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MGM Resorts International

Exchange: NYSESector: Consumer CyclicalIndustry: Resorts & Casinos

MGM Resorts International is an S&P 500® global gaming and entertainment company with national and international destinations featuring best-in-class hotels and casinos, state-of-the-art meetings and conference spaces, incredible live and theatrical entertainment experiences, and an extensive array of restaurant, nightlife and retail offerings. MGM Resorts creates immersive, iconic experiences through its suite of Las Vegas-inspired brands. The MGM Resorts portfolio encompasses 31 unique hotel and gaming destinations globally, including some of the most recognizable resort brands in the industry. The Company's 50/50 venture, BetMGM, LLC, offers sports betting and online gaming in North America through market-leading brands, including BetMGM and partypoker, and the Company's subsidiary, LV Lion Holding Limited, offers sports betting and online gaming through market-leading brands in several jurisdictions throughout Europe and Brazil. The Company is currently pursuing targeted expansion in Asia through an integrated resort development in Japan. Through its Focused on What Matters philosophy, MGM Resorts commits to creating a more sustainable future, while striving to make a bigger difference in the lives of its employees, guests and in the communities where it operates. The global employees of MGM Resorts are proud of their company for being recognized as one of FORTUNE® Magazine's World's Most Admired Companies®.

Current Price

$37.66

+3.15%

GoodMoat Value

$47.97

27.4% undervalued
Profile
Valuation (TTM)
Market Cap$9.63B
P/E52.81
EV$39.31B
P/B3.96
Shares Out255.83M
P/Sales0.54
Revenue$17.72B
EV/EBITDA20.47

MGM Resorts International (MGM) — Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Apr 5, 202614 speakers6,803 words71 segments

AI Call Summary AI-generated

The 30-second take

MGM reported a strong quarter, with its BetMGM online betting business turning a significant profit compared to a large loss last year. Management is very optimistic about this turnaround and continues to aggressively buy back its own stock, which it believes is deeply undervalued. They are also seeing great results from their hotel partnership with Marriott.

Key numbers mentioned

  • BetMGM Q1 EBITDA $22 million
  • MGM Rewards members crossed 50 million
  • Marriott partnership room nights target for 2025 900,000
  • Share repurchases in Q1 nearly 15 million shares for about $494 million
  • MGM China market share 15.7%
  • EBITDA enhancement plan target for 2025 more than $150 million

What management is worried about

  • International inbound leisure travel, like from Canada, is down.
  • The MGM Digital segment faced adverse effects from regulations in the Netherlands and tough comparisons in Sweden.
  • There is overall market volatility and varying economic conditions.
  • The regional operations faced a modest revenue decline due to inclement weather.

What management is excited about

  • BetMGM delivered a tremendous improvement, with EBITDA up over $150 million from the prior year.
  • The Marriott partnership is exceeding expectations and now includes group customers, which should "turbocharge" results.
  • The company is on track with major development projects in Japan and New York.
  • The launch in Brazil is showing early traction with healthy customer retention rates.
  • Las Vegas is on solid footing with a record April and strong forward airline capacity.

Analyst questions that hit hardest

  1. Brandt Montour (Barclays) - Las Vegas April Details and International Inbound: Management gave a detailed, multi-part response about record April performance and how they are offsetting soft international leisure demand with other channels.
  2. Stephen Grambling (Morgan Stanley) - Other Value Creation Opportunities Beyond Buybacks: The response was defensive, focusing almost entirely on the compelling math of share repurchases while only briefly mentioning ongoing asset sale discussions.
  3. John DeCree (CBRE) - Share Repurchase Pace Amid Rising CapEx: The answer was unusually direct in signaling a planned slowdown in buyback aggression to reserve capital for future projects, a shift from prior quarters.

The quote that matters

"We can buy the Bellagio and Aria for three times EBITDA. That's a pretty good use of capital."

Jonathan Halkyard — Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Sentiment vs. last quarter

The tone was more confident and execution-focused, with less emphasis on external headwinds. Excitement shifted markedly from future BetMGM potential to celebrating its concrete $150 million year-over-year profit turnaround, while the rationale for massive share buybacks became a central, repeated theme.

Original transcript

Operator

Good afternoon, and welcome to the MGM Resorts International First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. Joining the call from the company today are Bill Hornbuckle, Chief Executive Officer and President; Corey Sanders, Chief Operating Officer; Jonathan Halkyard, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer; Gary Fritz, President of MGM Interactive; Kenneth Feng, Executive Director and President of MGM China Holdings; and Howard Wang, Vice President, Investor Relations. Participants are in listen-only mode. After the company's remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. In fairness to all participants, please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. Please note, this conference is being recorded. Now I would like to turn the call over to Howard Wang. Please go ahead.

O
HW
Howard WangVice President, Investor Relations

Thank you, Gary. Welcome to the MGM Resorts International First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. This call is being broadcast live on the Internet at investors.mgmresorts.com, and we have also furnished our press release on Form 8-K to the SEC. On this call, we will be making forward-looking statements under the safe harbor provisions of the federal securities laws. Actual results may differ materially from those contemplated in these statements. Additional information concerning factors that could cause actual results to differ from these forward-looking statements is contained in today's press release and in our periodic filings with the SEC. Except as required by law, we undertake no obligation to update these statements as a result of new information or otherwise. During the call, we will also discuss non-GAAP financial measures when talking about our performance. You can find the reconciliation to GAAP financial measures in our press release and investor presentation, which are available on our website. Finally, this presentation is being recorded. I will now turn it over to Bill Hornbuckle.

BH
Bill HornbuckleChief Executive Officer and President

Thank you, Howard. And before we get started, on behalf of everyone at MGM, our condolences go out to the family, friends, colleagues and all those who are impacted by the passing of Alexis Herman, our beloved and longtime MGM Resorts Board Director and the first African-American to serve as U.S. Secretary of Labor. Alexis was an incredible woman and a tireless champion of our company and our culture, helping us to ground every Board deliberation with her compassion, her sound judgment and valued business expertise. She was always so generous with her time, proving individual career mentorship to myself and many other leaders at MGM and throughout our community. As a public servant, she will always be remembered for her hard work to secure low unemployment, safe working conditions and a global standard for child labor opening doors for individuals, individual pursuits and advancement of livelihoods. Her life's work touched so many and she truly will be greatly missed. We at MGM are fortunate to have a foundation built on exceptional employees and leaders, and I'm pleased to share with you today that their efforts have driven yet another strong quarter of financial results, highlighted by an impressive turnaround at BetMGM. Make no mistake, our ability to deliver outstanding experiences to our customers and strong results to our shareholders start with my colleagues across MGM Resorts. We've maintained record-level net promoter scores for our Gold+ customers once again this quarter. Their collective hard work culminated in a notable milestone this month when our MGM Rewards program crossed 50 million members, which represents growth of over 50% since 2020, an achievement that reflects the staying power of MGM's iconic brands and our powerful customer insights, which can amplify the Marriott partnership and drive omnichannel opportunities, particularly with BetMGM. I'm confident in saying no other mature gaming company has seen the database growth as strong as we have over the same period. As we navigate the balance of the year, our business is on solid footing. Led by our luxury offerings, we delivered an elevated experience to more guests than any of our competitors on the Las Vegas Strip, making us prime beneficiaries of a strong citywide events and convention calendar. Our business is also equipped with ample liquidity, a strong balance sheet and operational agility, specifically our experienced operators and leaders have shown the ability to adjust quickly in varying economic conditions, which have presented themselves throughout the company's lifespan of nearly four decades. We ended this year on offense with a $200 million EBITDA enhancement plan already in motion. We now believe we fully can implement more than $150 million in 2025. We are also seeing continued growth from our existing exclusive Marriott collaboration, which we still expect will account for 900,000 room nights this year, up from the 660,000 last year. Adding to these, our diversity in geography and market mix is once again proving to be a strength during these times of volatility. To setup in Las Vegas remained steady with a favorable room supply dynamic as current rooms under construction represent only 1.6% of the existing supply among the lowest of the top 25 MSAs. Additionally, second quarter 2025 airline capacity at Harry Reid Airport remains scheduled at record levels. Domestic flight capacity in each month from April to June is up 2%, with 14 of the 25 largest metro markets increasing capacity into Las Vegas. Our Las Vegas Strip Resorts were solid despite in our regional properties operations remained steady with only a modest decline in revenue due to some inclement weather. Importantly, we ended the period strong with records for the month of March in RevPAR and slot win. Also, we have once again shown the ability to generate segment adjusted EBITDA margins at or above 30%. Switching over to China, MGM China is maintaining mid-teens share, ending the quarter at 15.7% even with new supply ramping up in the market. We continue to be proud and we are able to debut 10 new villas in MGM Macau today with another 18 opening by the end of the year. At MGM Cotai, we are in the process of adding 60 new suites that are targeting a first quarter 2026 opening. These are welcome new room products that will help support demand from our premium gaming customers. As solid as our various business segments have performed, the spotlight shined brightest on BetMGM this quarter. The venture reported an increase in net revenue from operations of 34% for the quarter and EBITDA of $22 million, representing a tremendous improvement of over $150 million from the prior year period. IGaming net revenues for operating grew 27% and online sports net revenues from operations grew 68%, each on the heels of strong engagement improvement. We have previously discussed the focus on iGaming and a more thoughtful and profitable approach towards customer acquisition and the team has executed on it impressively for the year-over-year turnaround. MGM Digital, our consolidated international digital business that does not include the BetMGM venture made great progress during the quarter as well, with the launch in Brazil and our first deployment of sports betting platform that we acquired from Tipico last year. In Brazil, we have seen evidence of early traction with healthy retention rates. Also, having a fantastic media partner like Grupo Globo has provided flexibility in marketing, allowing us to be very deliberate on entry. We are focused on executing our marketing plan throughout the second quarter as this business continues to ramp. And we're excited to launch our live dealer platform from the MGM Grand later in May. In Japan, we've made meaningful progress. Earlier this month, we entered into an agreement with our general contractors to proceed with construction activities as planned, and we held an official ground opening breaking ceremony in Osaka on April 24. Stateside, we remain on track to submit our RFP in New York over the summer and continue to expect to hear back on our licenses before year's end. Overall, MGM is well positioned for the future. We have market-leading operations in Las Vegas and the regions and the resorts have received significant investment and care over the most recent years. Our digital businesses in the US and beyond are growing and turning profitable. And we have an inevitable pipeline of future project opportunities in Japan and hopefully New York, as well as a durable financial profile, including ample liquidity and a very solid balance sheet. I'll now turn this over to Jonathan to provide further details on the quarter.

JH
Jonathan HalkyardChief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Thanks, Bill. I'd like to echo your comments about our team here at MGM Resorts. We've delivered a really strong quarter of results despite a difficult year-over-year Super Bowl comparison and overall market volatility. These results are a testament to the strength of our operators, the teams who support them and our employees who execute with excellence every day. So a huge thanks to the team. In Las Vegas, performance was solid, particularly when taking into account our expected year-over-year impact of about $65 million related to the Super Bowl last year, plus the impact from the room remodel at the MGM Grand this year, which we discussed in our last call. Segment adjusted EBITDA was down $17 million and included $37 million in business interruption proceeds during the quarter. When considering the puts and takes of the quarter, we more than made up for the headwinds. The value of the Marriott strategic relationships was notable this quarter, helping to achieve record first quarter occupancy. The incremental customers also helped drive record first quarter slot win, which was up 7%. The Regional Operations held in well. And when adjusted for the $12 million of business interruption proceeds we received, the EBITDA decline was mostly attributed to challenging weather at the start of the quarter. The regional operators ended the quarter on a high note, as Bill mentioned, with record March slot win. RevPAR in the regional hotel portfolio impressed, hitting monthly records for each month during the quarter. In Macau, margins held in at 28% due to strong OpEx control and other efforts to maximize the efficiency of our assets. The result was also notable given the advent of several very successful initiatives to drive tourism, including the Macau 2049 Residency Show at Cotai and the Poly Art Museum at MGM Macau. Importantly, MGM China increased its dividend payout policy to 50% of distributable profits, up from 35%. And earlier this month, MGM China closed on a new larger revolving credit facility, which provides about $3 billion of liquidity and represents approximately $1 billion of increased capacity and extends maturities for four years to 2030. BetMGM continued its acceleration in the first quarter, reporting positive $22 million of EBITDA, that's up $154 million from last year. It's worth noting that the prior year was impacted by a number of headwinds, but these results reflect the strong execution against the strategy and the start of its returns. The business is healthy and it remains on track for its guidance of $2.4 billion to $2.5 billion in net revenues from operations this year and positive EBITDA. Recall that the BetMGM results are reflected one month in arrears when recorded in the MGM Resorts' results. MGM Digital, which is our consolidated international digital business and does not include BetMGM, continues to make progress. Revenues in this segment were impacted by adverse effects of regulations in the Netherlands and some tough comparisons in our largest market, Sweden, though we've seen some meaningful recovery starting in April. The year-over-year segment adjusted EBITDA decline for MGM Digital was anticipated due to additional headcount for strategic growth as well as costs related to the launch of BetMGM in Brazil, where we've increased our marketing momentum to start in the second quarter. We note that this quarter, we provided quarterly historical data in our investor presentation for the MGM Digital segment to help with your modeling. In Japan, MGM's equity commitment has increased to JPY428 billion, of which we now have remaining about JPY392 billion to invest for our future 43.5% ownership stake. Despite the increase driven by updated spend estimates as we've finalized our negotiations with contractors, we still have a high conviction in a high-teens percentage return on this project and remain on time to open in 2030. One item impacting corporate expense, I want to highlight, is a $9 million charitable donation that we proudly made during the quarter for an important City of Las Vegas initiative that makes the balance slightly elevated, but otherwise, this line item is consistent with our historical levels. We remain dedicated to continuously improving our business. Recall, we estimate the collective impact of enhancements that we announced last year will boost EBITDA by a run rate of $200 million. We're now pacing to capture more than $150 million taking effect this calendar year, 35% of which comes from revenue actions and 65% from cost savings. Now I view our cash flow generation as our consolidated adjusted EBITDA plus our non-cash rent minus our CapEx. This not only provides us the ability to remain committed to all of our capital projects, but also take advantage of any dislocations in our stock price as a result of market volatility. Like we did in the fourth quarter, we saw significant value in our share price in the first quarter and we took advantage by repurchasing shares. When you strip out the value of MGM China at its market value and assign a consensus value to our BetMGM venture, you end up with an implied multiple of just 3.3 times trailing 12-month adjusted EBITDA. To say nothing of the value of MGM Digital, the business we know is capable of $1 billion in run rate top line with double-digit EBITDA margins. We think the current price represents an attractive opportunity and have continued to buy back stock. We repurchased nearly 15 million shares for about $494 million in the first quarter and we purchased another 8 million shares in the second quarter to date for $215 million. As we end April, our share count is nearly 45% lower than it was when we began our buying program. We've received Board approval for the ability to repurchase another $2 billion of shares. I'll turn it back to Bill.

BH
Bill HornbuckleChief Executive Officer and President

Thank you, Jonathan. When I think about our business, it starts in Las Vegas, which remains on solid footing with our luxury offerings driving key results. This is complemented by the stability of the regional operations and MGM China, which clearly is now outperforming its market share and maintains a mid-teens market share. We've also witnessed significant improvements in our BetMGM venture results and with the MGM Digital segment is showing good early traction. As Jonathan once again articulated, we see a dislocation in the markets for the combined value of these businesses and are taking advantage by repurchasing our own shares. With that, operator, we'll open it up for questions.

Operator

We will now start the question-and-answer session. The first question is from Brandt Montour with Barclays. Please proceed.

O
BM
Brandt MontourAnalyst

Hello, everybody. Thanks for taking my question, and thanks for all the details today on the call. The first question is about Las Vegas. Obviously, really reassuring commentary about April and how that's tracking. I was wondering if you could just unpack that April comment in terms of the major KPIs, which of those KPIs are growing stronger, which are a little weaker? How do you think about April?

BH
Bill HornbuckleChief Executive Officer and President

Sure. Jonathan, you want to kick it off?

JH
Jonathan HalkyardChief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Sure. Yeah, I mean, the first thing that we look at is just overall demand as evidenced by things like hotel occupancy and rate. As mentioned in our prepared remarks, April in Las Vegas is shaping up to be a record April for the company, which we think is very positive. Another area that we look to is group performance and event performance. We've seen very strong response to events here in the market and our properties specifically, as well as groups and the actual number of group participants that materialize and come here and spend. The final thing I'd add is that the Marriott partnership for us is performing exceptionally well. We already have just through April, 440,000 room nights that have been booked. If you do the math, it's over 20,000 room nights a week being booked through the Marriott channel and these are customers that we think are very accretive compared to the customers that they would have replaced. So a couple of thoughts on that. Bill, did you have anything?

BH
Bill HornbuckleChief Executive Officer and President

Yeah. Maybe one other thought, Brent, that puts it into some perspective. Normally, we book about 40% of our business 30 days out. That window has extended both in March and April to like 43 and 44, something of that ilk. But we still got to the desired result. In April, we actually, in the rooms department, beat that both in combination of OCC and rate of note. While it may be coming in later based on the overall economic condition of people's mindset in the world, it is still coming to Las Vegas and we're still the beneficiary of it. We feel excited about that, as we think excited about the right word given the environment we're in. But we're encouraged by that as we think about the balance of the year.

JH
Jonathan HalkyardChief Financial Officer and Treasurer

The only other thing I would add is our slot volumes continue to be positive as we saw in the first quarter.

BM
Brandt MontourAnalyst

Great. That's all really helpful, everyone. Just following up on that, maybe you could just square this with everything everyone sees on the news, etc. But specifically with regard to international inbound, it's been pretty well documented that inbound from Canada has been soft and some other major source markets that you guys get business from. Specifically regarding your higher-end, which we would think would skew even more toward that type of business, how are you able to make up for that?

JH
Jonathan HalkyardChief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Well, on the higher-end, it's not really having any impact at all. Actually, we just had an amazing event in April with our higher-end component of it. It's really the leisure type business, the Canadian business that is down, but we've been able to make it up in our Marriott blocks and in our casino blocks.

BH
Bill HornbuckleChief Executive Officer and President

WestJet is the biggest carrier. They are down about 15%, but we're only down about 3% or 4%. And obviously, it's down. We understand what's happening again. But again, Marriott, large scale casino base, BetMGM consistently omnichannel pounding, and ultimately, a once in a lifetime baccarat term of $10 million helped.

BM
Brandt MontourAnalyst

Excellent. Thanks, everyone.

Operator

The next question is from Carlo Santarelli with Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

O
CS
Carlo SantarelliAnalyst

Thank you for the information. In your disclosures, I noticed that your payroll and labor costs have increased year-over-year, but those increases seem to be lower than some of the escalators. Can we interpret this as part of the $150 million you aim to achieve this year, or is this unrelated to that effort?

JH
Jonathan HalkyardChief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Yes, you can interpret that, but it really stems from our ongoing efforts to control costs. We have successfully managed the growth of full-time employees across the company. In fact, during the first quarter, we saw a decrease in full-time employees across our regions, including Las Vegas and our corporate office. We cannot directly link those numbers to any specific actions we've taken. The reality is that we consistently manage our labor expenses, and that is reflected in the data.

BH
Bill HornbuckleChief Executive Officer and President

And Carlo, I think in the front end of our business, we've noticed an increase in digital interactions, whether through concierge services or call centers, with people requesting items like pillows from their rooms. The digital interface is currently handling about 80% of the traffic, and while there may be a small amount of other interactions, we expect to see more advancements in AI, which has proven to be very effective. We will continue to pursue this direction.

CS
Carlo SantarelliAnalyst

Great. Thank you, guys. And then just a clerical kind of follow-up. As it relates to the business interruption insurance, is that in revenue and EBITDAR or just EBITDAR? And could you give us any color? I know this is hard to handicap, but on any further proceeds you might expect to receive later in the year or in subsequent years? Or is this kind of wrapping it up?

JH
Jonathan HalkyardChief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Yes. It's EBITDAR. It's not recorded as revenue. We have now collected over $100 million, of course, a lot in the third quarter last year and then another good slug this quarter. We're not finished. We're still in active discussions with our carriers. We do have significant claims remaining. That being said, I think we have received the majority, I would say, over 50% of what we expect. It will be, I think, lumpy from here on out and not as significant as we've collected so far. We're really pleased having brought $100 million in for our shareholders over the past six months.

CS
Carlo SantarelliAnalyst

Great. Thank you, guys.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from David Katz with Jefferies. Please go ahead.

O
DK
David KatzAnalyst

Good morning. Afternoon, everybody, I think. I wanted to just follow up on the comments regarding Japan. It says that you've sort of locked in with your contractor just in the context that materials availability and cost has become a discussion point. What variability is left in that from this point forward given the size of the project?

JH
Jonathan HalkyardChief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Thank you for your question, David. We have been diligently collaborating with our partners and contractors to define, design, and secure the major contracts for the project. While there may be some fluctuations in costs related to overall input expenses as we progress, we have effectively integrated contingency into our budget for this possibility. Additionally, unlike other regions, the project will be completely designed before we even begin in the upcoming quarters, so we don't anticipate changes in the project's cost due to design-related factors. Furthermore, we will seek opportunities with our partners to ensure cost-efficiency during construction. Lastly, we have hedged more than half of our equity commitment in the forward yen markets to secure favorable exchange rates between the dollar and yen, ensuring we are fully hedged through mid-2027 concerning our equity contributions.

BH
Bill HornbuckleChief Executive Officer and President

And then, David, on the other side of the equation, because we haven't really focused on this in some time, we said in the prepared comments, high-teens return. If we use Singapore as a proxy, a couple of interesting stats, five times more of the population, if you just think of the Kansai Basin, never mind all of Japan. We have the same number of table games. We'll have twice the number of slots. Singapore just did over $600 million in the first quarter. To think this thing can't do over $2 billion in EBITDA in return five years from now, we're excited by what the opportunity could ultimately be there.

DK
David KatzAnalyst

Noted. And just following up quickly on your comment regarding the Bonvoy partnership. It sounds like it's going obviously quite well. I don't know if that's exceeded or meeting your expectations. But any thoughts about expanding that in some fashion going forward that you might be willing to share a little bit with us?

BH
Bill HornbuckleChief Executive Officer and President

It's exceeded our expectations. By the deal, we've committed to a significant investment over the first 10 years, and we still have another property in Las Vegas that we need to commit to. We're currently focusing on that. Tony and I have had some brief discussions about the potential for international expansion and where this partnership could lead, whether that's in Japan or elsewhere. We will dedicate more time to exploring that, but there are no definite plans yet. We really value this partnership so far.

JH
Jonathan HalkyardChief Financial Officer and Treasurer

I would just add, there has been one important expansion in the partnership recently, which is the inclusion of group customers here in Las Vegas. Where now if you're coming as part of a big meeting or convention and you're staying with us, you can get your Bonvoy points. This makes us a very appealing destination for meeting planners and participants themselves. I think that's going to really help turbocharge the production out of the Marriott deal.

DK
David KatzAnalyst

Got it. Thanks, and good evening.

Operator

The next question is from Shaun Kelley with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

O
SK
Shaun KelleyAnalyst

Hi. Good evening, everyone. Thanks for taking my question. Bill or Jonathan, wanted to expand just to maybe wrap-up on Japan since we were talking about it. Could you just remind us of the overall budget either in dollars or in yen for the project as we sit here today, just sort of housekeeping there and the let of your equity contribution there just again for kind of modeling? And then the strategic question would be on New York. We obviously saw one of the large participants in the market here sort of change their programming or planning around that. We've definitely heard other people discussing sort of their strategy to that market. Where does MGM sit as it relates to New York? Thanks.

JH
Jonathan HalkyardChief Financial Officer and Treasurer

In terms of the overall cap table for the project right now, our commitment of JPY428 billion is about a 43.5% equity interest. Our partners ORIX and then minority shareholders make up the balance of that. We have a JPY530 billion credit facility on the project. We expect our equity contributions to occur over the next four years, including 2025, about $600 million to $700 million per year. The credit along with our equity partners will kick in at that point in 2028 and carry the funding through to the opening in 2030. That's just kind of a rough overview.

BH
Bill HornbuckleChief Executive Officer and President

On New York, we're planning to make our submission at the end of June, which I think we all understand is the date. We haven't changed appreciably the plan. We like what we came up with. I think we're comfortable with the city. We're going through and got most of our environmental impact study done, etc. We really haven't changed the plan. It is of interest. We watch where the others are going and potentially where they'll go. It's our anticipation there will still be three licenses. We'll take a unique position. I think we always have there. So it's all things being relative, we'll see what happens. You never know. It is New York. We'll make that submission next month or the end of next month.

SK
Shaun KelleyAnalyst

Thanks so much. And then just to change gears for a second on MGM Digital. I think I caught that. It sounds like you're going into a little bit of a marketing phase there in Brazil. Can you just remind us of maybe the cadence of investment around, especially this year, as I think it's a little lumpy as you're kind of building out that business versus what maybe your exposure or your processes for the year after? Just help us think about the investment period here.

JH
Jonathan HalkyardChief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Thanks. Things are starting off terrific in Brazil. We've been live since Q1. In terms of the pacing of investment, we believe that the first half of this year probably bleeding over a little bit into Q3 is the core of our marketing deployment. We probably got off to a little bit slower start than we anticipated. So that may shift out by a month or so. Principally, the real marketing dig against the business will occur over, let's call it, the next six months, then we'll see those investments begin to taper. That's the current plan.

SK
Shaun KelleyAnalyst

Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Stephen Grambling with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

O
SG
Stephen GramblingAnalyst

Hey, thanks. I think over the past four years, your repurchases have been about almost now 95% of the current market cap. You also highlighted the discounted EBITDA multiple on the domestic business. I'm curious, are there other opportunities to create value, either by monetizing assets or simplifying the story that you're thinking about or that you would think about if the stock stays rangebound?

JH
Jonathan HalkyardChief Financial Officer and Treasurer

We've seen a tremendous opportunity recently just in repurchasing our own shares. The situation with the trading in the stock has just presented us with, we think, a fantastic opportunity to repurchase shares for the shareholders. You could look not too far in the past where we were able to sell Gold Strike Tunica for about 11 times EBITDA, The Mirage for about 14 or 15 times EBITDA. Now we can buy the Bellagio and Aria for three times EBITDA. That's a pretty good use of capital; that's why we've been so aggressive in the past four months.

BH
Bill HornbuckleChief Executive Officer and President

Remember, I suspect you do, that Northfield Park and Springfield are ongoing discussions. Those are assets we've been talking about for a while.

SG
Stephen GramblingAnalyst

Yeah, makes sense. And maybe one quick follow-up. Just on the digital side, is there any way to think about the contribution from an omnichannel standpoint, the benefits that you're getting outside of just MGM individually, but how it may benefit the retail business as well or the brick-and-mortar business?

BH
Bill HornbuckleChief Executive Officer and President

We certainly see beyond just the direct benefits between the marketing synergy and the synergies with our host teams here in Vegas that are helping BetMGM. On the regional side, it's just another reason for folks to be an MGM customer in the region, is the fact that they can continue that relationship with us, both in their on-property play and play at home. We've built the rewards ecosystem to underscore that. We have event programming around that to encourage customers for their play in both channels. This has really borne fruit in markets like Detroit and in the capital area as well.

JH
Jonathan HalkyardChief Financial Officer and Treasurer

What we've seen definitely in this quarter, in particular, is that our trips are up pretty significantly in our spend. It's on a little bit lower base, but we're seeing pretty significant numbers out of that channel.

SK
Shaun KelleyAnalyst

Great. Thank you so much.

Operator

The next question is from John DeCree with CBRE. Please go ahead.

O
JD
John DeCreeAnalyst

Hi. Good afternoon, everyone. Jonathan, maybe for you to piggyback on that last question. Can you talk a little bit about how you think of share repurchases going forward as CapEx starts to ramp up? I think if I heard correctly, your equity contribution for Japan would be about JPY600 billion to JPY700 billion per year beginning this year and New York maybe around the corner, if you're lucky enough for that opportunity. How should we think about your approach to balance sheet management and repurchasing as that CapEx steps up a little bit? The specific question there is, would you let leverage go up a little bit to take advantage of all the opportunities in front of you, if they should stay this way?

JH
Jonathan HalkyardChief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Yeah. I've probably been saying for six quarters that our pace of share repurchases was going to come down slightly, and we haven't really done that just because we've looked at the math. Some of which I just went through and said this is a really compelling opportunity. That being said, our Japan equity investments are now closer. New York is coming closer. It will be important for our own planning to reserve some capital for those investments. I would not be adverse to letting leverage tick up a little bit in order to fund some of these opportunities. We enjoy the diversification of our operations here in Las Vegas and the regional markets. We have a nice dividend flow at MGM China. We're not investing any more capital in BetMGM or MGM Digital for that matter. Those investments are behind us and those businesses are primed to grow. For the remainder of this year, we will not be as aggressive as we've been in the first four months just recognizing some of the things that are in front of us right now.

JD
John DeCreeAnalyst

Got it. Understood. That's helpful, Jonathan. And then if I could for a follow-up change gears to Macau a little bit. We've asked a lot of questions on this call and previously about Vegas and indicators that you see there as it relates to domestic demand. We probably have similar questions as it relates to Macau and the Chinese consumer. Curious if you could give us any insight as to what you're seeing really since the beginning of the month when the tariffs went into effect if there's been much change in how you're booking business and kind of visitation levels that you're seeing in Macau? Any color would be helpful.

BH
Bill HornbuckleChief Executive Officer and President

You're experiencing it firsthand every day. Why don't you share your thoughts on this?

UR
Unidentified Company Representative

So far, we are not seeing any material impacts. We are continuing to closely monitor the situation. In Q1, our business was resilient and we saw our market share increasing. As we all know, the Chinese government is taking all kinds of measures and policies to spur the economy. The Macau market is resilient. It's unique. We see our business is quite stable. Today is the first day of Golden Week, and we had a pretty good stronger pre-holiday week. Our booking is pretty strong. We feel confident for these upcoming holidays.

JD
John DeCreeAnalyst

Thanks, I appreciate it.

Operator

The next question is from Barry Jonas with Truist. Please go ahead.

O
BJ
Barry JonasAnalyst

Hey, guys. With the likelihood of higher tariffs, could you talk a little bit more about how that could impact operations and budgets for some of your domestic development pipeline?

JH
Jonathan HalkyardChief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Right now, it's hard to see how it would have much of an impact on the development pipeline. We've been focused more in the near term on its potential impact on just cost of sales and operational considerations. Quite a small impact. We've done virtually all of our slot purchases for the year. We have alternatives for some of the consumables that might be subject to tariffs. We think we can manage that impact considerably during the year. Same goes for our technology investments. We've done a lot of that in the past 18 months, things like PC refreshes and those types of things. There will be very limited impact on our development ambitions, at least in the next year.

BH
Bill HornbuckleChief Executive Officer and President

The only thing on the obvious horizon is New York that would be domestic. We're not building a high rise, so even the steel will be de minimis.

BJ
Barry JonasAnalyst

Got it. Okay. And just for a follow-up, Bill, I saw you were out in UAE recently. Can you maybe talk about next steps there for the hotel in Dubai and any gaming opportunities? Interesting to see Barry Diller was with you. Is that strictly from a Board perspective or there may be some ways you can work closer with IAC? Thank you.

BH
Bill HornbuckleChief Executive Officer and President

We've worked closely with IAC ever since the inception of their investment. Joey has been instrumental in some of our digital business and ultimately with creative and the content pieces of our business. They've been very active Board members, and we enjoy that. Recently, Paul Salem, Barry and myself and one other individual on our team have been kind of overriding this project for the last couple of years. A gentleman named Ari Kastrati went out there. The key mission was to see the prince and to update him on our project, tell him the opportunities that we thought it could bring, not only in the context of a fully integrated resort like we're building MGM, Aria, Bellagio, but the potential gaming could bring to not only UAE, but Dubai specifically and the whole notion of entertainment and the kind of unique things that we could bring to the city. It was a great conversation. It's completely in their hands. This is just like the states. It's in the province of any one of the individual rulers to determine whether they want gaming or not. They haven't said yes or no. We are building an environment that can accommodate it. That building is due to complete by the third quarter of '27. We are literally up on the fifth floor of the MGM Tower as we speak. It's a pretty exciting project, a truly interesting resort with all kinds of features. Hopefully, we'll get to add gaming, but the ball has shifted into their court.

BJ
Barry JonasAnalyst

Great. Thank you so much.

Operator

And the final question today is from Chad Benyon with Macquarie. Please go ahead.

O
CB
Chad BenyonAnalyst

Hi, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question. I just wanted to circle back a little bit on some of the Vegas comments around non-gaming. Bill, you mentioned the impact from Marriott just from kind of a qualitative level, but were non-gaming KPIs up if we think about excluding the Super Bowl from a year-over-year standpoint, whether we're thinking about January, March or just kind of taking out that $65 million impact? Just trying to get a sense of if you're seeing any sensitivity given where prices are on some of the food and beverage, shopping, etc. at your properties? Thank you.

JH
Jonathan HalkyardChief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Really no change in trend during the quarter as it relates to non-gaming spend. Things like entertainment spend kind of ebb and flow with the number of events that are going on in town. As it relates to spend per cover in our food and beverage or retail, those trends were all pretty consistent during the quarter.

CS
Corey SandersChief Operating Officer

When you take the Super Bowl out of it, our revenue for occupied rooms is actually up about 3%.

CB
Chad BenyonAnalyst

Okay. Perfect. Thanks, Corey.

BH
Bill HornbuckleChief Executive Officer and President

One thing on programming is important. Looking at the calendar, we have 500,000 more seats available in the market in the upcoming second quarter compared to the first quarter, thanks to events at Allegiant, T-Mobile, and other major venues. We're adding those seats with events featuring artists like Post Malone and Lady Gaga. We're also hosting Coldplay and Beyonce, among others. The activity is strong and encouraging, similar to 2023, and we're optimistic about it. As I mentioned earlier, 44% of your bookings in the last 30 days are uncertain until they're confirmed, but we are pleased with the programming and the momentum. We feel confident in our ability to manage expenses and believe we're in a solid position. Our efforts in managing labor and other costs have collectively brought us to where we are now.

CB
Chad BenyonAnalyst

Great. Thank you. And then back on the tariffs, one of the other competitors in the space paused a major project in the US here just because of uncertainty around cost and just getting the materials in. I know you're far out from planning anything major like New York, but as you think about regular CapEx or maybe even a little bit further on some of those bigger projects, do you think this will change how you're thinking about ROIs to the point where maybe something would be off the table, or is it still high enough above the cost of capital that it's kind of a no-brainer?

BH
Bill HornbuckleChief Executive Officer and President

If you take New York out, our capital issue is about $800 million of which is a couple of hundred million in what we consider true growth capital. There's about $600 million in core issues tied to IT and room remodels. This year, as you know, we're doing MGM. I think next year is Aria, followed by Cosmopolitan in '27. We'll have to pay close attention to where we source for those projects, meaning those room remodels, because that's the biggest thing that I think could be tariff-related. But unless something happens more macro with the environment and our balance sheet, we wouldn't change our thinking around those significant remodels. No, I guess the answer to the question really is no other than that.

CB
Chad BenyonAnalyst

Great. Thank you, guys. Appreciate it.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Bill Hornbuckle for any closing remarks.

O
BH
Bill HornbuckleChief Executive Officer and President

Thank you, operator. I'd like to thank everyone for joining us today. To reiterate, we have a best-in-class high-quality portfolio of assets, both digital and physical. We think we'll generate and continue to generate meaningful cash flow, enabling us to take advantage of just about any opportunity, whether that's building in Japan or buying back shares at attractive multiples. We need to reiterate what Jonathan walked you through. Understand the macroenvironment, but we are literally trading at 3.3 times multiple in our core business. We see significant insight, obviously, ultimately with our digital businesses. As we look ahead, we're confident that our experienced management team, which has navigated through numerous economic cycles, will further provide the ongoing resilience of the business we've had so many times before. We've seen this. We're all veterans in many of these activities, better or worse. We think we're in a good space and a good place. We do think Las Vegas is resilient, and it's proven itself to be. So we like where we are generally speaking. Thank you all for joining us today.

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

O