights the resilience of our portfolio and the foundation we have built through disciplined execution. Given the strong operational performance year-to-date, we now expect full-year adjusted EBITDA for the total company to exceed $4.7 billion. Turning to orders. IET continues to build strong momentum, achieving $4.1 billion during the quarter, driven by LNG equipment, record Cordant Solutions orders and ongoing strength in gas infrastructure and power generation. As a result, IET backlog grew 3% sequentially, reaching a new record of $32.1 billion, further reinforcing the durability and visibility of our growth outlook. Through the first three quarters, IET orders totaled nearly $11 billion, including $1.6 billion from New Energy, already reaching the high end of the $1.4 billion to $1.6 billion guidance range. With good visibility into fourth-quarter awards, we now expect full-year IET orders to exceed our prior midpoint. Looking ahead, we are targeting at least $40 billion of IET orders over the next three years. This outlook is supported by the breadth and versatility of our technology portfolio, which continues to generate a robust pipeline across an expanding range of end markets. We expect growth to be led by gas infrastructure, power generation and new energy markets, while LNG equipment orders are expected to remain consistent with our solid performance over the past two years. In OFSE, Subsea Surface and Pressure Systems delivered a record quarter with $1.2 billion in orders, driven by major contract wins in Turkiye and Brazil. Turning to Slide 5. As I highlighted, we made strong progress on IET orders year-to-date, reflecting continued momentum across LNG, power generation and new energy markets. With strong visibility into our current pipeline, we expect this strength to carry into 2026. In LNG, we secured over $800 million in equipment orders this quarter, including Trains 3 and 4 of Sempra's Port Arthur Phase 2 and Train 4 of NextDecade's Rio Grande LNG. At Rio Grande, our Cordant Asset Health digital solution is being deployed on the first three trains. These awards reflect continued investment in large-scale LNG infrastructure and demonstrate our ability to deliver value by integrating equipment and digital capabilities to reduce downtime and boost availability and production. In power generation, we continue to experience strengthening demand for distributed power, cogeneration and geothermal solutions throughout the oil and gas, industrial, data center and geothermal markets. Notably, we secured a significant award from Dynamis for mobile power generation for oil and gas operations in North America, supplying more than 1 gigawatt of aeroderivative gas turbines to meet rising energy needs across upstream and downstream markets. We also made meaningful progress in geothermal power, securing a contract to design and deliver equipment for five organic rank and cycle power plants for Fervo's Cape Station project in Utah. This site will generate 300 megawatts of clean, reliable power, enough to supply approximately 180,000 homes. This builds on our earlier collaboration with Fervo, where OFSE provided subsurface drilling and production technologies. Together, these wins demonstrate the growing relevance of our integrated portfolio for scalable, low-carbon energy solutions. We also signed a collaboration agreement with Controlled Thermal Resources for the 500-megawatt Hell's Kitchen geothermal project in California. As part of this broader trend, we are seeing continued momentum in data center power demand. Year-to-date, we have now booked more than $700 million in power generation equipment orders for data center applications, led by our NovaLT technology. We remain confident in achieving $1.5 billion of data center orders ahead of our original three-year timeline, underscoring the increasing relevance of our power solutions in this fast-growing market. On aftermarket services, we secured a long-term service contract with BP for its Tangguh LNG facility in Indonesia and extended our agreement with Pembina Pipeline to support upgrades for the Alliance Pipeline system in North America. These awards reinforce the convertibility of our installed base into aftermarket and service opportunities, reflecting the resilience of our lifecycle model. In offshore, a market we continue to see as a compelling long-term growth opportunity, IET secured an award to supply power generation and compression equipment for an FPSO in South America. This award further demonstrates our ability to deliver integrated solutions for critical energy infrastructure. SSPS delivered a record order quarter driven by a significant award for subsea trees in Turkiye. We will supply Turkish Petroleum with integrated subsea production and intelligent completion systems for the third phase of the Sakarya gas field. In offshore Brazil, we also announced a frame agreement with Petrobras for up to 50 subsea trees, marking our return to the subsea tree market following an extended absence. In flexible pipe systems, we booked an additional 66 kilometers of risers and flow lines for hydrocarbon production, CO2 injection and gas lift, again, highlighting our technical leadership in complex offshore developments. We will also provide an all-electric integrated completion system for the Buzios field in Brazil, enabling more precise subsurface control, increased operational efficiency and enhanced reliability. Petrobras also extended contracts for our Blue Marlin and Blue Orca stimulation vessels. In Saudi Arabia, we won a major multi-year award from Aramco to expand coiled tubing drilling operations, including six new units and extensions for four existing ones, supporting both re-entry and greenfield projects across the Kingdom. For Production Solutions, we signed a five-year extension to provide hydrocarbon and water treatment products and services across Valero's North America and U.K. refineries. We also continue to see strong demand in Mexico for our downstream chemical solutions as we help Pemex manage crude quality challenges. These awards highlight our ability to serve downstream markets as well as upstream and midstream. In ammonia, we booked a major order from Technip Energies for the Blue Point #1 project in Louisiana. This facility is set to become the world's largest low-carbon ammonia plant with a capacity of 1.4 MTPA. We will supply critical compression equipment for ammonia production and CO2 transportation along with steam turbines and generators for power solutions. Overall, we continue to see strong momentum across an increasingly diverse opportunity set, supported by the breadth and depth of our technology portfolio. Now turning to the macro on Slide 6. The macro environment has remained relatively resilient throughout 2025 despite geopolitical and policy-related headwinds. A key factor contributing to this resilience is the powerful new growth dynamic related to the rapid deployment of generative AI. This wave of investment is unlocking new growth vectors across a wide range of industries and serving as a broad stimulus for the global economy, with recent estimates indicating that AI-driven investments account for approximately 30% to 40% of U.S. GDP growth this year. Globally, McKinsey projects over $1.5 trillion in data center infrastructure investments over the next three years, a major opportunity for Baker Hughes. We are seeing a clear acceleration in project activity and commitments from leading AI companies with our Power Solutions portfolio well-positioned to meet this demand for resilient energy-efficient infrastructure. Now turning to oil. The market continues to navigate a range of cross currents. On one hand, there are concerns around softer demand and rising OPEC+ production. On the other, persistent geopolitical risks in the Middle East and Russia continue to support commodity prices. Despite the accelerated return of OPEC+ supply, oil prices in the third quarter remained somewhat resilient. While it is possible some OPEC+ nations do not have the capacity to fully meet their production quotas, the near-term potential for oversupply continues to weigh on sentiment, keeping operators cautious amid the risk of short-term pricing pressure. As we shared last quarter, we continue to expect oil-related upstream investment to remain subdued until the market fully absorbs this incremental OPEC+ supply. Against this backdrop, our outlook for 2025 is unchanged, maintaining expectations for a high single-digit decline in global upstream spending. Looking ahead to 2026, early indicators point to another year of subdued activity, possibly leading to another year of global upstream spending decline. Longer term, the outlook is more positive, especially internationally and offshore, where substantial investment will be required to sustain production growth in response to rising demand. We also expect continued growth in OpEx-driven upstream investment as operators focus on enhancing recovery rates and extending the life of existing fields. On natural gas, we continue to see growing divergence between oil and natural gas fundamentals. Its abundance, low-cost reliability and lower emissions set natural gas apart from other fossil fuels. That structural advantage is increasingly reflected in both policy and capital allocation. By 2040, we expect natural gas demand to grow by over 20%, with global LNG increasing by at least 75%. This growth outlook creates a favorable environment for Baker Hughes. LNG demand continues to demonstrate solid growth, increasing by 6% this year, largely driven by a strong storage injection season in Europe, although this was partially offset by softer demand in China. This demand is driving record LNG contracting activity, which is essential for future project FIDs. According to Wood Mackenzie, 84 MTPA of long-term LNG offtake contracts were signed in the first nine months of the year, surpassing last year's total of 81 MTPA. Over the past two years, nearly 75 MTPA of LNG projects have taken FID with an additional 25 MTPA needed to reach our three-year target of 100 MTPA. This would increase the global installed base to our long-held target of 800 MTPA by 2030. Beyond this, we see continued growth in the installed base, which I'll address shortly. In summary, we are seeing strong momentum in our key end markets, especially natural gas and AI-driven power despite persistent headwinds in global trade policy and oil. Our diverse portfolio positions us to manage volatility and we remain confident in our ability to continue executing against our long-term strategy. Turning to Slide 7. Let me take a few minutes to share our updated perspective on global LNG capacity expansion beyond our long-held target of 800 MTPA by 2030. That milestone is now largely supported by projects that have already reached FID, but are not yet commissioned. Looking beyond 2030, we now expect global LNG installed capacity to increase to approximately 950 MTPA by 2035. To achieve this level of capacity, an additional 175 MTPA of projects would need to reach FID by 2031. Our positive long-term outlook is anchored in a simple reality: The world needs more energy. This requirement is being amplified by the exponential growth in AI-driven power demand. Natural gas is well-suited to meet this demand, offering abundance, affordability and lower emissions than coal without the intermittency issues associated with renewable sources. In many emerging markets, natural gas accounts for less than 5% of the power mix compared to over 40% in the U.S. This disparity presents substantial potential for natural gas to displace coal and support the transition to a lower carbon economy, especially in regions with high energy requirements that demand reliable and affordable power solutions. Nonetheless, periods of market volatility may occur due to the nonlinear nature of supply growth. Historically, declines in spot prices have encouraged new buyers to enter the market, thereby spurring the next wave of demand and supporting LNG's sustained long-term growth trajectory. Turning to our technology portfolio. This remains a core differentiator for Baker Hughes. Our best-in-class liquefaction solutions pair advanced compression technology with the industry's broadest selection of drivers including heavy-duty and aeroderivative gas turbines and electric motors. We consistently raised the bar for efficiency, throughput and uptime, helping customers achieve superior LNG project economics. The LM9000 aeroderivative gas turbine exemplifies this, delivering 44% simple cycle efficiency and setting new benchmarks in performance and reliability for large-scale energy infrastructure projects. We expect that the integration of Chart will further enhance the value we bring to customers, enabling greater optimization across the LNG value chain. This allows for more efficient project design and improved life cycle economics, which we expect will result in superior outcomes for our customers. Importantly, an increasing installed base supports structural growth over the next decade in our Gas Tech services business, a key driver of long-term growth and earnings durability for Baker Hughes going forward. The service agreements are critical to ensuring the performance, reliability, and emissions performance of LNG facilities over their full life cycle. Overall, we see sustained LNG growth well beyond 2030, driven by rising global energy demand, the push for decarbonization, and infrastructure expansion in emerging markets. Baker Hughes is well positioned to capitalize on this trend, leveraging deep market expertise, innovative technology and reliable execution to support our customers with solutions that improve performance, reduce emissions, and enhance project economics. Now let me summarize the key points before handing it over to Ahmed. The first quarter was marked by strong execution and meaningful strategic progress. Operationally, we continue to perform at a high level. IET delivered another quarter of strong order momentum, further demonstrating the breadth and versatility of our portfolio. At the same time, our business system continues to drive consistent performance across the company. The announced acquisition of Chart represents a significant milestone in our journey to become a leading energy and industrial technology company. We see substantial opportunity in combining our portfolios, and we expect that the acquisition will enrich our differentiated technology offerings and enhance the value we deliver to customers across critical, high-growth markets. As we announced earlier this month, we are conducting a comprehensive evaluation of our capital allocation focus, business, cost structure, and operations in connection with the pending acquisition of Chart. This evaluation reflects the disciplined actions we have consistently taken over the years to establish a proven track record of driving strong performance and represents a natural progression in our ongoing value creation strategy. We have made substantial progress in driving operational improvements, advancing our portfolio and delivering leading shareholder returns and we are confident that we have the right strategy to build on this momentum and continue creating long-term value for shareholders. Lastly, I want to take this opportunity to extend my sincere congratulations to Ganesh Ramaswamy as he embarks on his next chapter as our CEO. During the past three years, Ganesh has been an exceptional leader at Baker Hughes, successfully implementing our business system and leading the organization with purpose. To maintain continuity and sustained progress within IET, Maria Claudia Borras, a seasoned and highly respected executive at Baker Hughes, will step in as Interim EVP of IET. With that, I'll turn the call over to Ahmed.
Thanks, Lorenzo. Starting on Slide 9. As Lorenzo highlighted, we delivered another quarter of strong orders with total company bookings of $8.2 billion, including $4.1 billion from IET. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 2% year-over-year to $1.24 billion based on revenue growth of 1% as margins increased by 20 basis points to 17.7%. This performance continues to reflect the benefits of structural cost improvements and continued deployment of our business system, driving greater productivity, stronger operating leverage, and more durable earnings. GAAP diluted earnings per share were $0.61. Excluding adjusting items, earnings per share were $0.68. We generated free cash flow of $699 million. For the full year, we expect free cash flow conversion of 45% to 50%, with a typical strong performance expected in the fourth quarter. Turning to capital allocation on Slide 10. Our balance sheet remains in a very strong position. We ended the quarter with cash of $2.7 billion and a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 0.7x and liquidity of $5.7 billion. During the quarter, we returned $227 million to shareholders through dividends. Our near-term priority is to maintain the strength of our balance sheet in preparation for the closing of the Chart acquisition. On portfolio management actions, I'm pleased to report that we closed the acquisition of Continental Disc Corporation on August 7. The sale of precision sensors and instrumentation and the creation of the surface pressure control JV with Cactus are progressing as expected with closing anticipated early next year. When these two divestitures close, they will reduce annual EBITDA by approximately $150 million and generate around $1.4 billion in gross cash proceeds. Turning to the Chart acquisition. We were pleased to receive shareholder approval on October 6. We're currently working in a number of countries to achieve the customary approvals and continue to expect the deal to close in mid-2026. As stated in the Chart acquisition announcement, our objective is to achieve a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 1 to 1.5x within 24 months following the close of the deal. This reduction will be accomplished through a combination of existing cash balances, ongoing free cash flow generation, and proceeds from continued portfolio management initiatives, which are anticipated to yield $1 billion of incremental proceeds. We have formed an integration management office and commenced integration planning with the team at Chart. In the near term, the focus is on harmonizing systems and processes, supply chain, commercial and operations structured across 14 dedicated work streams. This disciplined and targeted approach is designed to enable a seamless integration and position us to realize the full $325 million in anticipated cost synergies. Our early collaborations have demonstrated that both organizations possess aligned cultural values, prioritizing the customer at the core of all activities. The integration planning team is directed by the principle of making decisions that support the future enterprise and prioritize value creation while also acknowledging the strengths and capabilities of the legacy businesses. In addition to the significant cost synergies, we're excited about the commercial opportunities enabled by the combined product and technology portfolios. The combination expands Baker Hughes capabilities in key growth markets such as LNG, data centers, gas infrastructure, hydrogen, and CCUS while also enhancing our ability to deliver differentiated value-added solutions to customers. Let's now move to our segment results, starting with IET on Slide 11. During the quarter, we secured IET orders totaling $4.1 billion, including more than $800 million of LNG equipment and a second consecutive record for Cordant Solutions. With a book-to-bill of 1.2x for the quarter, IET achieved another record RPO of $32.1 billion. This RPO level and a structurally expanding installed base provides strong revenue visibility for 2026 and beyond. IET revenue increased by 15% year-over-year to $3.4 billion, led by double-digit growth in Gas Technology Services, Gas Technology Equipment and Industrial Solutions. Segment EBITDA increased 20% year-over-year to $635 million as margins expanded by 90 basis points to 18.8%. This strong performance was led by record GTE margins and the highest Cordant Solution margins in the past four years. Turning to OFSE on Slide 12. OFSE revenue this quarter was $3.6 billion, up 1% sequentially. Well construction led growth with a 4% increase driven by drilling services. OFSE delivered EBITDA of $671 million, slightly above the guidance midpoint. EBITDA margins declined by 30 basis points sequentially to 18.5% as cost inflation and business mix were largely offset by cost-out initiatives and overall productivity improvements. In International, revenue declined 1% sequentially, where declines in Saudi Arabia, Argentina, and the North Sea were largely offset by growth in Asia Pacific and the Middle East, excluding Saudi Arabia. In the Kingdom, we see the potential for measured rig additions during 2026. In North America, revenue was up 6% sequentially. Onshore revenues increased slightly compared to the second quarter, significantly outperforming the 6% decline in North America land rig activity due to our strong weighting towards production-related businesses. In SSPS, we continue to see positive momentum offshore, where we booked record orders led by significant subsea tree awards in Turkiye and Brazil. Moving to Slide 13. I want to provide an update on our outlook as well as the ongoing impacts of the trade policy changes. Starting with trade policy, the net tariff impact to EBITDA remained near prior quarter levels. We now project this net impact will be at the low end of our $100 million to $200 million range. We continue to execute several mitigation actions to minimize the financial impact, and these measures will continue to play a critical role in managing ongoing exposure. Note that this assumes no further trade policy escalation, including retaliatory tariffs and continued success of our mitigation actions across both segments. We are also monitoring the evolution of U.S.-China trade policies, particularly with the 90-day pause potentially ending on November 10. Next, I would like to update you on our outlook. The ranges for revenue, EBITDA, and depreciation and amortization are shown on this slide, and I'll focus on the midpoint of our guidance ranges. For the fourth quarter, we anticipate total company adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.255 billion, primarily driven by sustained growth and margin expansion within IET. Specifically, IET's fourth-quarter performance is expected to reflect ongoing momentum supported by strong revenue conversion from the segment's record backlog and continuous productivity improvements through our business system. As a result, we project IET EBITDA of $680 million, implying more than 100 basis points of the year-over-year margin increase. For OFSE, we anticipate fourth-quarter EBITDA of $650 million. This projection reflects the potential for tempered year-end product sales across offshore and international markets as well as anticipated E&P budget constraints affecting U.S. land. Now turning to our full-year guidance. We have updated the ranges to include actual year-to-date results and the fourth quarter guidance. Accordingly, we are raising the midpoint of total company adjusted EBITDA to $4.74 billion. For IET, we are raising the guidance range for both revenue and EBITDA, increasing the midpoint for revenue to $13.05 billion from $12.9 billion and EBITDA to $2.4 billion from $2.35 billion. Additionally, we're increasing the midpoint of the IET orders guidance range by $500 million to $14 billion, reflecting robust year-to-date results and anticipated incremental LNG and power generation orders in the fourth quarter. The major factors driving our guidance ranges for IET will be the pace of backlog conversion in GTE, the impact of any aeroderivative supply chain tightness in gas technology, foreign exchange rates and trade policy. For OFSE, we're increasing the midpoint of revenue by $150 million to $14.35 billion and holding the EBITDA midpoint relatively unchanged at $2.62 billion. Factors driving our guidance ranges for OFSE include execution of our SSPS backlog, the impact on near-term activity levels in North America and international markets, trade policy, foreign exchange rates, and pricing across more transactional markets. Looking ahead to 2026, we remain focused on delivering profitable growth alongside continued margin expansion. In IET, we anticipate continued EBITDA growth even with the PSI divestiture taken into account. This positive outlook is supported by a record backlog and another year of strong margin improvement. We remain firmly committed to achieving 20% IET margins next year. In OFSE, we expect operator activity to remain subdued throughout much of 2026, suggesting a modest reduction in global upstream spending due to softening oil fundamentals. Taking into consideration the deconsolidation of SPC's results, we anticipate positive SSPS momentum into 2026 driven by strong backlog levels. Against this backdrop, we will continue to prioritize margin resilience and closing the gap with peers. Before turning the call back to Lorenzo, I also wanted to briefly highlight the key financial commitments of our Horizon Two strategy, which we laid out in September at the Barclays conference. We are targeting total company margins of 20% by 2028, representing a substantial increase from our 2025 implied margin guidance. Over the next three years, we also aim to secure at least $40 billion in IET orders, which highlights our strong market visibility and robust technology portfolio. Lastly, we remain committed to achieving at least 50% free cash flow conversion by 2028. These targets do not factor in the expected accretive benefits from the acquisition. In closing, we are proud of our strong third-quarter operational results, which further demonstrate our commitment to delivering long-term value for our shareholders. Looking ahead, we remain focused on driving sustainable improvements in both financial performance and operational efficiency, ensuring that our actions consistently translate into attractive returns and ongoing value creation for our shareholders. With that, I'll turn the call back to Lorenzo.
Thank you, Ahmed. Our strong third-quarter performance represents clear evidence of the consistent execution and operational discipline embedded across the organization. We have fundamentally changed the way we operate. And today, Baker Hughes is in its strongest position since the merger nearly a decade ago. Through Horizon One, we have delivered substantial operational improvement, expanding adjusted EBITDA margins by 320 basis points, while achieving tremendous commercial success. Looking ahead to Horizon Two, our focus remains on continued margin expansion, targeting a 20% margin for total company adjusted EBITDA by 2028. As we pursue our Horizon Two targets, it is important to recognize the broader context in which we operate. Baker Hughes sits at the convergence of the energy and industrial ecosystems at a time when their interdependence has never been more critical. The rise of AI is a transformative force driving both productivity and energy consumption. Combined with the rising energy demand in emerging economies, this reinforces our conviction that natural gas will play a central role in the global energy mix going forward. This is the age of gas, and Baker Hughes is well positioned to benefit. The Chart acquisition further expands this runway and is expected to enhance both our revenue growth profile and long-term margin expansion opportunity. We have outlined the significant commercial opportunities ahead as well as delivers to continue driving margin expansion and ultimately delivering stronger shareholder returns and meaningful sustained value for our customers and shareholders. As we look to the future, we are encouraged by the breadth of the opportunity in front of us with our disciplined strategy, expanding technology portfolio, and teams fully aligned we believe Baker Hughes is well positioned to deliver long-term value at the intersection of energy and industrial markets. To conclude, I want to thank the entire Baker Hughes team for once again delivering outstanding results. Your passion, discipline, and pursuit of excellence continue to push the company forward. With that, I'll hand it back to Chase.
Operator, we can now open for questions.
Operator
Our first question comes from David Anderson from Barclays.
So power has been a huge theme over the last quarter. It kind of seems to be ramping up in the last month or so. I was wondering if you could please talk about some of the various opportunities you're seeing today and over the next several years in power generation. Obviously, the data center demand for your NovaLT is getting a lot of attention. But the Dynamis order today shows how distributed power is also a growing trend in the oil patch. Then you mentioned the geothermal opportunities and then also offshore. I was wondering if you could kind of put that all together for us and talk about kind of the size and the duration of these opportunities, but also what else is out there in terms of end markets for power generation?
Yes, Dave, definitely. And it's an exciting time when you think about power generation at the broad side of what's happening in the world. And really, it's a demand growth across power generation solutions, and it's definitely beyond just the NovaLTs for data center applications. When you think of Baker Hughes, we've got an equipment offering that includes generators, synchronized condensers, electric motors, and geothermal solutions that really serve across power and industrial and oil and gas markets. And in addition, obviously, we've got the aeroderivatives and heavy-duty gas turbines that are available for the oil and gas power applications. And as you mentioned, we booked a significant order from Dynamis this quarter. So if you think about this award, and this quarter, we booked $800 million of power generation-related orders this quarter. And looking ahead, the pipeline is very strong. And I think it's important to note that it's not just data center, but it's really across oil and gas and industrial markets. And when you think about it, it's accelerating across the oil and gas sector. When you look at some of the basins, specifically U.S. shale basins, electrification, and grid constraints are driving a steep change in the need for distributed power demand and you saw that example by the Dynamis Award, and we see that continuing also in the downstream markets. And as you look at data centers, we continue to see strong momentum. Year-to-date, we've booked approximately 1.2 gigawatts of data center power solutions. We remain confident that we'll achieve the $1.5 billion of data center orders ahead of the original 3-year timeline that we mentioned. And you mentioned that as well, geothermal power generation and I'm very pleased with the relationship that we have with Fervo and others and the award for the organic ranking cycle that we announced 300 megawatts of power, and that's enough to power 180,000 homes. And as we look forward, there's continued opportunities as well with our OFSE business and the relationship we have with Fervo on the subsurface drilling production technologies, gas leak lines and really an integrated solution that we can offer that leverages both OFSE and IET capabilities. So as we think about it, in summary, there's going to be strong performance going forward on the IET side as well as the integrated solutions. The power generation business is going to continue to be a key contributor and really allows us to show the diversification of the solutions that we have across the total portfolio. And importantly, this continues to expand our installed base. And as you know, that turns into services business and revenues as well with a long margin durability and recurring revenue for Baker Hughes going forward. So exciting times as the world continues to need more energy.
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Arun Jayaram from JPMorgan.
Could you provide insights into some of the key financial targets for Horizon Two? Specifically, what are the essential components needed to reach the 20% corporate adjusted EBITDA target by 2028? Also, I'd like to hear your thoughts on how to achieve $40 billion in IET orders during this period.
Yes, Arun. Let me start with the order side of the $40 billion, and then I'll hand it over to Ahmed to discuss margin progression. We are on track to book just over $40 billion of IET orders during Horizon One, and we are very confident about maintaining that level in Horizon Two, which is our goal through 2028. Importantly, this does not include the Chart acquisition at this point. Our confidence stems from strong visibility into project activity and our versatile technology portfolio across various sectors like LNG, power generation, industrial, and new energy. In the LNG sector, we expect 25 MTPA of FIDs to occur in the next 15 months, helping us reach our 3-year target of 100 MTPA and eventually 800 MTPA by 2030. We anticipate even more FIDs in the future, with installed capacity projected to rise to 950 MTPA by 2035. This continued order momentum in the LNG space also presents opportunities for strong upgrades and service activity within our existing operations. Regarding gas infrastructure, we see durable long-term opportunities as natural gas becomes a more significant part of the energy mix. This will necessitate increased gas infrastructure for extraction, compression, and pipeline systems. On power generation, there's been a marked increase in demand for distributed power cogeneration and geothermal solutions. Additionally, data centers are emerging as a key new market, where we've secured several awards for our NovaLTs and expect to meet our $1.5 billion target ahead of schedule. In terms of new energy, we've already booked $1.6 billion in orders this year, which aligns with the high end of our 2025 guidance, with momentum expected to continue in hydrogen, geothermal, and Carbon Capture and Sequestration. Lastly, in the digital space, we're enhancing productivity and efficiency with our Cordant solutions and monitoring over 2,000 turbomachinery assets globally, which continues to be an opportunity for enriching our installed base. Considering all these factors, we are confident about achieving over $40 billion of IET orders in Horizon Two through 2028. Now, I will pass it over to Ahmed to discuss margins.
Yes, thanks, Lorenzo. So look, Arun, as we look at the construct to that margin target and looking at '25, our guidance implies EBITDA margins slightly below 17.5% for the total company. So total 20% company margins represent about 250 basis points of margin improvement over those next three years. So just as a reminder, that 20% margin target does not include the expected accretion from the pending Chart acquisition. And when we step back and look at it to achieve this margin target, there are two broad buckets at the overall company level. And then maybe I'll give some color on the segment dynamics. So at the total level, continuous improvement. We continue to do that through the Baker Hughes business system. And that will always remain a cornerstone of how we execute our strategy, consistent execution, cost control, and leverage, and process discipline. The other piece to that, and we haven't talked about this much, but AI, I think when we look at it, it allows us to unlock new levels of efficiency and productivity. And we see that as a good tailwind over the next few years. And that goes all the way from enabling functions as well as optimizing supply chain, engineering, logistics, and so forth. So this is a really exciting area for us. You've heard us discuss portfolio optimization, which will continue to be a crucial focus. In Horizon One, we have made significant progress this year and plan to maintain that momentum as we move into Horizon Two over the next three years. Specifically in Horizon Two, we aim to generate at least $1 billion from noncore asset sales, implemented through our established assessment framework. This effort will concentrate on decreasing exposure to more cyclical OFSE markets while enhancing our presence in higher-margin industrial sectors. At the company level, regarding our segments, for IET, our immediate goal is to achieve 20% margins next year, by 2026. Looking beyond that, we see potential for further growth due to the structural expansion of the installed base reflected in the recent book-to-bills for IET, along with the strong service demand that will benefit margin rates in our backlog. We will continue to drive this through our book-to-bills strategy. In OFSE, even though the upstream market presents challenges, our priority is to maintain margin rates in the short term as we pursue cost reductions, a process we have been engaged in for several years and will continue this year. Our aim is to close the margin gap with our competitors in this field. Additionally, once Chart is closed and fully integrated, we anticipate it will contribute positively to achieving our 20% margin target. I hope this provides you with insight into the foundations supporting our margin objectives.
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Stephen Gengaro with Stifel.
So you have the Chart merger pending, and you've done a tremendous amount over the last five years, really reshaping the portfolio. And then in early October, you had a press release out and you mentioned this earlier about performing a comprehensive evaluation of capital allocation, the business costs, and operations in general. Can you talk a bit more about what this entails and what we should expect to hear from Baker over the next couple of quarters?
Yes, thank you for your question, Stephen. We are committed to enhancing shareholder value and advancing our transformation into a distinct energy and industrial technology company. The upcoming acquisition of Chart marks a significant strategic achievement in this process. With shareholder approval secured, we believe this is the right moment to assess additional value creation opportunities. As you mentioned, this is not a new strategy for us. Over the past few years, we have consistently taken steps to enhance value for our shareholders. This disciplined approach has yielded measurable results during Horizon One, with EBITDA margins increasing by over 300 basis points and EBITDA rising by approximately 60%, leading to substantial outperformance of our shares. We see further potential for growth, and we will continue our evaluations as previously stated, which reflects our ongoing disciplined approach to discovering more value creation opportunities. Looking ahead, our team and the Board will examine all avenues to drive shareholder value, implementing a thorough review of our capital allocation strategies, business cost structures, and overall operations. Importantly, we want our investors to understand that we are not complacent after recent strong returns. We believe there is significant value to be unveiled in the near, medium, and long term for Baker Hughes shareholders, and while we won’t speculate today, we will persist with our evaluation to ensure we continue to enhance shareholder value.
Operator
Our next question comes from Scott Gruber from Citigroup.
It's been a couple of months since the Chart acquisition announcement. You mentioned the integration planning underway. But can you provide some more color on what you can do now through the early close period to really accelerate the time to full synergy capture and accelerate the timing to full integration of Chart into IET?
Definitely. And Scott, let me start by reiterating why we continue to be very confident in the strategic and industrial logic of the acquisition. And we believe that this combination is going to significantly enhance the value we can deliver to customers. It really aligns with the IET segment, adding key thermal management and air and gas handling solutions to our portfolio. The combination also expands IET's capabilities in key growth markets, unlocking commercial synergies by offering customers value-added solutions. The breadth and diversity of the combined portfolio is going to allow us to go after aftermarket potential. And again, the aftermarket service opportunity is significant, also with digital opportunities. And so I feel very good about the combined portfolio being more industrial and less cyclical, positioning the company to be able to deliver more resilient and consistent long-term performance. And that's going to provide significant revenue synergies as we go forward in the future. And I'll let Ahmed speak to some of the progress to date in setting up the integration team.
Yes, Scott, as we look at the integration itself, the focus, as you said, is really the progress we can make before deal close. So we formed the integration management offices and the teams have a very strong operating rhythm. What we've seen very clearly are the cultures are very closely aligned, putting the customer at the core of all activities, which allows us to really drive some of that commercial synergy work. So in the near term, across those 14 work streams that are dedicated individuals across the board, they're focused on systems integration architecture, all sorts of systems, supply chain, commercial go-to-market and operations. So a lot of work there. And as we progress, we're keeping a very clean sort of view on that swift integration and making sure that we can realize the full $325 million in anticipated cost synergies. And just as a reminder, for the integration itself, it's now going to be led by Jim Apostolides, who's our Chief Infrastructure and Performance Officer. And he's got 25 years of operational and multi-industry leadership experience. And then specifically, when it comes to integration work at both GE prior to Baker Hughes and at Baker Hughes, he's led many complex projects in the past and led those post-acquisition leadership teams. And so as an example, the GE separation across the enterprise that he was involved in. So he's been already working closely with the integration team given that many of the areas in the interim are, of course, focused on areas that fall under his supply chain scope. So we're really pleased with the momentum we're driving there. And with respect to timing, obviously, we mentioned the shareholder vote and the approval from Chart shareholders, and we remain focused on all customary approvals that are in the queue now. So from a timing perspective, we feel good about expecting to close the deal in mid-2026.
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of James West with Melius Research.
I wanted to explore the OFSE business, especially regarding the margin since your performance in the third quarter surpassed that of your peers. You've indicated there will be a slight decline in guidance for the fourth quarter, but it's not significant, which sets you apart. I'd like to hear about the factors affecting the margin and what steps you're taking to maintain a high margin rate. Additionally, could you provide insight on what you anticipate for the margin in that segment next year, considering your guidance on exploration and production spending, which is expected to decline slightly?
Yes, James, I'll take that. So look, we're pleased with how the OFSE team has performed given these market conditions and the resilience that they've been able to drive. So maybe what I'll do is I'll give an overall and then go a little bit in 3Q, 4Q and then a look forward into '26. So at the midpoint of our '25 guidance, OFSE margins, we're expecting them to be down 10 basis points despite an 8% decline in revenue. So that just shows the resilience of the work the team has been doing on cost-out initiatives that they started late last year and the continued simplification that Amerino has been driving as part of the overall OFSE organization. So that's what's really helped deliver that year-over-year margin outperformance relative to the peers in this area. And then when I look at the third quarter specifically, that modest margin decline was really driven fundamentally by business mix and a little bit of cost inflation coming through, but the team was able to offset most of that by cost-out initiatives and overall productivity that they're driving through the fields and the shops. So that again goes back to the resilience. The fourth quarter, as you mentioned, the midpoint of our guide points to both modest revenue and margin declines. And that's really built up through, I would say, a couple of things. One is typical seasonality in the Eastern Hemisphere and the other thing is tempered year-end product sales across both offshore and international markets. And then lastly, what we see as some E&P budget constraints affecting U.S. land specifically. So that wraps up the year. And then when you look into '26, as we mentioned, we expect operator activity to remain subdued throughout most of the year, and that would suggest a modest reduction in global upstream spending due to what we see as a softening of oil fundamentals. But within SSPS, as an example, our strong backlog levels, we expect to drive positive momentum into 2026, excluding the effects of, of course, the SPC deconsolidation that will happen at the beginning of the year. So stepping back, when I look at this against this macro backdrop, we're going to continue to emphasize what we've been doing, which is cost efficiency, pricing discipline, and upselling opportunities and ultimately prioritizing margin quality over volume. So that is the work that's ongoing to make sure we close the gap with the peers in this area. So hopefully, it gives you some color, James.
Operator
Our next question comes from the line from Marc Bianchi with TD Cowen.
I wanted to ask about NovaLT, you had a really good first half year for NovaLT, but it seems like 3Q didn't have much. What are you expecting for NovaLT in 4Q and into 2026? And what's the lead time look like for customers placing those orders?
Yes, Marc, I'll address that. In the third quarter so far this year, we've observed a significant rise in orders for our NovaLT turbines. This trend spans not only data centers but also traditional and emerging industrial markets, indicating strong diversity in this industrial gas turbine. Overall, we anticipate booking over $1 billion in NovaLT orders in 2025, with approximately one-third coming from oil and gas applications and the remainder from data centers and other industrial sectors. This would mark a record year for orders for Nova. The demand for power generation applications remains broad, and we expect it to continue strongly moving forward. To support this growth, we've been increasing our manufacturing capacity significantly and making targeted investments to enhance the performance of the Nova industrial gas turbine, such as expanding its power range and reducing startup time. We're experiencing a strong demand for delivery slots extending into 2028 and beyond. Additionally, the NovaLT presents considerable potential for growth in aftermarket services due to its nature as an industrial gas turbine. We are adding new production capacity as well as ensuring a supply of spares. As we grow our installed base, this recurring revenue opportunity along with the new unit pipeline excites us, and we see significant potential in this area. I hope that provides some clarity, Marc.
Operator
That was our last question. I will hand you back to Mr. Lorenzo Simonelli, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, to conclude the call.
Thank you to everyone for taking the time to join our earnings call today, and I look forward to speaking with you all again soon. Operator, you may now close out the call.
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today's conference. This concludes the program. You may all disconnect.