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PPL Corp

Exchange: NYSESector: UtilitiesIndustry: Utilities - Regulated Electric

Headquartered in Allentown, Pa., PPL Corporation is one of the largest companies in the U.S. utility sector. PPL's seven high-performing, award-winning utilities serve 10 million customers in the United States and United Kingdom. With more than 12,000 employees, PPL is dedicated to providing exceptional customer service and reliability and delivering superior value for shareowners.

Did you know?

Earnings per share grew at a -6.3% CAGR.

Current Price

$37.60

+0.43%

GoodMoat Value

$25.60

31.9% overvalued
Profile
Valuation (TTM)
Market Cap$27.81B
P/E23.55
EV$45.58B
P/B1.87
Shares Out739.74M
P/Sales3.08
Revenue$9.04B
EV/EBITDA12.47

PPL Corp (PPL) — Q4 2022 Earnings Call Transcript

Apr 5, 202612 speakers5,691 words67 segments

AI Call Summary AI-generated

The 30-second take

PPL had a strong year after completing a major transformation into a U.S.-focused utility. The company beat its earnings target and is excited about growth from recent investments. However, it is dealing with customer frustration in Pennsylvania over high electricity bills, which it is working to address with regulators.

Key numbers mentioned

  • 2022 ongoing earnings of $1.41 per share
  • 2023 earnings forecast midpoint of $1.58 per share
  • 2023 O&M savings target of $50 million to $60 million
  • Capital plan of $2.4 billion
  • Dividend per share of $0.24
  • Customers paying more than double the default rate (nearly 20,000)

What management is worried about

  • Higher energy prices are causing significant bill increases and confusion for Pennsylvania customers.
  • The company is concerned about third-party electricity suppliers charging customers rates that are sometimes more than double PPL's default rate.
  • Potential headwinds from interest rates, inflation, and weather could impact financial performance.
  • The ongoing Talen litigation/arbitration remains an unresolved legacy issue requiring mediation.

What management is excited about

  • The strategic repositioning to a premier pure-play U.S. regulated utility is complete, positioning the company for top-tier growth.
  • The acquisition of Rhode Island Energy enhances scale and has already shown marked improvements in reliability.
  • There is a robust $2.4 billion capital investment plan focused on grid safety, reliability, and the clean energy transition.
  • The company is exploring new regulated investment opportunities, like offshore transmission solutions in New England, which represent potential upside.
  • Management is targeting top-tier performance in safety, reliability, customer satisfaction, and cost efficiency.

Analyst questions that hit hardest

  1. Shar Pourreza (Guggenheim Partners) - Confidence in 2023 targets amid headwinds: Management responded with a confident but general assurance that their plan can withstand volatile markets, without committing to accelerating savings.
  2. Angie Storozynski (Seaport) - Impact of a potential Kentucky Power sale collapse on coal retirement plans: Management gave a procedural answer focused on their own filing's merits, avoiding direct commentary on the competitor's situation or its potential to disrupt the regulatory process.
  3. Neil Kalton (Wells Fargo) - Rhode Island under-earning and path to recovery: The response was lengthy, detailing transition costs and normalization timing, effectively defending the current lower earnings as a planned, temporary phase.

The quote that matters

We want to be the best utility company in the US, the best at delivering safe, reliable, affordable, and sustainable energy to our customers.

Vince Sorgi — President and CEO

Sentiment vs. last quarter

Omit this section as no previous quarter context was provided.

Original transcript

Operator

Good morning and welcome to the PPL Corporation Fourth Quarter and Year-end 2022 Financial Results Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Please note, this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Andy Ludwig, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

O
AL
Andy LudwigVice President of Investor Relations

Good morning everyone and thank you for joining the PPL Corporation conference call on fourth quarter and year-end 2022 financial results. We provided slides for this presentation on the Investors section of our website. We'll begin today's call with updates from Vince Sorgi, PPL President and CEO; and Joe Bergstein, Chief Financial Officer. And we'll conclude with a Q&A session following our prepared remarks. Before we get started, I'll draw your attention to slide two and a brief cautionary statement. Our presentation today contains forward-looking statements about future operating results or other future events. Actual results may differ materially from these forward-looking statements. Please refer to the appendix of this presentation and PPL's SEC filings for a discussion of some of the factors that could cause actual results to differ from the forward-looking statements. We will also refer to non-GAAP measures, including earnings from ongoing operations and adjusted gross margins on this call. For reconciliations to the comparable GAAP measures, please refer to the appendix. I'll now turn the call over to Vince.

VS
Vince SorgiPresident and CEO

Thank you, Andy and good morning everyone. Welcome to our fourth quarter and year-end investor update. We'll keep our remarks brief this morning given the comprehensive update we shared with you on January 11th. We continue to be extremely excited about PPL's bright future and the value we intend to deliver for our customers and shareholders. Turning to slide four, 2022 was a remarkable year in PPL's history, one that has completely redefined our company. It marks the beginning of a new era as we are now positioned as a premier pure-play US regulated utility holding company. Our strategic repositioning began with the sale of our UK business in 2021 and concluded in May of 2022 with the addition of Rhode Island Energy and its almost 800,000 customers. I'm very proud of the execution from our team to close this transaction and complete the transition activities to date with National Grid. We are on schedule to complete all of the Transition Service Agreements in 2024 as originally planned. The acquisition of Rhode Island Energy also enhances our scale and enables PPL to be a leader in our sector for years to come. This includes positioning our company to deliver top-tier 6% to 8% earnings and dividend growth through at least 2026, with one of the best credit profiles in our sector. Our balance sheet can support our growth without equity issuances throughout the planning horizon. And while we executed on our strategic repositioning, we remain steadfast in our pursuit of delivering excellent financial and operational results in 2022. First and foremost, we achieved ongoing earnings of $1.41 per share, beating the midpoint of our forecast, which we had increased in November. This is a fantastic accomplishment considering all the extra work our teams completed this past year in connection with our strategic repositioning. In addition to delivering solid financial results, we also laid the groundwork for capital investments we need to make for years to come, in our pursuit of delivering an exceptional customer experience at an affordable price. Specifically, we presented a balanced investment plan in Kentucky to replace nearly 1,500 megawatts of retiring coal generation. This plan best positions our utilities in Kentucky to serve our customers with safe, reliable, affordable and sustainable energy while the state fosters significant economic development and growth. We also designed a series of plans for our newly acquired Rhode Island Energy, strategies to deliver the energy grids necessary to achieve the state's impressive clean energy goal of 100% renewable energy by 2033. These plans include advanced metering, grid modernization and our first infrastructure safety and reliability plans under our ownership. These plans emphasize just some of the robust investment opportunities at our utilities. We're also looking at potential regulated investment opportunities beyond our four utilities, leveraging our expertise in transmission development to open new doors for potential growth. This includes our strategic partnership with WindGrid, an Elia subsidiary, where we are exploring offshore transmission solutions in New England. Any investment opportunity stemming from this partnership is not included in our capital forecast and represents potential upside to our long-term growth plan. On the operational front, during 2022, we maintained our top quartile reliability in Pennsylvania and Kentucky, despite the increased frequency and severity of storms in our service territories. And in just a few months of ownership, Rhode Island Energy has experienced a marked improvement in reliability and exceeded 2022 expectations by more than 10%. One example of this excellent performance was during Winter Storm Elliott. Rhode Island Energy was the first major New England utility to achieve full customer restoration in the early morning of Christmas Day. We also maintained our top quartile customer satisfaction at PPL Electric Utilities and Kentucky Utilities. And while we're proud of these achievements, we are sympathetic to the concerns of our Pennsylvania customers who experienced increases in their December bills as a result of higher energy prices. While we don't control the price of electricity supply, we know that it can have a meaningful impact on our customers. Many of our customers who have chosen third-party suppliers saw even higher price increases and are paying significantly more than our default rate of approximately $0.145. Our most recent review of shopping results found that in November, over 40% of our residential shopping customers paid a higher rate than our default rate. Over 100,000 customers paid a rate between 25% and 100% more than the default rate and nearly 20,000 customers paid more than double our default rate. For the last two years, PPL Electric has been a vocal advocate, on behalf of our customers, for greater safeguards and other actions to protect them from overpaying for their electricity supply. We proposed various consumer protection reforms with our Pennsylvania legislators and regulators and are again having discussions with them for the benefit of our customers. In addition to higher bills from these increased energy prices, a large number of our PPL Electric Utilities customers received estimated bills in December due to a technical issue. The timing of higher electricity bills and the increased number of estimated bills created some confusion and concern for customers. We have since fixed the technical issue and have temporarily doubled the resources at our call centers to address customer questions and significantly reduce call wait times. And in further support of our customers, we've waived late fees and expanded our no-shutoff practice over the winter to include all residential and small business customers. We're also focused on communicating even more with our customers about high energy prices and what customers can do to minimize their energy bills. While this is an important topic for us and our customers that I wanted to address today, I want to be clear that we do not expect this matter to have a significant impact on our financial results. As we've discussed at length, one of the key aspects of our strategy is to drive operating efficiencies across the entire business. In developing our strategy, we anticipated affordability being a key area of focus for customers and regulators, even before we saw the effects of inflation and high commodity costs. We all know the energy grids need significant investment to ensure reliability and resiliency while preparing for renewables, distributed energy resources, and more electrification. This is why our plan best positions PPL to achieve our goals while focusing on affordability for our customers. Turning to Slide 5. PPL's outlook for 2023 is one that is simply focused on executing our utility of the future strategy. In my 2022 recap, I discussed that we are on track with our integration activities with Rhode Island Energy. An obvious top priority for 2023 is to remain on track with our Rhode Island integration, setting us up for completion in 2024. We have a $2.4 billion capital plan that improves the safety, reliability, and resiliency of our networks while addressing our customers' evolving needs. We're on track to deliver the first leg of our $175 million O&M savings target by 2026 with $50 million to $60 million of savings in 2023 as we deploy our playbook and continue to optimize our operations. These savings will provide a strong basis for us to deliver the midpoint of our 2023 earnings forecast of $1.58 per share. Recall, this forecast represents a 7% increase from our pro forma 2022 forecast of $1.48 per share. We will also focus on the regulatory filings in Kentucky and Rhode Island to deliver least cost and reliable energy for our customers and help to advance the clean energy transition. Turning to Slide 6. As we executed our strategic repositioning over the past few years, we took a hard look at how we wanted to be defined as a company and management team. Simply put, we want to be the best utility company in the US, the best at delivering safe, reliable, affordable, and sustainable energy to our customers, and competitive long-term returns to our shareholders. We've included on the right side of the slide the categories that we'll use to measure our success against our peers. In short, we will be targeting top decile or top quartile performance in safety, reliability, customer satisfaction, and cost efficiency, while at the same time, targeting a premium stock valuation. While we're not there yet in all categories, I firmly believe we are on the right path to get there, and I'm excited to see us advance down this path. With that, I'll now turn the call over to Joe for the financial update.

JB
Joe BergsteinChief Financial Officer

Thank you, Vince, and good morning, everyone. Let's turn to Slide 8. Our solid fourth quarter financial results closed out a great year for the company. Fourth quarter GAAP earnings were $0.26 per share. Special items in the fourth quarter were $0.02 per share, primarily due to integration and related expenses associated with the acquisition of Rhode Island Energy, partially offset by a tax benefit due to the provision to final 2021 tax return adjustments, primarily related to the sale of WPD. Adjusting for these special items, fourth quarter earnings from ongoing operations were $0.28 per share, an improvement of $0.06 per share compared to 2021. With these strong fourth quarter results, our 2022 GAAP earnings totaled $1.02 per share. Special items for the year were $0.39 per share, primarily related to integration and related expenses associated with the acquisition of Rhode Island Energy. Our ongoing earnings for the year were $1.41 per share compared to $1.05 per share for 2021, exceeding the midpoint of our earnings forecast for 2022. Turning to the ongoing segment drivers for the quarter on slide nine. Our Pennsylvania Regulated segment results improved by $0.01 year-over-year. Results were primarily driven by higher sales volumes due to milder than normal weather last year and increased returns on additional capital investments in transmission. These improvements were offset partially by higher O&M expenses. Our Kentucky segment decreased by $0.01 per share year-over-year. Improved sales volumes in Kentucky, also due to milder than normal weather experienced last year, were more than offset by higher O&M and interest expense. The addition of our Rhode Island segment increased earnings by $0.03 per share for the quarter. Results at Corporate and Other increased $0.03 per share compared to the prior year, primarily due to lower O&M expenses, lower income taxes, and other factors that were not individually significant. These favorable drivers were partially offset by higher interest expense. Our strong performance in the fourth quarter reflects another proof point of delivering on expectations since our repositioning last year. Our results for the full year are on slide 10. We reported improved results across each business segment in 2022. The operating segment results presented here exclude the impact of share accretion, which we've shown as a separate bar on the far right of the slide. Recall that we used a portion of the UK business sales proceeds to repurchase $1 billion of shares back in the fourth quarter of 2021, resulting in $0.05 of accretion in 2022. We also used another $4 billion of the UK sales proceeds to reduce our holding company debt, strengthening our balance sheet to one of the best in the sector. This reduction of debt was the primary driver for the $0.10 improvement in our Corporate and Other segment for the year. Turning to the operating segments. Our Pennsylvania Regulated segment delivered a $0.06 per share increase for the year compared to 2021. The year-over-year increase was primarily driven by returns on additional capital investments in transmission, higher peak transmission demand, and improved sales volumes. These favorable drivers were partially offset by higher O&M expenses, including increased uncollectibles, additional vegetation management costs, and IT amortization costs. Our Kentucky Regulated segment earnings increased by $0.07 per share for the year compared to 2021. Our improved results in Kentucky were primarily driven by a full year of higher retail rates that went into effect in July 2021 and higher sales volumes. These favorable drivers were partially offset by higher O&M expenses, including vegetation management, plant outage and storm costs, and higher depreciation expense. Our Rhode Island segment added $0.08 per share to ongoing earnings for the year, reflecting the period from our acquisition in late May through the end of the year. This was a great year for the company and is yet another demonstration of our commitment to deliver on and exceed our financial goals. Turning to slide 11. We expect to keep that momentum heading into this year. Today, we are reaffirming our 2023 earnings forecast range of $1.50 to $1.65 per share and the midpoint of $1.58 per share. We remain confident in our ability to deliver our forecast by leveraging our proven operating model, a strategy focused on driving cost efficiencies to reduce O&M, which enables investments necessary to advance our energy networks in the most affordable manner. Our Pennsylvania segment results are expected to increase by $0.04 per share in 2023, primarily due to returns on additional capital investments in transmission and lower O&M, partially offset by higher interest expense. We project our Kentucky segment results to increase by $0.05 per share in 2023, primarily due to lower O&M, partially offset by higher interest expense. Our Rhode Island segment results are expected to increase by $0.08 per share in 2023, primarily due to the impact of a full year's earnings. We project corporate and other results to be flat year-over-year. Moving to slide 12. In connection with the request from many of our investors, we've reallocated our Kentucky holding company financing costs to corporate and other, beginning January 1. This reallocation provides a clearer view of the utility earnings for our Kentucky Regulated segment and is consistent with how we report the Pennsylvania and Rhode Island segments. We've illustrated the impact of this reallocation to our actual 2022 ongoing earnings on this slide to show the 2022 segment results on a consistent basis with our 2023 segment forecast. Moving to slide 13. Our Board of Directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.24 per share to be paid on April 3 to shareholders of record as of March 10. As we discussed in January, the $0.24 dividend is a 7% increase that aligns with our predictable, linear and competitive annual EPS growth of 6% to 8%. This is also within our targeted dividend payout range of 60% to 65%, combining our targeted EPS growth with our dividend yield provides investors with a compelling total return proposition in the range of 9% to 11% per year. This is consistent with our mission of delivering long-term returns to shareholders. That concludes my prepared remarks, and I'll turn the call back over to Vince.

VS
Vince SorgiPresident and CEO

Thank you, Joe. Over the past two years, we've taken bold steps to transform PPL for long-term growth and success and to improve shareholder return, while building on our core strengths. Since then, we have continued to deliver on the goals we set, exceeding the midpoint of our 2022 earnings forecast, advancing industry-leading grid modernization, providing highly reliable electricity and gas service and economically advancing our clean energy strategy. Our plan provides investors with an attractive return proposition, one that the entire management team and I intend to deliver. With that, operator, let's open it up for questions.

Operator

We will now begin the question-and-answer session. And our first question will come from Shar Pourreza of Guggenheim Partners. Please go ahead.

O
SP
Shar PourrezaAnalyst

Hey, team.

VS
Vince SorgiPresident and CEO

Hey, Shar.

SP
Shar PourrezaAnalyst

Hey, Vince. I have two quick questions following your detailed update. I understand you are aiming for $50 million to $60 million in operational and maintenance savings this year, but with such a mild winter and a challenging first quarter, how confident are you in the 158 midpoint considering the pressure from interest expenses and other external factors? If the risks persist, could you possibly bring some of the additional $70 million in operational and maintenance savings planned for next year into this year? Can you discuss the contingencies around this? Thanks.

VS
Vince SorgiPresident and CEO

Yes, Shar. Look, I would just say we still remain incredibly confident in our ability to hit the 2023 forecast. As you've mentioned and with many of our peers, right, I would say the most significant potential headwinds or factors that we're looking at today are interest rates and inflation. And then, of course, weather, which you referenced and its impact potentially on sales or our storm costs. I would say regarding inflation and interest rates at this point, we're really not seeing anything significant enough that we don't think we can manage as we look forward for not only 2023 but going forward. And I would just reiterate that we built a plan to withstand volatile markets and still enable us to hit the targets that we've laid out for you all. So we're still very confident, don't necessarily see the need to really accelerate O&M, but that's always a lever we have at our disposal.

SP
Shar PourrezaAnalyst

Great. And then just lastly, Vince, that's helpful. Just on the Kentucky CPCN process, interveners are obviously starting to line up, looks like there's been some delays on solar PPAs and the PSC just engaged a consultant, right, to do an analysis earlier this week. Can you just speak to the process a little bit more broadly and what we should be watching for interveners and procedurally between now and your next update in the spring? Thanks.

VS
Vince SorgiPresident and CEO

Yes, sure. So the CPCN process does continue, I would say, really on plan as was laid out in the procedural schedule. Last week, the KPSC granted several interveners, their motions to intervene short, none of those were a surprise to us. So I would say everything, again, progressing as we would have expected there. The next step is for us to get the data requests from the interveners, which are due to us by the end of today actually. This will then start a series of requests and testimony that are scheduled really to continue through mid-August. And then once we get through that, that will culminate with the public hearing during the last week of August. And then as I think you know, the commission has indicated that they expect to provide a decision by November 6.

SP
Shar PourrezaAnalyst

Got it. Terrific. Fantastic. That’s all I had and congrats and we’ll be seeing you real soon. Appreciate it.

VS
Vince SorgiPresident and CEO

Great. Thanks, Shar.

Operator

The next question comes from Durgesh Chopra of Evercore ISI. Please go ahead.

O
VS
Vince SorgiPresident and CEO

Hey, Durgesh.

DC
Durgesh ChopraAnalyst

Good morning, team. Thanks for your insights on the Pennsylvania billing issue; it was helpful, as we were receiving questions about it. I just have one quick follow-up. You've mentioned AFUDC in Kentucky. Is this included in the CPCN filing, or is it a separate matter? What should we be monitoring there, and how can we track it specifically?

VS
Vince SorgiPresident and CEO

Yes, that will come out through the CPCN process, so that will be resolved all at the same time to get, Durgesh.

DC
Durgesh ChopraAnalyst

Got it. Okay, perfect. Thank you so much. And go Eagles for 2024.

VS
Vince SorgiPresident and CEO

Not an Eagle fan, but that's okay.

Operator

The next question comes from Paul Patterson of Glenrock Associates. Please go ahead.

O
VS
Vince SorgiPresident and CEO

Hey Paul.

PP
Paul PattersonAnalyst

Hey, how's it going? During your prepared remarks, you mentioned discussions with regulators about affordability. Could you provide more insight into what they might be focusing on, particularly regarding Kentucky and Pennsylvania? What are you hearing there?

VS
Vince SorgiPresident and CEO

Yes. We've been actively engaging with the Pennsylvania state legislature and our regulator, the PUC. Our key request is for customers to revert to the Electric Distribution Company, like PPL Electric, and to default back to our standard rate after the standard offer program ends. We’ve noticed that some customers face rate increases of over 300% once they exit the standard offer program. Therefore, we recommend that if customers do not opt for a new plan when the standard offer program concludes, they should automatically default to our rate, which would help mitigate drastic price hikes. We've also requested that suppliers provide detailed agreement information to our customers and the electric companies, enhancing clarity on these plans. Additionally, we are advocating for stricter regulations concerning introductory or teaser rates and variable rates, as they have significantly affected our customers. Overall, we're aiming for greater accountability from our suppliers.

PP
Paul PattersonAnalyst

Okay. That makes a lot of sense. This issue has affected retail choice jurisdictions nationwide. Over the years, some areas have even considered limiting customer choice to more knowledgeable customers. Essentially, it seems that in many instances, third-party providers are not delivering much value. Is there any discussion about this in any of the regions where you operate?

VS
Vince SorgiPresident and CEO

I'm not seeing that yet, Paul. However, we have been in discussions with our public officials over the last couple of years to get some of these measures implemented, though we haven't succeeded thus far. We will continue to engage with them. The situation is more pressing now due to the increase in wholesale power and natural gas prices. We will advocate for our customers to address the rates charged by third-party suppliers, which, as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, are often significantly higher—sometimes more than double our default rate. You can even find prices on the PUC's website that are cheaper than our default rate. This is a major issue, as you highlighted, and that's why we're dedicating considerable time to educating our customers. We want to ensure they are aware of the available plans and understand the fine print of the plans they choose to ensure they make the best decisions for themselves and their families.

PP
Paul PattersonAnalyst

Okay. Awesome. Thanks so much. Have a great one.

VS
Vince SorgiPresident and CEO

Thanks, Paul.

Operator

The next question comes from Angie Storozynski of Seaport. Please, go ahead.

O
VS
Vince SorgiPresident and CEO

Hi, Angie.

AS
Angie StorozynskiAnalyst

Hi. How are you? I have a question about Kentucky. I realize it's a bit early, but based on the timeline for FERC's approval of the Kentucky Power sale, it seems increasingly likely that the transaction may not occur. If this asset remains with AP, they might seek to enhance its growth profile, which could lead to more coal plant retirements or plans to retire coal plants. I'm curious about how you think this could affect your pending proposal. We have been seeing reports in the state's newspapers concerning reliability issues following coal plant retirements. Additionally, if more large state utilities adopt a similar growth trajectory towards coal plant retirements, could that disrupt the process, or might it be beneficial?

VS
Vince SorgiPresident and CEO

Yes, I'm not certain, but I believe it would affect us one way or another, Angie. Our CPCN has been structured to create a suitable balance with various fuel sources to ensure safe, reliable, and affordable energy while we replace 1,500 megawatts that are reaching their end of life. We have been clear that we have not hastened the retirement of our coal plants; these are plants that are at the end of their operational life. Our CPCN with the commission is focused on finding the best way to replace the retiring coal generation with the most cost-effective and reliable energy sources. As you know, we have a mix of combined cycle plants along with solar and some storage, etc. Therefore, I do not anticipate that whether we sell the asset or retain it within AEP will significantly impact our process.

AS
Angie StorozynskiAnalyst

Okay. Assuming you receive the necessary approvals from the Kentucky Commission, will you file a rate case to recover the investment, or will you consider options like a rider recovery or further cost reductions to manage capital spending and its returns? Yes, we are requesting AFUDC coverage for the capital investments made under the CPCN. This would allow us to generate earnings from these investments before they become operational. Our strong balance sheet allows us to work with regulators to reduce immediate rate impacts while still completing necessary investments. We will factor that into a rate case around 2026 or later. Okay. Lastly, regarding the point you raised about retail choice, it's an interesting situation. I'm assuming you had secured electricity in advance, likely locking in higher power prices. In this environment, where power prices have significantly decreased, wouldn't retail choice be advantageous for residential customers? There should be a favorable difference between what a retailer can offer compared to what the incumbent utility provides, right?

VS
Vince SorgiPresident and CEO

Yes, you would think so, Angie. So our price to compare is about $0.0145. There are suppliers out there that are below $0.10 exactly to your point. We've had to procure that power over six, 12, 18 months time horizons in accordance with the PUC process. So yes, so we're not necessarily getting the immediate impact of the precipitous decline in energy prices over the last month or two. Some of our suppliers are, which they're able to provide, like I said, $0.10 contracts, it makes it interesting that many of our customers were paying $0.20 and over $0.30 in December for their third-party supplier energy. So great point.

AS
Angie StorozynskiAnalyst

Okay. Thank you. Thanks for taking my questions.

VS
Vince SorgiPresident and CEO

Sure.

Operator

The next question comes from David Arcaro of Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

O
DA
David ArcaroAnalyst

Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. A couple of minor questions here. I just wanted to check on the reallocation of the Kentucky Holdco drag, I was just wondering, are there any implications there either from a regulatory perspective or from like a debt refinancing perspective as you shift that into corporate and other, or is it really just as simple as moving around that EPS drag?

JB
Joe BergsteinChief Financial Officer

Hey, Dave, it's Joe. There are no implications to either of those. It's really just the reallocation of those costs that we had been allocating to the Kentucky segment, and from an investor perspective, it's to align the Kentucky segment with how we had been reporting Pennsylvania and Rhode Island. So there are no implications there.

DA
David ArcaroAnalyst

Okay, got it. Great. That's helpful. And then I was just curious, would you expect any ongoing elevated costs or personnel activity or anything like that on the back of the billing issues in Pennsylvania in terms of the call center resources or anything like that, or is it going to be just temporary in terms of response there?

VS
Vince SorgiPresident and CEO

Yes, that will be temporary. We do have third-party contracts that we can utilize when necessary, which we have done. Additionally, we have reallocated some of our existing team members from other departments and trained them for call center activities. So, we can adjust those third-party contracts as needed, and our internal staff will return to their original departments once we complete our call center responsibilities.

DA
David ArcaroAnalyst

Okay, understood. That’s all I had. Thanks so much.

Operator

The next question comes from Greg Orrill of UBS. Please go ahead.

O
GO
Greg OrrillAnalyst

Yes, thank you. Just with regard to the CPCN, how does the impact of inflation play into that with inflation/supply constraints?

VS
Vince SorgiPresident and CEO

So, those price estimates that are in our CPCN are all based on current pricing. And we ran the RFPs in the summertime. So, those RFP prices are included for solar projects. And again, we're using our internal cost estimates for the combined cycle units and any of the solar that we're proposing that we build. So, I would say cost estimates are up-to-date there. No major issues with having to adjust those with what's in the CPCN.

GO
Greg OrrillAnalyst

All right. Congratulations.

VS
Vince SorgiPresident and CEO

Thanks Greg.

Operator

The next question comes from Paul Zimbardo of Bank of America. Please go ahead.

O
PZ
Paul ZimbardoAnalyst

Hi, good morning. Thank you.

VS
Vince SorgiPresident and CEO

Good morning Paul.

PZ
Paul ZimbardoAnalyst

And good to hear about the Rhode Island reliability improvements so quick off the bat. Shifting to the gas side in Rhode Island, I know there's that future of gas proceeding ongoing. Just could you talk at a high level how that could impact the spending plans, whether in terms of magnitude or timing?

VS
Vince SorgiPresident and CEO

Yes, we are still early in that process, Paul. We have developed a capital plan to ensure the safety and reliability of the gas network while collaborating with the state on the future of gas discussions, which will take some time to navigate. As we consider gas networks not only in Rhode Island but across the nation, we definitely see a future for them. Organizations like EPRI and other independent research groups suggest that the fuel flowing through local distribution companies may change; it might not be entirely natural gas and could incorporate renewable natural gas, hydrogen, and other fuel sources. There are certain processes that cannot be fully electrified. Therefore, while we fully support and anticipate increased electrification, we also believe there will continue to be a need for gas local distribution networks. Ensuring that these networks remain safe and reliable is a top priority, and we will definitely engage with the state regarding the long-term future of that network.

PZ
Paul ZimbardoAnalyst

Okay, excellent. Thank you. And one unrelated, and I know you may be a little limited in what you can say, but just is there any update on the talent litigation or arbitration now that, that bankruptcy process has wrapped up? I know it's a legacy one, but just hope we can put that one to bed sooner rather than later? Thanks.

VS
Vince SorgiPresident and CEO

Yes, we are entering mediation next week on February 22 before one of the judges in the Texas bankruptcy court. There is an update, and we'll be heading into mediation next week.

PZ
Paul ZimbardoAnalyst

Okay, thank you very much.

VS
Vince SorgiPresident and CEO

Yes.

Operator

The next question comes from Neil Kalton of Wells Fargo. Please, go ahead.

O
NK
Neil KaltonAnalyst

Hi, guys. Just a question on Rhode Island. Yes. It looks like based on the guidance for 2023 that, if my math is right, it might not be, that you will be significantly under-earning the ROE. So my question is, are the cost savings coming in as expected thus far? And then, in terms of bridging that gap? Is this something that is ultimately going to require regulatory relief in 2026, or can it be accomplished faster?

JB
Joe BergsteinChief Financial Officer

Hey, Neil, it’s Joe. So a couple of points there. First on the Rhode Island guidance for 2023. I think, we've discussed in the past a few times that we expect to experience some variability or noise in our Rhode Island earnings as we work through the transition period and stand up Rhode Island on our systems and processes. And so, that's what you're seeing here. The primary driver of those lower earnings are due to costs, as we work our way off the Transition Service Agreements, their costs such as staffing up our operations, training our new full-time employees, things like that. I do expect that to normalize once we've completed the TSA period in 2024. And again, we expected this from the outset, and it's been embedded in our projections. And so, our outlook for Rhode Island remains very positive as we execute the plan, and I certainly expect to see growth there in 2024. As far as the O&M savings that we're projecting for 2023, the $50 million to $60 million, those come predominantly from Pennsylvania and Kentucky for the same reason I talked about in Rhode Island. We're still working our way off those TSAs. So until we're on our systems and processes, we can't really drive O&M savings there through the transition period.

NK
Neil KaltonAnalyst

Okay. Understood. Do you think that by 2025, we will be earning close to the allowed amount, or might it take a little longer?

JB
Joe BergsteinChief Financial Officer

I believe that 2025 will be a typical year for us. We plan to be free from the TSAs by that time, likely in 2024, which means we will have a clear year in 2025. A reasonable amount of time would have passed since our last rate case, which was in 2018. Therefore, we expect to see an improvement in return on equity. We might need to initiate a rate case afterward. Nonetheless, we will continue to follow our plan and implement our strategies, assessing our progress along the way. Overall, we are optimistic about the growth prospects in Rhode Island.

NK
Neil KaltonAnalyst

Got it. Thank you.

JB
Joe BergsteinChief Financial Officer

Yes.

VS
Vince SorgiPresident and CEO

Thanks, Neil.

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Vince Sorgi for any closing remarks.

O
VS
Vince SorgiPresident and CEO

Thanks, everybody, for joining us. I just want to reiterate, again, really pleased with our 2022 results where we ultimately came in, what we accomplished in 2022 to set us up for 2023 and beyond and just really remain confident in our ability to deliver on what we've laid out for you all. And I can tell you the entire management team is aligned around the new strategy, and we're really looking forward to delivering it. So, with that, hopefully, we'll see you guys on some of the conference circuits or on MDRs and look forward to chatting with you then.

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation and you may now disconnect.

O